Dodgers vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Atlanta on Saturday, where the Braves and Dodgers will face off at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 PM ET, and the Dodgers are the current favorites on the money line (+107). The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Chris Sale will start for the Braves, and they are facing off against Jack Flaherty and the Dodgers. Los Angeles is 87-60 this season, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 80-67. Atlanta is -127 on the money line compared to the Dodgers at +107. This NL matchup can be seen on BSSE.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers 1.5 (-205) | Braves -1.5 (+166)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Dodgers +107 | Braves -127
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
Atlanta picked up a 6-2 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Braves were the slight underdogs at -106.
Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Landon Knack had a rough outing for the Dodgers, taking the loss after going just two innings and giving up five earned runs.
Jorge Soler and Gio Urshela each homered for the Braves, while Marcell Ozuna went 3/4 with two RBIs. Whit Merrifield also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Atlanta’s offense.
With an overall record of 87-60, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are on the road today, taking on the Braves, and they are 4.5 games ahead of the Padres for the best record in the NL. Los Angeles is looking to bounce back today, as they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Braves.
Los Angeles has gone 5-5 across their last 10 games and are 4-11 as the road underdog this season. The Dodgers have been tough to beat at home, going 48-27, and they are 39-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 82-49 this season, and their overall series record is 28-18-3.
With an overall record of 80-67, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by eight games. So far, they have gone 24-22 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves picked up a game on the Mets in the NL East with the Mets losing yesterday and are now seven games behind them for the 2nd spot in the division.
At home, the Braves are 41-31 this season and have gone 39-36 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 67-51. As the underdog, the Braves are 13-16 this year, and they are 39-29 when favored at home. The Braves have an overall series record of 26-17-6 this year.
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
Los Angeles Dodgers games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-65. The over/under line for today’s game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average. Overall, 83.0% of Dodgers games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their record in games with 7.5 run lines is 13-9.
Shohei Ohtani has been a beast for the Dodgers this season, as he is hitting .290 with a league-leading 47 home runs and 104 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Ohtani is also on a six-game hitting streak. Teoscar Hernandez is also in the top 15 in the league in home runs, as he has gone deep 28 times this season.
As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, where they are also averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best home run hitting team and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league.
The Atlanta Braves will play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Braves have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 53-89. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 12-19. The over has hit in 72.8% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .306 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs, which is 5th and 8th in the league, respectively. He has also been getting on base at a .379 clip. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .237 this season.
Currently, the Braves have a few players on some solid hitting streaks, with Jorge Soler and Ronald Acuna Jr. each having four-game hitting streaks. Acuna Jr. has gone deep in two straight games. Jarred Kelenic has two homers in his last five games, but he is just 4/16 in that stretch.
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
When the Dodgers are on the road, they have a run line record of 35-37. Their average run margin in road games is 0.6 runs per game. They are 7-9 against the run line as the underdog and 66-65 against the run line as the favorite. Their current run line losing streak on the road is at two games.
Jack Flaherty has been pitching well for the Dodgers, as he has won his last three starts. Most recently, he faced off against the Guardians and didn’t give up a run in 7 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Flaherty has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-6. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.86, along with a WHIP of 1.01. Opposing batters are hitting .213 off Flaherty this season. Out of his 25 starts, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.95 strikeouts per nine innings.
When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Overall, their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game. They have a run line record of 70-77, with a record of 30-42 at home and 40-35 on the road. As the favorite, they are 52-66, and as the underdog, they are 18-11.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes into the game with a record of 16-3 and ERA of 2.38. So far, he has made 27 starts and 17 of them have been quality starts. Sale’s ERA at home is 2.85, and he is 9-0 at home compared to 7-3 on the road. In his last outing, Sale finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Blue Jays. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Sale’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 1.00, and he ranks first in the league in starter wins.
Dodgers vs. Braves Pick: Dodgers ML +107
Our pick for today’s Dodgers vs. Braves game is to take the Dodgers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +107. We have the Dodgers winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale is projected to finish with a solid six strikeouts, but we have him finishing with a loss. Sale is projected to finish with fewer strikeouts than Jack Flaherty, who we have finishing with seven.
Offensively, the Dodgers are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Braves with eight. However, the Braves are projected to finish with a team home run, while the Dodgers are projected to finish with more strikeouts.
