Cubs vs Rockies Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
Chicago is the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are paying out at -154 compared to the Rockies, who have a money line odds of +131. The over/under line is sitting at 11 runs, and the forecast for Saturday’s game calls for temperatures in the mid to upper 80s with partly cloudy skies.
First pitch from Coors Field is set for 8:10 PM ET, and Jameson Taillon will be starting for the Cubs, while the Rockies are going with Kyle Freeland. Chicago is 75-72 this season, while the Rockies are 56-92, and they will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Cubs -1.5 (-103) | Rockies 1.5 (-119)
- Total: 11
- MoneyLine: Cubs -154 | Rockies +131
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction: Moneyline
Thanks to a three-home run performance from the Rockies’ offense, they cruised to a 9-5 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rockies were at +124 on the money line.
Colorado’s three homers came from Hunter Goodman, Ezequiel Tovar, and Ryan McMahon. Goodman and Tovar each had two homers for the Rockies’ offense.
Austin Gomber pitched well for the Rockies in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts and got the win.
Chicago is 75-72 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by ten games. The Cubs have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Rockies 0-1. So far, they have gone just 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Cubs are 38-33 this year and 37-39 on the road. As the favorite, Chicago has gone 38-34 this year and 37-38 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Cubs are 21-23-3 and have won four straight series on the road.
Colorado is 56-92 overall, and they are 31.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Rockies have gone just 15-28 in divisional games this year. Currently, they trail the Giants by 16 games for 4th place in the division.
The Rockies have won two straight games, and this came after dropping five in a row. At home, the Rockies are 33-37 this year and 23-55 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 54-90. As for their record as the home underdog, it is 31-35 this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 11-32-4, and they are currently up 1-0 in this series vs. the Cubs.
Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction: Over/Under
Chicago Cubs games have had an average combined run total of 8.8 this season, and their over/under record is 69-73. The average over/under line for Cubs games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 11 runs is 0-1. Only 1 of their games this season has had an over/under line of 11 runs, and the over has hit in 4 straight games.
Chicago’s offense has been a bit better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game compared to 4.0 at home. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 4.6 runs per contest. The Cubs are 19th in home runs and have a team batting average of .241, which is 14th in the MLB. So far, they have been a good team at drawing walks and have a collective OBP of .316.
Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ have been the Cubs’ top power threats this season, with Suzuki going deep 20 times and Happ leading the team with 81 RBIs. Suzuki is batting .273, and Happ comes in with a batting average of .243. Nico Hoerner has been a solid all-around contributor, hitting .261 with five homers and 42 RBIs. Over his last nine games, Cody Bellinger is hitting .355 with three homers and 10 RBIs.
The Rockies are home today against the Cubs, and the over/under line for the game is set at 11 runs. This season, the Rockies and their opponents have combined to score an average of 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 72-73. The average over/under line for Rockies games this season is 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 11 runs, their over/under record is 7-9-1. In 10.8% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 11 runs or higher.
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a better offense at home, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. As a team, the Rockies are batting .242, which is 13th in the MLB, and have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league. One thing to note is that they are 28th in the league in strikeouts and have the 24th ranked walk rate.
Both Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle have been swinging the bat well for the Rockies this season, as they are the team’s top two home run hitters and are batting .267 and .266, respectively. Tovar and Michael Toglia are tied for the team lead in homers, but Tovar has the better batting average of the two. Over his last seven games, Hunter Goodman has gone 7/24 with three homers and eight RBIs.
Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction: Spread
Chicago has been a solid run line bet this season, going 72-75 overall, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 45-31. They have covered the run line in two straight road losses, and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 49-26 against the run line.
Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 10-8 with a 3.57 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is 1.17, and he has turned in 13 quality starts. In his last outing, Taillon picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Taillon’s ERA on the road is 5.01, compared to 2.8 at home.
Colorado has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 37-33. They have an average run margin of -0.7 at home, and their run line record as the underdog is 72-72. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.1.
Kyle Freeland will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Brewers, he only gave up four hits and issued three walks. Looking back over his last four outings, Freeland has a record of 2-2. For the season, he is 5-7 with a 4.97 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .276 off the left-hander this year. Freeland has made nine quality starts and is averaging 7.12 strikeouts per nine innings. This year, he has given up a total of 14 homers.
Cubs vs. Rockies Pick: Rockies ML +131
With the Rockies being the underdog at +131, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Cubs vs. Rockies matchup. We have the Rockies winning this one by a score of 7-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Freeland actually has a better chance of picking up a win than Jameson Taillon. We have Freeland going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Taillon, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts as well.