Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th
Wednesday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers has a first pitch set for 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 81-58 and are starting Colin Rea, while the Cardinals are 70-69 and will have Sonny Gray on the mound.
The money line odds have the Cardinals at -122 compared to the Brewers at +103, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. This NL Central showdown can be seen on BSMW.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Cardinals -1.5 (+136) | Brewers 1.5 (-163)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Cardinals -122 | Brewers +103
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Cardinals vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline
It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The Cardinals offense only had nine hits in the game but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +133 on the money line.
Milwaukee wasted a good outing from Aaron Civale, as he gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work for the Brewers. Elvis Peguero took the loss. Ryan Helsley got the win out of the bullpen for the Cardinals as Steven Matz only went 4 2/3 innings.
Paul Goldschmidt and Lars Nootbaar each homered for the Cardinals, while Jackson Chourio hit a home run for the Brewers. Goldschmidt, Nootbaar, and Michael Siani each had two RBIs for St. Louis’ offense.
With an overall record of 70-69, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11 games. St. Louis has gone 20-24 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cardinals will be on the road today, and they are 34-37 on the road compared to 36-32 at home.
St. Louis has won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 22-17-5 this year. As the road favorite, the Cardinals are 10-10 this year, and they are 33-34 as the favorite overall. Coming into today’s game, the Cardinals are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
Milwaukee is 81-58 overall this season, and they lead the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 30-18 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, the Brewers are 41-26 this season and 40-32 on the road. They have gone 47-33 as the favorite and 34-25 as the underdog.
The Brewers have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 24-15-4 this year. Milwaukee is 6-4 across their last ten games. So far, they are 1-1 in their series vs. the Cardinals, with the deciding game coming up today.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 68-68. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-13-1. Overall, 81 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, which accounts for 58.3% of their games. Their current over streak is at 5 games.
Paul Goldschmidt has been on a tear for the Cardinals over his last nine games, going 19/36 with two homers and nine RBIs. Goldschmidt is also on a 10-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .247, and his 21 homers are tied for the team lead with Alec Burleson. Burleson has also been a solid run producer, with his 73 RBIs pacing the team.
St. Louis has been a below-average offensive team this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also just 18th in home runs and have a collective OPS of .705, which is 17th in the league. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .249, which is 10th in the MLB.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers’ game against the St. Louis Cardinals is right around their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers have played 78 games with higher over/under lines than 8 runs, which is 56.1% of their games this season. Their over/under record for games with an 8-run line is 11-11-4, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Shortstop Willy Adames has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, going 8/27 (.296) with five homers and 12 RBIs over his last six games. He also comes into the game on a current eight-game hitting streak. Adames’ 29 homers this season is 9th in the league and is the top mark on the Brewers. Overall, he is batting .255.
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per game. Milwaukee is also one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks and have a team batting average of .252.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better bet as the underdog, going 47-25. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 22-45. Their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, and they have gone 69-70 on the run line this season. They have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 35-36 on the run line.
Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 12-9 with an ERA of 3.96. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. Gray’s ERA on the road is 5.97, compared to 2.82 at home. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Gray’s strikeout total for the season is 179, and he is averaging 10.91 strikeouts per nine innings.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which is why they are 40-19 against the run line as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 72-67, and their average run margin for the season is +1.0 runs per game.
Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he has made 23 starts this season. Rea’s record is 12-4, and he has an ERA of 3.70. This year, he has turned in eight quality starts, and his ERA at home is 4.04 compared to 3.73 on the road. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been hit or miss lately, as he allowed seven earned runs vs. the Dodgers on August 13th.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML +103
Our pick for today’s Cardinals vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +103. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with six strikeouts, which is 12th among starters.
As for the Brewers starter, Colin Rea, we have him finishing with six strikeouts as well, which is 15th among starters. However, we have Rea’s chances of picking up a win as being slightly better than Gray, with Rea coming in ninth in our projections.
