Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th
At 9:45 PM from Oracle Park in San Francisco, we have an NL West matchup between the Diamondbacks and Giants. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West with a record of 78-61, while the Giants are 4th in the division at 68-71.
The money line odds have the Diamondbacks as the favorite, with their line sitting at -141 compared to the Giants at +120. Wednesday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for the game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Zac Gallen is starting for the Diamondbacks, and the Giants are going with Hayden Birdsong.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120) | Giants 1.5 (-145)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks -141 | Giants +120
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Moneyline
Arizona picked up an 8-7 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 8th. As for the Giants, they scored one run in the 1st and added four more in the 8th.
Ryne Nelson started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going just 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Giants, Kyle Harrison got the start and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work.
Mike Yastrzemski hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Randal Grichuk did a bit of everything for the Diamondbacks, going 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Arizona is 78-61 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL West, six games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 24-17 against other teams in the NL West. They have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 44-26 when favored this year.
On the road, the Diamondbacks are 39-30 this year and have won seven straight games. Arizona is 12-9 as the road favorite this year. In all series, the Diamondbacks are 24-16-3 this year, and they are currently leading the Giants 1-0 in their series. Arizona has gone 5-5 over their last ten games.
The Giants are 68-71 overall, and they are 16 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 21-20 in divisional games. San Francisco is on a three-game losing streak, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. Currently, they trail the Diamondbacks by six games for the third spot in the NL West.
At home, the Giants are 39-31 this year compared to a 29-40 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 25-39 this year, and they have lost three straight as the underdog overall. San Francisco is 43-32 when favored this year, and their overall series record is 21-19-3.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Over/Under
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road against the San Francisco Giants today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 9 runs per game. Their games have averaged 10.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-53. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-5. Their current over streak is at 5 games.
Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league at 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also lead the league in on-base percentage and OPS. The Diamondbacks have been hitting a lot of home runs this season, as they are 7th in the league in homers.
Over his last eight games, Corbin Carroll has been on fire, going 13/33 with five homers and 12 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s home run lead. For the season, Ketel Marte is leading the team in RBIs (81) and is 2nd in batting average (.298). Eugenio Suarez and Christian Walker are also near the top of the Diamondbacks’ home run leaderboard.
San Francisco’s over/under record is 70-63 this season, and the over has hit in two straight games. The Giants have played in 72 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their games have gone over the total in 51.8% of their games this season.
So far this season, the Giants offense has been pretty average, as they are 17th in the league in runs scored and have the 18th best home run total in the league. Overall, they are batting .240, which is 15th in the MLB. One area they have been strong is in avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 20th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Matt Chapman comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/29 over his last eight games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .247 and leads the team with 69 RBIs and is 1st on the team with 22 homers. Heliot Ramos is right behind him with 20 homers and 67 RBIs, and he is batting .277 for the year.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Spread
Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 72-67 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 40-29 against the run line. They have an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game overall, and have been even better on the road, with a +0.7 run differential per game. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet as the underdog, going 43-26 against the run line in those games.
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with an ERA of 3.87. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gallen’s ERA on the road is 3.93, compared to 4.02 at home. He has issued 3.2 walks per nine innings compared to 8.78 strikeouts.
The Giants have been a slightly below-average team against the run line this season, going 69-70 overall. They have been better on the road, going 38-31, compared to just 31-39 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 38-26 compared to just 31-44 as the favorite.
Hayden Birdsong is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers, as he got the start and took the loss. In that outing, he went just 3 2/3 innings, giving up five runs on six hits. Birdsong also allowed four walks and a homer in the outing. Looking back over his last four starts, he has given up at least one homer in each outing. Birdsong’s ERA for the season is 5.14, along with a record of 3-4. Opponents are batting .217 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.51 walks compared to 11.02 strikeouts.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Pick: Giants ML +120
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Giants game is to take the Giants on the money line at +120. We have the Giants winning this one by a final score of 6-5. At +120, there is a good amount of value in picking up the Giants to get the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hayden Birdsong finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Zac Gallen with six. Birdsong is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Gallen.
