Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
At 8:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Astros will face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -159. The Diamondbacks are +133 on the money line, and they are 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 79-62.
Friday’s pitching matchup features Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks and Framber Valdez for the Astros. Valdez and the Astros are currently on a three-game losing streak. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MLB Extra Innings.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Diamondbacks 1.5 (-168) | Astros -1.5 (+138)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Diamondbacks +133 | Astros -159
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction: Moneyline
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Arizona was the +133 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Merrill Kelly was excellent for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Diamondbacks couldnjson’t close things out, and Kevin Ginkel took the loss out of the bullpen. The Diamondbacks also wasted a big game from Geraldo Perdomo, who went 2/5 with a run scored.
Arizona is 79-62 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 25-18 in the division and won their most recent series, taking two of three from the Giants. So far, their overall series record is 25-16-4, and they have won three straight series on the road.
On the road, the Diamondbacks are 40-31 compared to a 39-31 mark at home. Arizona has dropped four straight games as the underdog, and they are 34-36 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 45-26 this season. Heading into today’s game, they have gone just 4-6 over their last ten.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Reds with a 1-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -155 on the money line. It was a good start for the Astros, as Hunter Brown went six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six. However, the Astros couldn’t get the win, and Bryan Abreu took the loss out of the bullpen.
Offensively, the Astros only had four hits but didn’t score a run. Their best chance to score came in the 7th inning, but Jeremy Pena was thrown out at home. Pena had two hits and a stolen base in the game.
The Astros are currently 75-65 overall, putting them 1st in the AL West. They hold a 4.5 game lead over the Mariners for the division lead. Houston will be hosting the Diamondbacks today and have dropped three straight games, losing the final three games of their series vs. the Reds.
At home, the Astros are 39-29 this year and an even 36-36 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 57-46 this year and 18-19 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 24-19-2 this year.
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction: Over/Under
The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road today to face the Houston Astros. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Diamondbacks have played in 117 games with O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which is 83.0% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 10.2 runs per game, and their O/U record for the season is 80-54.
Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league so far this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have the league’s top on-base percentage and are 2nd in both team batting average and OPS. Arizona is also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, coming in 6th in the MLB.
Ketel Marte has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .298 with 30 home runs and 81 RBIs. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big power threat, as his 24 homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Over his last six games, Suarez has gone 7/21 (.333) with three homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is 7th on the team with a batting average of .274 and has 17 homers.
The Houston Astros are playing at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Astros have played 111 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 55-80. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 8-16. Only 5 of their games this season have had over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs.
Yordan Alvarez has been a major power threat for the Astros this season, as his 30 homers are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Alvarez is also batting a very strong .309. Yainer Diaz has also been a big run producer for Houston, as his 78 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Alex Bregman has 21 homers this season, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
Over his last five games, Jeremy Pena has gone 5/18, while Yordan Alvarez has gone 4/18 with two homers in that stretch. Chas McCormick and Kyle Tucker are both on decent hitting streaks for the Astros coming into the game.
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction: Spread
Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 74-67 record. The Diamondbacks have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 42-29. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game away from home.
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Astros on the road. Pfaadt has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with a 4.32 ERA. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is 1.19, and he has been pitching well lately, coming off a start in which he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and picking up the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
When the Astros win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 71-69, and they are 32-36 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 25-12 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 46-57.
Left-hander Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 13-6 with an ERA of 3.11. Valdez most recently faced the Royals, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and not giving up a run. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Valdez has one complete game and 14 quality starts this year. His ERA at home is 3.21 compared to 3.98 on the road.
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Pick: Astros ML -159
Our prediction for this Diamondbacks vs. Astros matchup is that the Astros will pick up a 6-5 win. With the money line payout for an Astros win sitting at -159, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Framber Valdez finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing 19th among starters. As for Brandon Pfaadt, his projection is just four strikeouts, which would have him finishing second to last.
