Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 5th
Blake Snell and the Giants are the betting favorite today, as their money line odds are sitting at -153 compared to the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly, who are on a two-game winning streak, at +129. This NL West matchup is set for 3:45 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 60s.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the under is favored at -123 compared to +102 for the over. Arizona is 79-61 this season, while the Giants are 68-72, putting them 4th in the NL West.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks 1.5 (-174) | Giants -1.5 (+143)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks +129 | Giants -153
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Moneyline
It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Giants by a score of 6-4. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Giants and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -134 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks and Hayden Birdsong for the Giants. Gallen only went six innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Birdsong was tagged for two homers and two earned runs in just three innings of work.
San Francisco had a late rally in this game, scoring two runs in the 7th and another two in the 9th, but it wasn’t enough. The Giants actually outhit the Diamondbacks in the game 7 to 6.
Arizona is on the road today, and they are currently 3rd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 79-61, and they have won two straight games. Arizona has gone 25-17 against other teams in the NL West this year.
As the Diamondbacks have won eight straight road games, they are 40-30 on the road this year. At home, Arizona is 39-31. So far, they have been favored in 71 games, going 45-26 in those games. As the underdog, Arizona is 34-35 this year. The Diamondbacks’ overall series record is 24-16-3, and they have won two straight series at home.
San Francisco is 68-72 overall, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak today vs. the Diamondbacks. Currently, the Giants are 16.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they are 21-21 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Giants have gone 39-32 compared to 29-40 on the road. This season, the Giants are 43-32 as the favorite but just 25-40 as the underdog. Their series record is 21-19-3, but they have dropped three straight series.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Over/Under
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Giants today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged a combined 10.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 80-53. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-5, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. Overall, 83.6% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a streak of six consecutive overs.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring team, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as their 177 home runs is 6th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Ketel Marte has been the Diamondbacks’ top power threat this season, as his 30 homers is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. He is also batting .298, which is the best mark on the team. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big run producer for Arizona, as his 87 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Over his last six games, Suarez has gone 8/22 with four homers. Corbin Carroll is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 10/25 with two homers over his last six games.
San Francisco Giants games have gone over the total in three straight contests, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. The Giants have a 71-63 over/under record on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, San Francisco has a 29-23 record in those games. Overall, 51.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, while 11.4% of their games have had lower lines.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is the same number of runs they are averaging at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is 13th. San Francisco’s offense has been led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos, who have 22 and 20 home runs, respectively.
Over his last five games, Mike Yastrzemski has gone 4/15 with two homers and six runs scored. Tyler Fitzgerald is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he has gone 6/20 in his last five games. Both players are currently on four-game hitting streaks.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Spread
When the Diamondbacks are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 41-29. Their average run margin in those games is +0.8 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 43-26 against the run line. Their average run margin in those games is +0.7 runs per game.
Right-hander Merrill Kelly is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.30. Kelly’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. Looking at his overall numbers, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 6.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kelly finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
San Francisco has been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 38-31. The Giants have a run-line record of 31-40 at home, but their average run differential is actually positive at 0.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 38-27 vs. the run line, compared to 31-44 as the favorite.
San Francisco is sending left-hander Blake Snell to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.56. Snell has made one complete game shutout this year and has turned in eight quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.93 strikeouts and 3.87 walks. Snell has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he went seven innings vs. the Marlins, giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Pick: Giants ML -153
Our prediction for this Diamondbacks vs. Giants matchup is to take the Giants on the money line, with the payout sitting at -153. We actually have the Giants winning this game by a score of 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Blake Snell finishing with nine strikeouts, and he is projected to pick up the win. As for Merrill Kelly, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts and is a good option to take a win, as he is 10th in terms of starters to pick up a win.
