Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, the Cubs and Dodgers square off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 10:10 PM ET, and it will be televised on MARQ. The money line odds have the Dodgers as the heavy favorite at -174, while the Cubs are at +146. The over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.
Chicago comes in with a record of 75-70 and will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak. The Dodgers are 86-59 and are 1st in the NL West. Bobby Miller will start for the Dodgers, while the Cubs are starting Jordan Wicks.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Cubs 1.5 (-141) | Dodgers -1.5 (+116)
- Total: 9
- MoneyLine: Cubs +146 | Dodgers -174
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Cubs vs. Dodgers Prediction: Moneyline
Chicago picked up a 6-3 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their six runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 5th.
Seiya Suzuki and Nico Hoerner each had three hits and an RBI for the Cubs. Pete Crow-Armstrong also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Isaac Paredes scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/5.
Shota Imanaga pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Porter Hodge got the save. Evan Phillips took the loss for Los Angeles out of the bullpen.
With an overall record of 75-70, the Cubs are 8.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers and have an overall division record of 21-28. Chicago has won three straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.
Chicago has an even 37-37 record on the road this season and are 38-33 at home. Looking at how they have performed as the underdog, the Cubs are 37-37 and 38-33 when favored. As the road underdog, Chicago has gone 23-27 this season, and they are 20-23-3 in series this year.
With an overall record of 86-59, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have dropped two straight games, and this comes with them losing the first two games of their series vs. the Cubs. So far, they have gone 24-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Dodgers are 47-27 this season, and they are 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 81-48 this season, but they are just 5-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 28-17-3.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Prediction: Over/Under
The Cubs are on the road in Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Cubs have an over/under record of 67-73 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games for the Cubs, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs this season. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over is 6-12-3 in Cubs games this season. This season, only 13.1% of Cubs games have had an over/under line of 9 runs or higher.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they are at just 4 runs per contest, which is 25th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .240, which is 13th in the league, and are 18th in home runs.
Over his last nine games, Cody Bellinger has gone 9/34 with two homers and six RBIs. Dansby Swanson is also on a hot streak, going 12/37 with two homers and five RBIs. Heading into the game, Isaac Paredes is on a three-game hitting streak. Paredes is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .230 for the season.
The Dodgers have seen the over hit in 78 of their 142 games this season, including 11 of 23 when the O/U line is set at 9. The combined run average in their games is 9.2 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games for Los Angeles.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 46 homers are 2nd in the MLB and the most on the Dodgers roster. Ohtani is also batting .290 for the season and has driven in 101 runs, which is 4th in the league. Mookie Betts has been hot of late, going 8/21 in his last six games with two homers and four RBIs. He also comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league. In terms of batting average, they are 6th in the league at .254.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Prediction: Spread
Chicago has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 45-29 overall. The Cubs have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 49-25 as the underdog this season. Their average run differential on the road is +0.4 runs per game.
Left-hander Jordan Wicks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. Wicks has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.03. Coming into the game, his WHIP is 1.42, and opponents have a batting average of .255 off Wicks this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Wicks’ last outing came on September 6th. He has made one quality start this year and is averaging 8.53 strikeouts per nine innings.
When the Dodgers are favored, they are 65-64 against the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6, while their average run differential in losses is -3.4. They are 37-37 against the run line at home, where their average run differential is +0.9. The Dodgers are 72-73 overall against the run line this season.
Through 11 starts, Bobby Miller has a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 7.79. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has a WHIP of 1.65 and has issued 4.53 walks per nine innings compared to 8.7 strikeouts. Miller has made two quality starts this year, and opponents are batting .274 off the right-hander. In his last outing, Miller took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 2-0 record and 3.38 ERA compared to 0-4 with a 13.24 ERA on the road.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Pick: Over 9 Runs -110
Our favorite bet for this Cubs vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers, giving us some wiggle room with the line sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bobby Miller picking up six strikeouts compared to Jordan Wicks with seven. However, Wicks has a much better chance of giving up fewer runs, as his projections have him allowing just two earned runs compared to Miller with four.
Offensively, the Dodgers are projected to have a big day at the plate, and you could look to stack their lineup in DFS. As for the Cubs, they are projected to have a solid day, but we have them finishing with just eight hits compared to the Dodgers with 11.