Dodgers vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th
There does appear to be a chance of light rain in Atlanta on Friday, where the Braves and Dodgers will face off at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park. However, the forecasted rain doesn’t look like it will be enough to postpone the game.
Los Angeles is currently 87-59 and is starting Landon Knack, while the Braves are 79-67 and will have Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Dodgers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -109 compared to the Braves at -110. This NL matchup can be seen on APLTV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+149) | Braves 1.5 (-183)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Dodgers -109 | Braves -110
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 10-8 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -164. Offensively, the Dodgers scored their 10 runs on 12 hits and went deep five times.
Bobby Miller got the start for the Dodgers but only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs. Los Angeles’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, as they didn Kopech closed things out in the 9th.
Los Angeles is 87-59 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL West. They lead the Diamondbacks by 5.0 games. The Dodgers will be on the road today, facing the Braves, and they are 24-19 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 this season and are 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, Los Angeles is 82-48 this season, but just 5-11 as the underdog. They kick off their series vs. the Braves today, and the Dodgers’ overall series record is 28-18-3.
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite going into the game but fell behind early, as the Nationals scored two runs in the 3rd. The Braves could only scratch across one run, and it came in the 6th inning.
Max Fried had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on 11 hits and issuing three walks. The Braves also wasted a big game from Jorge Soler, who went 2/3 with a double and a run scored.
With an overall record of 79-67, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. Atlanta is 24-22 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are coming off a series split vs. the Nationals, and they are 5-5 across their last ten games.
At home, the Braves are 40-31 this season compared to a 39-36 mark on the road. So far, the Braves have been the favorite in most of their games, going 67-51 in those contests. As the underdog, the Braves are 12-16 this year, and they are 1-2 as the home underdog.
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
In the Dodgers’ last 10 games, the Over/Under line has been set at 8.5 runs three times, and the Over has hit in each of those games. On the season, the Over/Under record for the Dodgers is 79-64, and their games have had an average of 9.2 runs scored per game. Los Angeles has played in 46 games with an Over/Under line set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 32-24.
Shohei Ohtani has been a huge addition to the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .292 with 47 homers and 104 RBIs. His 104 RBIs are 3rd in the league, and his 47 homers are the best mark in the National League. Ohtani has also been a tough out this season, as his OBP is .375. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big-time power threat in the lineup, as he has gone deep 28 times this season, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the MLB.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the 3rd highest-scoring team in the MLB, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Dodgers are the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league. In terms of batting average, they are 6th in the league.
The Atlanta Braves are hosting the Los Angeles Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves’ games have had an average of 8.0 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-88. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-24. So far this season, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 30.1% of their games.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is a bit below their season average of 4.6 runs per game on the road. Atlanta is 5th in the league in home runs and has a collective batting average of .240, which is 15th in the MLB. Looking at some of their advanced metrics, the Braves have an isolated power of .168 (8th) and a collective on-base percentage of .306 (17th).
Marcell Ozuna has been a big run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs are 7th best in the league. He is also hitting .303 with a team-high 37 home runs. Matt Olson has gone 8/22 in his last six games and is on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Olson is batting just .237, but he does have 25 homers.
Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. That’s why they have a run line record of 73-73 this season. When they lose, it’s usually by a narrow margin, with an average run differential of -3.4 runs per game. Their run line record as the favorite is 66-64, while they are just 7-9 against the run line as the underdog.
Right-hander Landon Knack is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Braves on the road. Through 11 appearances and nine starts, Knack has a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 3.00. His WHIP for the season is currently .96. In his 54 innings of work, Knack has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8.67 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Knack took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
When the Braves win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, and they are 69-77 on the run line overall. They are 29-42 at home on the run line and 40-35 on the road. As the favorite, they are 52-66 on the run line, and as the underdog, they are 17-11.
Spencer Schwellenbach will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays, as he gets the start for the Braves today. Against the Blue Jays, he gave up six runs (three earned) in five innings of work, taking the loss. Looking back over his last three outings, Schwellenbach has finished with a no-decision in each one. One of those outings was vs. the Phillies, where he gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Schwellenbach has a record of 5-7 this season and an ERA of 3.78. For the year, he has made eight quality starts and is averaging 9.86 strikeouts per nine innings.
Dodgers vs. Braves Pick: Dodgers ML -109
Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Braves matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line, with the payout being -109. We have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout being -109, the money line is the best way to go.
If you’re looking for a player to pick up a win, we have Landon Knack’s chances of getting a win as the 15th best among starters. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, he is a little lower in our projections, with his chances of getting a win being 8th best.