Brewers vs Pirates Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Pittsburgh on Tuesday, where the Pirates and Brewers are set to face off at PNC Park. First pitch is currently scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. SN PT will be televising this NL Central matchup, and the money line odds have the Brewers as the favorite (-140).

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Brewers are in first place in the NL Central with a record of 89-67. The Pirates are 5th in the division at 73-83. Tobias Myers is starting for the Brewers, while the Pirates are going with Bailey Falter.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+118) | Pirates 1.5 (-143)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Brewers -140 | Pirates +120

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Moneyline

Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Brewers closed out the series with a 10-9 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -138 on the money line. It was a seven-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Diamondbacks could only score one run in the 3rd. Milwaukee’s offense added another three runs in the 4th to go along with their seven-run 3rd.

Franke Montas had a short start for the Brewers, giving up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Milwaukee’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, and the Brewers’s offense closed things out with a

Willy Adames went 3/5 with two doubles, a run scored, and a run batted in. The Brewers also had three other players with two hits.

Milwaukee heads into today’s game vs. the Pirates with an overall record of 89-67, which has them leading the NL Central by 9.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are coming off a series loss to the Diamondbacks, dropping three of four games. So far, they have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 45-33 this year, and they are 44-34 on the road. Milwaukee’s series record is 28-18-3 this year, and they have won four straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 52-37 this year and 37-30 as the underdog.

The Pirates’s offense was carried by Oneil Cruz in their most recent game vs. the Reds. Cruz went only 3 innings, but he was 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Pirates scored their other run in the 1st inning and went on to win the game 2-0. Pittsburgh was the slight underdog at -109 on the money line going into the game.

Paul Skenes got the start for the Pirates, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Reds batters. Aroldis Chapman closed things out in the 9th for the Pirates, picking up the save.

Pittsburgh is 5th in the NL Central with a record of 73-83, which puts them 16 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. Overall, they are 24-25 in divisional matchups. The Pirates lost two of three games in their series vs. the Reds, and they are just 3-7 across their last ten games.

At home, the Pirates are 38-40 this year and 35-43 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 62 games, going 34-28 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Pirates are 39-55 as the underdog and 15-19 as the underdog at home. So far, they have an overall series record of 20-24-5, and they have dropped three straight series.

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Over/Under

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is often set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.8 combined runs per game. The over/under record for their games this season is 79-67, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-12-5. Overall, 53.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers of late, going 6/13 in his last four games with a home run. For the season, he is batting .285 with 23 homers and 92 RBIs. Willy Adames is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 110 RBIs are 4th in the league, and he is also 9th in the league with 32 homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average (.249).

The Pirates have had 121 games with an over/under line set this season, and 78 of those games have had lines set at 8 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 75-79. They have gone over the total in 16 of 35 games when the line is set at 8 runs.

Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been two of the Pirates’ best hitters this season, with Cruz batting .268 with 21 homers and Reynolds hitting .276 with 22 homers. Reynolds also leads the team with 85 RBIs. Cruz and Reynolds have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Cruz going 4/14 in his last five games and Reynolds going 5/17 in his last six games.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Spread

The Brewers have been a solid run line team this season, going 78-78 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 43-35 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have a run line scoring margin of 1.1 runs per game away from home.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Pirates. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.05 ERA. Myers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 24 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers has been much better on the road this year, coming in with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.27 compared to 3-1 with a 3.37 ERA at home.

When betting the run line, the Pirates have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 45-33 on the run line away from PNC Park compared to 38-40 at home. They have also been a better bet as an underdog than as a favorite, going 59-35 on the run line as the underdog compared to 24-38 as the favorite.

Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Brewers. This year, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 8-8. Falter’s ERA is 4.15, along with a WHIP of 1.27. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Falter took the loss vs. the Cardinals. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and one homer. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.

Brewers vs. Pirates Pick: Brewers ML -140

With the Brewers listed at -140 to pick up the win on the road, we really like this as a money line pick. At -140, there is some solid value in taking the Brewers to win outright, as opposed to taking them on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tobias Myers is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have Bailey Falter finishing with just four. Myers is also projected to go eight innings, which is the eighth best among starters today.

Offensively, the Brewers are projected to finish with 11 team strikeouts, which is the second-most in the league today. For the Pirates, they are projected to finish with 10 strikeouts, and we have them finishing with five runs, compared to the Brewers, who are projected to score six.

Another reason we like the Brewers on the money line is that they have a better chance of picking up the win compared to Bailey Falter and the Pirates. Falter is projected to finish with four strikeouts and has the 11th most hits allowed among today’s starters.