Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
At 3:07 PM ET, the Cardinals and Blue Jays face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-134). The Cardinals have a money line odds of +112 and their NL Central rank is 3rd.
Both of Saturday’s starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals and Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSMW will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Cardinals 1.5 (-199) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+159)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Cardinals +112 | Blue Jays -134
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
Toronto picked up a 4-3 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a three-run 4th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 11th. As for the Cardinals, they scored two runs in the 8th and wasted a good outing from Erick Fedde, who gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work.
Alejandro Kirk was the difference for the Blue Jays, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt and Pedro Pages each had two hits and two RBIs for the Cardinals’ offense.
Erik Swanson got the win for the Blue Jays out of the bullpen, while Ryan Fernandez took the loss for St. Louis. Kevin Gausman had a good outing for Toronto, giving up just two earned runs across seven innings of work.
With a record of 74-73, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11 games. St. Louis lost the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays and are 23-25 in divisional games this year. At home, the Cardinals are 39-35 and 35-38 on the road.
As the underdog, St. Louis has dropped two straight games and is 39-38 as the underdog overall. They are an even 35-35 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Cardinals are 24-19-5 and have won three straight series on the road.
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 16 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 70-78 and have gone just 3-7 over their last ten games. So far, they are 20-26 against other AL East teams.
At home, the Blue Jays are 36-37 this year and 34-41 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 42-28 and 29-21 as the favorite at home. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 16-25-6, and they have dropped four straight series.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The Over/Under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have played in games with an average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their Over/Under record is 69-74. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-15-1. The O/U line has been set at 8 runs in 55.8% of their games this season, and their current Under streak is at 4 games.
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 11th in the league. St. Louis has two players tied for the team lead in home runs, with Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt each having 21 homers. Burleson’s 73 RBIs are the best on the team, while Goldschmidt is 4th with 59 RBIs.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/30 in his last eight games. Masyn Winn has also been a consistent performer, but he is looking to turn things around after going 5/30 in his last seven games. Winn comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .273.
The Blue Jays are at home today against the St. Louis Cardinals with an over/under line of 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-68. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 23-15-2. Overall, 48.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, with 71 games having lines set above 8 runs and 37 games having lines set below 8 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This is also the 22nd ranked home run hitting team in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 28 homers are 14th in the league, and he is batting .320 overall.
George Springer is also a power threat in the Blue Jays lineup, but he is batting just .221 so far this season. However, he does have 19 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Springer is also on a three-game hitting streak. Toronto’s hottest hitter is Spencer Horwitz, who is 10/19 in his last seven games, including three homers in that stretch.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 37-36. They have won three straight run line bets away from home. The Cardinals have been a much better bet as an underdog this season, going 50-27 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it drops to -3.6 in losses.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 4.20 ERA. Gibson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and not allowing a run against the Mariners. Looking back further, he has given up at least two homers in three of his last four starts. Opponents are batting .248 off Gibson this season. Out of his 27 starts, he has 12 quality starts.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but in their losses, they lose by an average of -3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 75-73, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 48-27 vs. the run line. As the underdog, they are 44-34 vs. the run line, while as the favorite, they are 31-39.
José Berríos will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Braves and picked up the win. In that September 7th outing, he went six innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has made 29 starts and has a record of 15-9. His ERA for the season is 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Berríos has one complete game this year and 19 quality starts. For the season, he has allowed 28 home runs and is averaging 7.09 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, Berríos is 9-2 with a 3.07 ERA.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML -134
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -134. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jose Berrios finishing with four strikeouts compared to Kyle Gibson with just two.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to add in the Blue Jays to win. However, if you’re looking to add in an over/under, we would recommend taking the over at 8 runs.
