Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 18th
Wednesday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Rockies is set to get started at 3:10 PM ET from Coors Field in Denver. The Rockies are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 59-93 overall, while the Diamondbacks are 83-68 and have Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound.
Arizona is the favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -154 compared to the Rockies at +130. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 11 runs, and the game will be televised on Bally Sports Arizona and AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-103) | Rockies 1.5 (-119)
- Total: 11
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks -154 | Rockies +130
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction: Moneyline
Colorado cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring two of their eight runs and picking up six of their twelve hits. On the other side, the Diamondbacks got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final run in the 8th.
Ryan Feltner pitched well for the Rockies in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Jordan Montgomery struggled on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Ezequiel Tovar was the Rockies’ top hitter, going 3/5 with a home run and two RBIs. Both Hunter Goodman and Jordan Beck each drove in two for Colorado’s offense.
Arizona is on the road today, facing the Rockies, and they are looking to avoid being swept, as they have dropped the first two games of the series. Currently, the Diamondbacks are 6.0 games out of the NL West lead, which is held by the Dodgers. Overall, they are 83-68 this season and have gone 25-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 this year, and they are one game above .500 at 41-35 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona is 48-30 this year and 35-38 as the underdog. Arizona has dropped two straight as the favorite, and their overall series record is 25-18-4. Over their last 10 games, the Diamondbacks are 4-6.
With an overall record of 59-93, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Giants by 14.5 games for 4th place in the division. Colorado is 30.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Rockies have gone just 17-28 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Rockies are 36-38 this year, and they are 23-55 on the road. Colorado has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10. As the underdog, the Rockies are 57-91 this year and 2-2 when favored. Colorado’s overall series record is 12-31-4.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction: Over/Under
The Arizona Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 86-58 this season, but when the line is set at 11 runs, they are 0-4. The combined run average in their games this season is 10.4 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. The under has hit in their last two games, and they have played 147 games this season with over/under lines set at less than 11 runs.
Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks also lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Over his last six games, Eugenio Suarez has gone 8/22 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .255 with 28 homers, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Ketel Marte is hitting .292 for the season and has gone deep 32 times, which is 10th best in the league. Marte also has 87 RBIs, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
Colorado’s games have averaged 9.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 73-76. When the line has been set at 11 runs, their record is 7-11-1. The under has hit in three straight games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. This season, only 11.2% of their games have had lines set at 11 or higher.
So far this season, the Rockies have been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, and they have been good at avoiding strikeouts. However, they are batting just .242 as a team, which is 12th in the league, and are averaging only 4.2 runs per game. The Rockies have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest.
Over the team’s last nine games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 9/37 with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .266 with 25 homers, and his 70 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Brenton Doyle is the Rockies’ leader in RBIs, with 71, and is batting .264 for the season.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction: Spread
The Diamondbacks have been a profitable run line team this season, but they have been especially good on the road, going 43-33 on the run line. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet as an underdog, going 45-28 on the run line in those games. They have lost their last two games on the run line and are just 5-5 in their last 10 games on the run line.
Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Rockies on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 5.50. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .282 off Rodriguez, and he has a WHIP of 1.54. In his last outing, Rodriguez took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Colorado has been a solid run line bet this season, going 76-76 overall. They are 40-34 against the run line at home, where they have covered in two straight games. They are 36-42 against the run line on the road. The Rockies have been a better bet as an underdog, going 75-73 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it is -4.1 in losses.
Through 28 starts, Austin Gomber has a record of 5-10 and an ERA of 4.44. His WHIP for the season is 1.28. In his 28 appearances, Gomber has turned in 12 quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Gomber has a BB/9 figure of 2.11 compared to 6.38 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander most recently faced the Diamondbacks on September 13th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, Gomber went six innings, giving up two earned runs, four walks, and one homer. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Pick: Rockies ML +130
Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Rockies game is to take the Rockies to win straight up. With the money line payout at +130, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to have a good game, but we actually have Austin Gomber finishing with more strikeouts. Rodriguez is projected to finish with seven K’s, compared to Gomber at four.
Offensively, our projections have the Rockies finishing with nine hits and the Diamondbacks with nine. However, we have the Rockies finishing with seven runs and the Diamondbacks with five.
Another option would be to take the Rockies to win by more than one run, as the payout for that is likely a lot higher than the money line.