Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 28th
First pitch for Saturday’s Dodgers vs. Rockies matchup is set for 8:10 PM ET from Coors Field in Denver. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a record of 61-99, while the Dodgers are leading the division at 96-64.
Los Angeles is currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are the heavy favorite on the money line for Saturday’s game at -271. The over/under line is sitting at 11 runs, and SNLA will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-174) | Rockies 1.5 (+144)
- Total: 11
- MoneyLine: Dodgers -271 | Rockies +225
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction: Moneyline
Thanks to an 11-run 6th inning for the Dodgers’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-4 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -171 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Ryan Brasier for the Dodgers, and he went just one inning while giving up one hit and two earned runs. Ben Casparius got the win out of the bullpen. Cal Quantrill had a rough outing for the Rockies, going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up six runs on seven hits.
Offensively, the Dodgers were led by Shohei Ohtani, who went 4/5 with a home run and four RBIs. Ohtani was one of three Dodgers hitters to have a multi-hit game, along with Teoscar Hernandez and Kevin Kiermaier.
With an overall record of 96-64, the Dodgers lead the NL West by four games over the Padres. The Dodgers have taken three straight games overall, and they are winning the series vs. the Rockies 1-0. So far, they have gone 29-21 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 52-29 this season, and they have been a good team on the road as well, going 44-35. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 90-52 this year, and they are 40-23 as the favorite on the road. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 30-18-4, and they have won three straight series.
With a record of 61-99, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 35 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, they have gone just 18-32 in divisional games this year. The Rockies are looking to bounce back in the series vs. the Dodgers, as they lost the first game and are 13-33-4 in series this year.
At home, the Rockies are 37-42 compared to 24-57 on the road. As the underdog, Colorado has gone 59-97 this year and is just 2-2 as the favorite. They have dropped two straight series and are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction: Over/Under
The Dodgers are on the road in Colorado tonight, where the over/under line is set at 11 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.4, and their over/under record is 89-67. Their games have averaged a line of 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 11 runs, the over has hit in both games. Only 1.2% of their games this season have had an over/under line set at 11 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Shohei Ohtani has been on an absolute tear for the Dodgers, going 25/39 (.641) over his last nine games, with six homers and 20 RBIs during that stretch. For the season, Ohtani is batting .309, and his 130 RBIs are 2nd in the league. His 54 homers are also 2nd in the MLB. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, with 32 homers and 96 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .271.
As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They also lead the league in both slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are batting .257, which is 5th in the league.
Colorado has seen a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 10.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 78-78, and when the line is set at 11 runs, they have gone 9-11-1. They have had 17 games with over/under lines set higher than 11 runs, accounting for just 10.6% of their games this season. Their over streak is at 2 games.
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 10th in the league, and have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league. One area they have struggled is with strikeouts, as they are 29th in the league in this category.
Ezequiel Tovar has been the Rockies’ top hitter this season, batting .267 with a team-high 25 homers and 77 RBIs. Tovar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/35 in his last eight games. Charlie Blackmon is also on a nice hitting streak, going 9/24 in his last seven games and has homered three times in this stretch.
Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction: Spread
When the Dodgers are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, as they are 40-39 overall. They are also on a three-game run line win streak on the road. Their average run margin in all games this season is +0.9 runs per game.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 2.96. Yamamoto’s WHIP for the season is 1.13, and opponents are batting .226 off him this year. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Yamamoto’s last outing came on September 22nd, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in three innings of work. He has not taken a loss since August 14th.
When betting on the Rockies’ run line this season, it’s been a coin flip at best. They have a run line record of 79-81, including 41-38 at home and 38-43 on the road. As the underdog, they are 78-78, but as the favorite, they are just 1-3. They have an average run differential of -1.5 runs per game on the season, and their average run differential in losses is -4.1 runs per game.
Antonio Senzatela will be making his second start of the season, and he will be facing the Dodgers for the second time. In his first start, he took on the Dodgers and went 5 innings, allowing 1 earned run on 5 hits and 2 walks. He also struck out 2. He also started against the Diamondbacks, and he went 3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs.
Dodgers vs. Rockies Pick: Under 11 Runs -112
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Dodgers, which means there is a lot of value in taking the under at 11 runs. We see the Dodgers picking up a win, but with a payout of -271 on the money line, we would recommend taking the under.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Antonio Senzatela finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among starters today. As for the Dodgers, you could look at Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who we have finishing with six K’s, which would have him in the middle of the pack among starters.