Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 20th
First pitch for Friday night’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Brewers is set for 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are currently 88-65 and are starting Colin Rea, while the Diamondbacks are 85-68 and will have Zac Gallen on the mound. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, while the Brewers are leading the NL Central.
The money line odds have the Diamondbacks at -126, while the Brewers are the slight home underdog at +107. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and MLBN will be televising Friday’s game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+131) | Brewers 1.5 (-158)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks -126 | Brewers +107
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline
Arizona cruised to a 5-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -126.
Brandon Pfaadt pitched well for the Diamondbacks in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 12 strikeouts and picked up a win. On the other side, Tobias Myers only went four innings for the Brewers, giving up one earned run on four hits.
Pavin Smith and Garrett Mitchell were the only two hitters in the game to have more than one hit. Smith also homered for the Diamondbacks.
Arizona is 85-68 overall this season, and they are 6.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks are also 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Padres by two games for the 2nd spot in the division. Arizona has gone 26-20 against other teams in the NL West this season.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33, and they have gone 43-35 on the road. Arizona has won two straight games, and they are 50-30 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 35-38 this season, and they have lost two straight series.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by ten games over the Cubs. Overall, the Brewers are 88-65, and they are 30-19 in divisional games. The Brewers will try to pick up a win today, as they dropped the first game of the series vs. the Diamondbacks. This season, they are 51-36 as the favorite and 37-29 as the underdog.
At home, the Brewers are 44-31 this season, and they are 44-34 on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 28-17-4 and have won three straight series. Milwaukee’s last series loss came on the road, and they have won four straight series on the road.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 87-59. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-6-2. Overall, 71.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Arizona has been the best offensive team in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also lead the league in on-base percentage and OPS.
Arizona’s top power hitter this season has been Ketel Marte, who has gone deep 32 times, which is the 9th best mark in the league. Eugenio Suarez is just behind him with 28 homers and is also 13th in the league with 97 RBIs. Suarez has been hot of late, going 15/39 in his last 10 games with three homers.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Brewers have an over/under record of 77-66 this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-11-5. Overall, 54.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at three games.
William Contreras has been a big part of the Brewers’ offense this season, as he is batting .280 with 22 home runs and 90 RBIs. Willy Adames has also been a key run producer, as his 109 RBIs is 4th in the league and leads the Brewers. Adames also has a team-high 32 homers but is hitting just .248 for the season. Rhys Hoskins is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .212.
Brice Turang has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 8/23 in his last six games. During this stretch, he has scored five runs. Garrett Mitchell has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/16 with two homers in his last five games. Willy Adames has two homers in his last five games but is just 4/19 in that stretch.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread
Arizona has been a solid run line team this season, going 79-74 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 45-33 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games.
Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.61 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander this year. In his 26 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Gallen’s last outing came on September 15th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts without giving up a run.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs, but when they lose, it’s by an average of -2.8. They have covered the run line in 78 of 153 games, including 35 of 75 at home. They are 44-22 vs. the run line as an underdog, but just 34-53 as the favorite. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite.
Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. Rea has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with an ERA of 4.14. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has a WHIP of 1.22 and has issued just 2.24 walks per nine innings. In his 25 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts. Rea’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went 2 2/3 innings and didn’t allow a run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. He didn’t take the loss in any of those starts, though.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML +107
With the Brewers being the underdog at +107, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers, and with the payout at +107, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Colin Rea going up against Zac Gallen. We have Rea finishing with six strikeouts compared to Gallen with eight. However, Gallen does have a better chance of picking up a win, but we still like the Brewers to get the win today.