Brewers vs Pirates Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 26th

At 12:35 PM ET, the Brewers and Pirates square off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, and the Brewers are the division leaders with a record of 90-68, while the Pirates are 5th in the Central at 74-84.

Milwaukee is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -121 compared to the Pirates at +103. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on BSWI.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+136) | Pirates 1.5 (-166)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Brewers -121 | Pirates +103

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Moneyline

Pittsburgh picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run 5th inning, and the Brewers could only muster one run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +137 on the money line.

Luis L. Ortiz started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Brewers, Freddy Peralta got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Pittsburgh’s offense was led by Jake Bauers, who homered and went 1/3 at the plate. Isiah Kiner-Falefa also had two hits and scored a run for the Pirates. As for the Brewers, Liover Peguero went 1/3 with two RBIs.

Milwaukee has an overall record of 90-68 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Pirates. The Brewers are currently leading the NL Central by 9.0 games over the Cardinals. This season, they have gone 31-20 in divisional matchups.

The Brewers have gone 4-6 across their last ten games and are looking to take the series lead over the Pirates today. So far, they are 28-18-3 in series this season, and they have won four straight series on the road. At home, the Brewers are 45-33 this season.

Pittsburgh is 74-84 overall and 16 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 25-26 in divisional games. The Pirates are looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped three straight series.

At home, the Pirates are 39-41 this year compared to 35-43 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 40-56 this year, and they are 34-28 when favored. The team’s overall series record is 20-24-5, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Over/Under

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.8 combined runs per game. The Brewers have played to the over in 80 of their 148 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 13-13-5 to the over. Overall, 84 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 53.2% of their games.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras hitting 23 homers and Adames leading the team with 32 home runs. Adames’ 111 RBIs is also good for 4th in the league. Adames is batting .252 for the season, while Contreras comes in with a batting average of .283.

Adames is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 11/41 over his last 10 games. Rhys Hoskins is also a big power threat in the lineup, but he is batting just .214 this season. The Brewers come into the game averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

When the Pirates play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 76-80. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 17-20. Overall, 49.4% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 27.2% have been set below that mark.

For the season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, putting up 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .235 and are near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 22 homers and Cruz right behind him at 21. Reynolds also has the team’s top batting average at .274. Over his last eight games, Billy Cook has two homers but is hitting just .250. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone 10/33 in his last eight games but has no home runs during that stretch.

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Spread

The Brewers have been a solid play on the run line this season, going 79-79 overall. They have been a better play on the run line on the road, going 44-36, compared to being just 35-43 at home. The Brewers have been a better play on the run line as the underdog, going 44-23, compared to just 35-56 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it’s -2.9 in losing games.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with a 4.53 ERA. Civale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Civale took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 6.61 on the road compared to 3.62 at home.

When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 84-74 overall, including 39-41 at home and 45-33 on the road. They have been the underdog in more games than the favorite, going 60-36 as the underdog and 24-38 as the favorite.

Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. Against the Reds, he gave up 8 earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Keller has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-11 with a 4.21 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, Keller has an ERA of 6.36 on the road compared to 3.24 at home. So far, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 8.32 strikeouts per nine innings. Keller has allowed a total of 23 homers this season.

Brewers vs. Pirates Pick: Brewers ML -121

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup, but we are going to stick with a straight money line pick and take the Brewers to win. At -121, there is still some good value in taking the Brewers on the money line.

Looking at a few other ways you could bet this one, if you wanted to go with a parlay, we would recommend pairing a Brewers win with the under. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. Offensively, the Brewers lineup is projected to pick up 8 hits, while the Pirates are projected to finish with nine.