Brewers vs Giants Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 12th
Thursday’s matchup between the Brewers and Giants is set to get started at 9:45 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA. Milwaukee is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -130 compared to the Giants at +109. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Frankie Montas will go for the Brewers, while the Giants are sending Hayden Birdsong to the mound. Milwaukee is 83-62 this season and is in 1st place in the NL Central, while the Giants are 4th in the NL West with a record of 72-74. NBCS will be televising Thursday’s game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+131) | Giants 1.5 (-159)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Brewers -130 | Giants +109
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Brewers vs. Giants Prediction: Moneyline
San Francisco cruised to a 13-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their thirteen runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Giants were favored at -136 on the money line.
Blake Snell only went five innings for the Giants but gave up just one run and struck out eight. He picked up a win in the game, while Colin Rea had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss. Rea went just four innings and gave up ten earned runs.
Mike Yastrzemski and Jerar Encarnacion each homered for the Giants, while Matt Chapman went 1/3 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Tyler Fitzgerald also had a good game at the plate, going 3/5 with two RBIs.
Milwaukee is 83-62 overall and leads the NL Central by 8.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central. This season, they are 42-29 at home and have gone 41-33 on the road.
So far, the Brewers have been the favorite in 85 of their games, and they have a record of 49-36 in those games. As for their games as the underdog, the Brewers are 34-26 this year. Their overall series record is 25-17-4, but they have dropped two straight series.
With a record of 72-74, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 15 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional matchups. The Giants are looking to get back to .500 today, as they lost to the Brewers in their most recent game.
At home, the Giants are 41-33 this season, but they have gone just 31-41 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants are 45-32 and 27-42 as the underdog. They have dropped two straight series at home, and their overall series record is 22-20-4.
Brewers vs. Giants Prediction: Over/Under
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the San Francisco Giants today. The O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Brewers have played 105 games with O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their record in those games is 75-61. Their O/U record for the season is 75-61, and their average O/U line is 8 runs per game.
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in walks and on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s offense has also been good at limiting strikeouts this season.
Willy Adames has been one of the Brewers’ most consistent hitters this season, as he is batting .252 with a team-high 30 home runs and 102 RBIs. However, he has just a .231 batting average over his last 10 games. William Contreras comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .281 for the season, with 21 homers and 84 RBIs.
The San Francisco Giants are playing at home against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below the combined run average for these two teams this season. The Giants have played in 53 games this season where the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs or lower, and their record in those games is 29-24.
Heading into today’s game, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. This season, they are batting a collective .240, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is also below the league average. San Francisco’s offense is led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos, who have 24 and 20 homers, respectively. Chapman also leads the team with 73 RBIs.
Over his last nine games, Mike Yastrzemski has gone 7/28 with four homers and seven RBIs. Tyler Fitzgerald has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/35 in his last nine games. Both Chapman and Jerar Encarnacion come into the game with six-game hitting streaks.
Brewers vs. Giants Prediction: Spread
When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a solid play this season, going 73-72 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 39-35 against the run line. They have been a better play as an underdog, going 40-20 against the run line, compared to 33-52 as a favorite. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.8 runs per game in their losses.
Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Giants on the road. Montas has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 6-10 with a 4.69 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Montas has a WHIP of 1.37 and has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Montas took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Montas has been better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-4 and 6.24 ERA compared to 1-6 with a 5.30 ERA at home.
The Giants are 33-41 vs. the run line at home, but they have covered the run line in two straight games at Oracle Park. They are 41-28 vs. the run line as an underdog this season, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.2.
Giants starter Hayden Birdsong will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he took the loss in that game. Against the Diamondbacks, he gave up two earned runs in three innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Birdsong has finished with a no-decision, loss, loss, and loss. So, he hasn’t won a game since August 8th. Birdsong has a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 5.19. Opposing batters are hitting .217 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.08 strikeouts and 6.06 walks.
Brewers vs. Giants Pick: Giants ML +109
With the Giants at +109 on the money line, this is the best way to go for today’s Brewers vs. Giants matchup. We have the Giants taking this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, the Giants’ payout is a great option.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Frankie Montas finishing with around six strikeouts, while Hayden Birdsong is projected to finish with seven. Offensively, the Giants are actually projected to finish with the most home runs in the league today.
