Dodgers vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 16th
Max Fried and the Braves (81-68) will host the Dodgers (88-61) tonight in Atlanta, with the game set to start at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Dodgers are favored on the money line (-112).
This NL matchup can be seen on SNLA, and the Dodgers will be sending Yoshinobu Yamamoto to the mound. They are currently 1st in the NL West, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+149) | Braves 1.5 (-181)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Dodgers -112 | Braves -106
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
Los Angeles cruised to a 9-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Braves, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -113.
Walker Buehler started for the Dodgers and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.
Max Muncy and Tommy Edman each homered for the Dodgers, while Teoscar Hernandez scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Shohei Ohtani also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Los Angeles is 88-61 overall, putting them 1st in the NL West. They hold a 3.5-game lead over the Padres for the top spot in the division. The Dodgers will be on the road today, taking on the Braves. So far, they are 24-19 in the division and have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games.
This year, the Dodgers have really been good as the favorite, going 83-49. As the underdog, they are just 5-12. Los Angeles has been really good at home, going 48-27, and they are 40-34 on the road. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 28-18-3.
Atlanta is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 81-68, which has them nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, the Braves and Mets are both nine games behind the Phillies in the division. So far, the Braves are 24-22 in divisional games this year.
The Braves have taken two of the first three games of this series vs. the Dodgers, and they are 26-17-6 in series this year. At home, the Braves are 42-32 compared to a 39-36 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 68-51 this year and 13-17 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall record is made up of a 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 81-65. The average over/under line for Dodgers games this season is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 14-9. So far this season, 82.6% of Dodgers games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Shohei Ohtani has been the Dodgers’ top power threat this season, as his 47 home runs are 2nd in the league and lead the team. He is also 4th in the league in RBIs, with 106. Ohtani has a strong batting average of .290 and has been on base at a .374 clip. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat, as he has 29 homers this season, which is 11th in the league and 2nd on the team. He comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run hitting clubs. They also have the 6th best team batting average in the league. The Dodgers have been especially good at home, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league.
Atlanta has seen the over hit in 55 of their 89 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 13 of the 19 games this season with that line. The over has hit in 72.5% of their games this season, and they have hit the over in two straight games.
So far this season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Atlanta is 6th in home runs and has a team batting average of .241, which is 15th in the league. The Braves have one of the league’s best collective isolated power numbers at .168.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ best hitter this season, batting .304 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .239 for the season. However, Olson has been hot of late, going 12/33 in his last nine games.
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
When betting the Dodgers on the run line, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 74-75 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 38-37, and their average run margin in those games is 0.9. As the favorite, they are 67-65 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are just 7-10. Their overall run differential is +0.7 runs per game, and they have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game on the road.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 2.77. Yamamoto’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. Out of his 15 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.62 strikeouts per nine innings. Yamamoto’s last outing came on September 10th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in four innings of work. Before that, he had gone seven innings without giving up an earned run.
The Braves are 71-78 against the run line this season, including a 31-43 mark at home. They have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 53-66 against the run line, while they are 18-12 as the underdog. Their overall scoring margin is 0.5 runs per game, and they have a 40-35 run line record on the road.
Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gets the start for the Braves vs. the Dodgers today. In that outing, which came on September 11th, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Fried has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 9-9, and he has an ERA of 3.46 to go along with a WHIP of 1.22. Opposing batters are hitting .232 off Fried this year. Per nine innings, he has 8.43 strikeouts and 2.99 walks.
Dodgers vs. Braves Pick: Braves ML -106
Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Braves game is to take the Braves on the money line at -106. We see the Braves coming out on top by a score of 6-5. With the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, and we see this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Yoshinobu Yamamoto finishing with more strikeouts than Max Fried. However, we have Fried going longer in the game and picking up the win. Offensively, we have the Dodgers finishing with more home runs than the Braves, but the Braves finishing with more hits.
