Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 21st
From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have the Diamondbacks and Brewers facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 7:10 PM ET, and the Brewers are the slight favorite on the money line (-113). The Diamondbacks are 3-0 over their last three games and their record of 86-68 has them 3rd in the NL West.
Arizona will be looking to keep their winning streak alive with Merrill Kelly on the mound, while the Brewers are starting Aaron Civale. Milwaukee comes in with a record of 88-66, and they are 1st in the NL Central. The over/under line for this one is currently 8.5 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+152) | Brewers 1.5 (-195)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks -105 | Brewers -113
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline
It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -132 on the money line.
Milwaukee got off to a fast start in this one, scoring three runs in the first and adding one more in the 2nd. As for the Diamondbacks, they didn’t get on the board until the 5th but put up three runs in that inning and added four more in the 6th. Both teams went silent after that, as the Brewers could only muster one more run in the 7th.
Zac Gallen got the win for Arizona, going five innings and giving up four earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but allowed three home runs. A.J. Puk got the save out of the bullpen. DL Hall had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.
Arizona is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 86-68 overall this season. In the NL West, they are six games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 26-20 in divisional games.
Arizona has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers, and they are 26-19-4 in series this year. As the road team, the Diamondbacks have gone 44-35 compared to 42-33 at home. As the road favorite, Arizona is 16-11 this season.
With an overall record of 88-66, the Brewers lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cubs. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks. In the NL Central, the Brewers have gone 30-19 this season.
At home, the Brewers are 44-32 this season, and they are 44-34 on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 37-30 this season, and they are 51-36 as the favorite. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 28-17-4, and they have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The D-backs have played 53 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs or lower, and their record in those games is 34-19.
Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in batting average and have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS. The Diamondbacks also have the league’s top slugging percentage and are 4th in isolated power.
Leading the Diamondbacks offense is Ketel Marte, who is batting .293 for the season and has gone deep 33 times. Eugenio Suarez is also a significant power threat, as he has 28 homers and is batting .256. Suarez comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 12/36 (.333) over his last nine games.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 8.5 runs. The Brewers have an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-24. So far this season, 30 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 19.5% of their games.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 32 homers are 11th in the league, and Contreras is 3rd on the team with 23 home runs. Adames is also 4th in the league with 109 RBIs. However, Adames is hitting just .248, and Contreras has a batting average of .284. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, with 25 homers, but he is batting just .212.
Over his last nine games, Garrett Mitchell has gone 8/29 with three homers and six RBIs. Overall, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread
Arizona has been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 46-33 overall. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 45-28 as an underdog on the run line this season. Arizona’s average run margin in winning games is +4.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8 runs per game.
Right-hander Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.00. Opponents have hit .233 off Kelly this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.19. Kelly has made five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Kelly has not taken a loss since August 18th.
When betting the run line for the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s been a profitable strategy to take them as the underdog. Their run line record as the underdog is 44-23, compared to 34-53 as the favorite. They have a run line record of 78-76 overall, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. Their run line record at home is just 35-41, compared to 43-35 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6 runs per game, while it drops to -2.8 runs per game in losses.
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he takes on the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with a 4.48 ERA. Civale’s WHIP for the season is 1.33. Looking back at his last outing, Civale picked up the win against the Phillies, going five innings and giving up one earned run on seven hits. He has won each of his last two outings. Against the Diamondbacks, Civale will look to build off his recent success and keep the ball in the park, as he has allowed 27 homers this season.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML -113
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout currently at -113. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Civale finishing with five strikeouts, which has him 13th among all starters today. As for Merrill Kelly, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him 15th.
