Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 19th
Thursday’s Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup has a start time of 4:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins are 56-96 and their money line odds are at +176, while the Dodgers are the heavy favorite at -206 and their overall record is 90-62.
Jack Flaherty will be starting for the Dodgers, while the Marlins are sending Edward Cabrera to the mound. Looking at the division standings, the Dodgers are in 1st place in the NL West, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East. BSFL will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-122) | Marlins 1.5 (+101)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Dodgers -206 | Marlins +176
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Moneyline
Los Angeles cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored three of their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -200 on the money line.
Landon Knack only went five innings for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a run and finished with seven strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryan Weathers had a rough outing for the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
Will Smith and Enrique Hernandez each homered for the Dodgers, while Tommy Edman went deep for Miami. Smith, Hernandez, Freddie Freeman, and Chris Taylor each had two RBIs for Los Angeles’ offense.
With an overall record of 90-62, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 24-19 against other teams in the NL West. Los Angeles is on the road today, and they are 42-35 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 85-50 this year, and they are 5-12 as the underdog. The Dodgers have been good as the road favorite, putting together a mark of 38-23 this year. So far, the Dodgers’ series record is 28-18-4.
Miami is 5th in the NL East this season, and they trail the Phillies by 35 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 56-96 and are 35 games behind the Nationals for 4th place in the division. This year, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 17-32.
The Marlins have dropped two straight series and are 11-28-9 in series this year. At home, they are 29-48 compared to 27-48 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 52-82, but they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14 this year. So far, they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Over/Under
Los Angeles is on the road against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Dodgers have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 84-65, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-12. Overall, 69.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their games have gone over the total in each of their last five contests.
Freddie Freeman has been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers of late, going 7/19 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. Overall, Freeman has a batting average of .368 since joining the Dodgers. Tommy Edman has struggled in his last five games, going just 4/21 with two homers. However, Edman is batting .290 for the season.
Shohei Ohtani is having a huge season for the Dodgers, as his 48 home runs are 2nd in the league, and his 110 RBIs are also 2nd in the MLB. Ohtani is batting .287 for the season. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, hitting 29 homers.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Miami Marlins have played to the over in 54.6% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 81-66. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 17 times, under 12 times, and pushed twice. The over has hit in their last two games.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse in terms of drawing walks, as they are dead last in the league in that category. However, Miami is batting a collective .241, which is 13th in the league. The Marlins have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with 26 and 17 homers, respectively. Burger comes into the game with a batting average of .242, while Sánchez is batting .250. Otto Lopez has been hot of late, going 9/26 in his last seven games, with two homers. He also has driven in six runs during this stretch.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line on the Dodgers this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 76-76 overall. They have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 38-39 compared to 38-37 at home. They have been favored in most games, going 69-66 against the run line, while they are just 7-10 as underdogs. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have been especially good at covering the run line in wins, with an average run margin of +3.7 runs per game.
Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.04. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts. Looking at his numbers on the road, Flaherty is 7-3 with a 3.19 ERA. He most recently faced the Braves, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in three innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s been better to take them as the underdog, as they are 69-65 against the run line in that role. Miami has been a favorite just 18 times and is 2-16 against the run line in those games. The Marlins’ overall run line record is 71-81, with an average run margin of -1.3 runs per game. They have a better run line record on the road (38-37) than at home (33-44).
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Dodgers, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.55. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .211 off the right-hander. In his 18 appearances, Cabrera has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.01 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Cabrera gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Pick: Marlins ML +176
Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout sitting at +176. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Jack Flaherty finishing with more strikeouts than Edward Cabrera, but we still like the Marlins to pick up the win.
