Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 26th
At 3:10 PM ET, the Cardinals and Rockies face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Coors Field in Denver, and the Cardinals are the slight money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -129. The Rockies are +109 on the money line, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak.
Thursday’s forecast in Denver calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, and they are 81-77 overall and 2nd in the NL Central. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a record of 60-98. BSMW is carrying this one on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Cardinals -1.5 (+118) | Rockies 1.5 (-143)
- Total: 10.5
- MoneyLine: Cardinals -129 | Rockies +109
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Cardinals vs. Rockies Prediction: Moneyline
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Rockies by a score of 5-2. The Cardinals offense only had nine hits in the game but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -129 on the money line.
Colorado got on the board first with one run in the 2nd inning, but the Cardinals responded with one run in the 3rd and took the lead for good with a three-run 4th. As for the Rockies, they scored their final run in the 5th.
Erick Fedde got the win for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Austin Gomber had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up four earned runs.
The Cardinals are nine games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead as they are 81-77 overall. St. Louis has won four straight games, and they are 26-26 against other teams in the division. So far, they have taken two straight vs. the Rockies in this series.
At home, the Cardinals have gone 44-37 this year, and they are just under .500 at 37-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 40-37 this year, and they are 41-40 when the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 26-20-5, and they have won two straight series.
With a record of 60-98, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 34 games. Overall, they are 18-31 against other teams in the NL West. Colorado has dropped three straight games, and they have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Rockies are 36-41 this season, compared to 24-57 on the road. As the underdog, Colorado is 58-96 this season, and they are just 2-2 when favored. So far, their overall series record is 13-33-4.
Cardinals vs. Rockies Prediction: Over/Under
Despite their recent under streak, the St. Louis Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 72-82, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, the under has hit in all four games. In fact, 97.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 10.5 runs.
So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the majors. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and are also among the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .388.
St. Louis has a few players with good home run numbers, as Alec Burleson, and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for the team lead with 21 homers. Burleson is also batting .266, while Goldschmidt is hitting just .241. Brendan Donovan has been a solid run producer this season, as his 69 RBIs are 3rd on the team, and he is batting .272. Iván Herrera has been hot of late, going 5/10 in his last four games.
Colorado is 14-15 this season when the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, and the Rockies have gone under the total in two straight games. The Rockies have played 37 games with an over/under line of 10.5 runs this season, which accounts for 23.4% of their games played overall. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 76-78.
For the season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the MLB. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .241, which is 15th in the league, and they have the 13th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the 2nd best BABIP in the MLB.
Charlie Blackmon has been swinging a hot bat for the Rockies, going 7/18 in his last five games, including two home runs. Ezequiel Tovar has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games. Tovar is 1st on the team in RBIs and home runs, while batting .265 for the season.
Cardinals vs. Rockies Prediction: Spread
The Cardinals are 40-37 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in three straight games. They are 53-28 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 27-50 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while it is -3.5 in losses.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Rockies on the road. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 8-8 with an ERA of 4.13. In his 29 appearances, Gibson has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Gibson took the loss vs. the Guardians, giving up three earned runs on six hits in six innings of work. He has lost each of his last two outings.
When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game. When they lose, it’s by an average of 4.1 runs per game. They are 78-80 against the run line this season, including a 40-37 mark at home. They have failed to cover the run line in three straight home games and are 1-3 against the run line as the favorite.
Kyle Freeland will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Dodgers, as he gets the start for the Rockies today. In that September 20th start, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Freeland has finished with a no-decision, win, loss, and loss. His record for the season is 5-8, and his ERA is 4.95. Opposing batters have hit .274 off Freeland this season. Out of his 20 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 6.69 strikeouts per nine innings.
Cardinals vs. Rockies Pick: Rockies ML +109
With the Rockies at home and getting +109 on the money line, they are our recommended pick in this one. We have the Rockies winning by a final score of 5-4, giving you a couple of different ways you could look to bet this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Freeland actually has a better chance of picking up a win than Kyle Gibson. Freeland is projected to go five innings and finish with four strikeouts. As for Gibson, he is projected to finish with five K’s and go five innings.
