Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 16th
At 8:40 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Rockies face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Coors Field in Denver, and the Rockies are the slight underdog on the money line (+143). The money line odds have the Diamondbacks at -169.
Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West with a record of 83-66, while the Rockies are 5th in the division at 57-93. Antonio Senzatela will be starting for the Rockies, and the Diamondbacks are sending Merrill Kelly to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-113) | Rockies 1.5 (-109)
- Total: 11
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks -169 | Rockies +143
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction: Moneyline
Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with an 11-10 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -164. Things got tense at the end, as the Brewers pulled to within one run after scoring two in the top of the 10th, but the Diamondbacks were able to close things out and pick up the win.
Zac Gallen got the start for the Diamondbacks, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the no-dejson. The Diamondbacks’s offense was carried by Josh Bell, who went 2/3 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. Corbin Carroll also had a big game, going 2/5 with a run scored.
Arizona is 83-66 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Heading into today’s game at the Rockies, they are 5.0 games out of the second Wild Card spot. The Diamondbacks have an overall record of 25-18 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 this year, and they are one game above .500 at 41-33 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 48-28, and they are 13-9 as the favorite on the road. Arizona’s overall series record is 25-18-4 this year.
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cubs scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Colorado was the +116 underdog at home going into the game.
Cal Quantrill had a rough outing, giving up two earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted json>2 1/3 innings, taking the loss. The Rockies’s offense was carried by Jacob Stallings, who went 1/3 with a homer and scored both of their runs.
Colorado is 57-93 overall and 5th in the NL West, trailing the Giants by 15.5 games for 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional games. The Rockies are a massive 31.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead.
At home, the Rockies are 34-38 this year, but they have really struggled on the road, going 23-55. As the underdog, Colorado is 55-91 this year and 2-2 when favored. They have an overall series record of 12-31-4 this year.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction: Over/Under
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Rockies today. The over/under line is set at 11 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 10.4. Arizona has an over/under record of 86-56 this season, but when the line is set at 11, they have gone under in both games. In fact, 98.7% of their games this season have had lower over/under lines than 11 runs.
Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been the league’s best team in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 31 homers and Suarez right behind him at 28. Suarez has been on a tear of late, going 14/27 in his last seven games with four homers. Arizona also has a few players on some notable hitting streaks, including Geraldo Perdomo, who has hit safely in six straight games.
Colorado Rockies games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-74. The average over/under line for Rockies games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 11 runs, their over/under record is 7-9-1. Only 11.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 11 runs, with 77.3% of their games having lower lines.
Colorado’s offense has been one of the league’s best at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 21st in the league, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and have the 14th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been one of the league’s worst teams in terms of striking out and drawing walks.
Michael Toglia leads the Rockies in home runs this season but is batting just .219. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting .264 this season, with Tovar being 2nd on the team with 23 homers and Doyle being 3rd with 22. Doyle’s 70 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Hunter Goodman has been hot of late, going 4/11 with two homers in his last three games.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line, the Diamondbacks have been a better play on the road this season, going 43-31 compared to 34-41 at home. They have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game overall, and that number is the same on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2 runs per game, while it’s -3.8 in losing games. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 45-28 compared to 32-44 as the favorite.
Right-hander Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.26. Kelly has turned in four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing vs. the Rangers, he gave up one homer. Kelly has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .246 off Kelly this season.
The Rockies have a run line record of 74-76 this season, including a 38-34 mark at home. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 36-42 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 1-3 against the run line, while they are 73-73 as the underdog.
Antonio Senzatela will be making his third start of the season against the Diamondbacks. In his first two starts, Senzatela went 0-1 with an ERA of 4.70. His WHIP for the season is 1.17, and he has given up a total of three home runs. Senzatela’s FIP for the season is 8.08, and his OPS allowed is .876. So far this season, Senzatela has yet to record a quality start, and his strikeouts per nine innings is 4.7. His walks per nine innings is 2.35, and he is averaging one walk per game. Senzatela’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.0.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Pick: Under 11 Runs -107
The best bet we see for today’s Diamondbacks and Rockies matchup is to take the under at 11 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks, giving us a two-run cushion in terms of the over/under line.
If you are looking for a money line pick, we would recommend taking the Diamondbacks, who are on the road and have a money line of -169. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Merrill Kelly finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fourth among today’s starters.
