Cubs vs Phillies Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th
At 6:40 PM ET, the Cubs and Phillies will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and has the Phillies favored on the money line (+108). The Cubs’ money line odds are sitting at -127, and they are 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 80-77. Philadelphia is 1st in the NL East at 93-64.
Justin Steele will start for the Cubs, while the Phillies are going with Tanner Banks. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 70s. MARQ will carry this game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+132) | Phillies 1.5 (-161)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Cubs -127 | Phillies +108
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction: Moneyline
Philadelphia cruised to a 6-2 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and added two more in the 3rd. As for the Cubs, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -205 on the money line.
Aaron Nola got the win for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Cubs, Nate Pearson only went one inning and gave up one hit and one earned run.
J.T. Realmuto and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 2/3 with an RBI for Chicago. Bryce Harper also had a two-hit game at the plate.
With an overall record of 80-77, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 9.5 games. Today, the Cubs are on the road for their matchup with the Phillies. Chicago is 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central this year.
Chicago has gone 5-5 across their last ten games and lost the first game of this series vs. the Phillies. Looking at how they have fared on the road, the Cubs are 38-41 compared to 42-36 at home. The Cubs have been the favorite in 81 of their games and have gone 43-38 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, the Cubs are 37-39 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 22-25-3.
Philadelphia is 93-64 overall this season, which has them leading the NL East by 5.5 games over the Mets. So far, they have gone 28-21 in divisional play. The Phillies have won three straight games at home, and they are 53-26 at home this year.
The Phillies have been just above .500 on the road, going 40-38. As the underdog, the Phillies are 13-18 this season, and they are 80-46 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 27-18-7 and have dropped two straight series.
Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction: Over/Under
The Cubs are on the road today against the Phillies in a game with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Cubs have had an over/under record of 73-78 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs have gone over the total 18 times and under 14 times. Overall, 45 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.7% of their games this season.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game compared to 4.0 at home. As a team, the Cubs are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and have the 13th most home runs in the league.
Over his last six games, Ian Happ has gone 6/21 with two homers and four runs scored. For the season, he leads the Cubs with 85 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 21 homers. Seiya Suzuki is also near the top of the Cubs home run leaderboard, with 21 homers, and has a batting average of .278.
The Philadelphia Phillies are hosting the Chicago Cubs today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 73-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-14. Overall, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 27.4% of their games this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 4th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have a collective batting average of .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league.
Kyle Schwarber has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 37 home runs are the best mark in the league. He is also 10th in the MLB with 100 RBIs. Schwarber has gone deep twice over his last five games, but he is batting just .217 during that stretch. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are also key run producers for the Phillies, with Bohm 15 homers and Harper at 29.
Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction: Spread
When betting the Cubs on the run line, it’s best to do so on the road, where they are 46-33. Their average run differential is +0.4, and they are 76-81 overall on the run line. They are 30-48 at home on the run line, where their average run differential is +0.5. They are 27-54 on the run line as the favorite and 49-27 as the underdog.
Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.03. Steele’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Steele went 2 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of his complete games came at home, and he has allowed 11 homers this season.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 76-81 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, going 40-38 compared to 36-43 at home. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-15 against the run line.
Tanner Banks will be looking to pitch better than he did in his last outing, as he got the start and the short end of the stick out of the bullpen vs. the Mets on September 21st. In that outing, he went just one inning, giving up one earned run, one hit, and one walk. He did not give up a homer in that outing. Banks has made 60 appearances this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA. Opponents are batting .234 off Banks this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.13 walks compared to 9.78 strikeouts.
Cubs vs. Phillies Pick: Phillies ML +108
The best way to play the Cubs vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +108. We have the final score of this one at 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, and with the payout, we really like the value of taking them to win outright.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Justin Steele is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and he has the Cubs finishing with nine as a team. As for Tanner Banks, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and the Phillies with eight.
