Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th
From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Brewers and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL matchup. The money line odds have the Brewers at -105 compared to the Diamondbacks at -114. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET, and BSWI will be televising it. Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Eduardo Rodriguez for the Diamondbacks. Arizona is 82-64, and the Brewers are 84-62.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks 1.5 (-194)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Brewers -105 | Diamondbacks -114
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
Jackson Chourio had only one hit in the Brewers’ 3-0 win over the Giants, but it was a big one. He homered in the 2nd inning to give the Brewers the lead. Milwaukee’s offense scored their other two runs in the 8th to put things out of reach. Going into the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at -133 on the money line.
Franke Montas started for the Athletics, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Giants batters. Milwaukee’s bullpen closed things out, with Devin Williams picking up the save.
Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 84-62, good for a nine-game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central. The Brewers are 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee won the final two games of their series vs. the Giants and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
As for how they have fared on the road, the Brewers are 42-33 this season compared to a 42-29 mark at home. So far, they have been favored in 86 of their games, and they are 50-36 in those games. The Brewers have gone 34-26 when coming in as the underdog.
Eugenio Suarez was hot at the plate in the Diamondbacks’s most recent game vs. the Rangers, going 4/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a json three innings, scoring 11 runs. Arizona’s offense was the big story, but they also got a good start from Dylan Floro, going four innings and giving up just one earned run while picking up the win.
Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks, going four innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. He also issued two walks and took the loss. Arizona’s bullpen was solid, closing things out with three scoreless innings.
With an overall record of 82-64, the Diamondbacks are five games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. Arizona will host the Brewers today, having won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rangers with two straight wins. So far this season, they have gone 25-18 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 41-31 this season and 41-33 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 47-26 and 35-38 as the underdog. They have put together a two-game winning streak at home and are 7-14 as the home underdog this season. So far, their overall series record is 26-17-4.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 75-62. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Brewers have gone over in 27 out of 49 games, and 20.5% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/26 in his last eight games with one home run. Overall, he is batting .280 with 21 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has been a big run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 102 RBIs are 4th in the league and leads the team. He also has 30 homers, which is 11th in the MLB.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Milwaukee is also one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.
Arizona’s games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 84-55. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 31-17. Overall, 54 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5, accounting for 37.0% of their contests.
Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top team in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. So far, they have the 2nd best team batting average in the league at .263.
Over his last nine games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire, going 17/33 with six homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .256 with a team-high 92 RBIs and 28 homers. Suarez’s five-game hitting streak is the longest on the team. Ketel Marte has also been a big run producer for the Diamondbacks, as he is 10th in the league with 85 RBIs.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 40-35. They have an average run margin of 1.0 on the road, which is slightly better than their overall average run margin of 0.9. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 40-20, compared to 34-52 as the favorite.
Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing his last time out, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Rockies on September 8th, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. In that outing, he gave up seven hits, issued two walks, and served up one home run. Before that outing, Peralta had picked up the win in two straight starts. His record for the season is 10-8, and he has an ERA of 3.81. This year, opponents are batting .217 off Peralta.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 77-69 overall and 43-31 on the road. The Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.7 runs per game overall and have been even better at home, where they are 34-38 on the run line with an average scoring margin of +0.8 runs per game. They have hit the run line in two straight games and are 45-28 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Through six starts, Eduardo Rodriguez has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 5.83 for the Diamondbacks. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.53. In his last outing, Rodriguez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back at his last four starts, he has given up at least one homer in each outing. The left-hander has a walk rate of 3.07 per nine innings compared to 5.52 strikeouts. Opposing batters are hitting .287 off Rodriguez this season.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -114
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -114. We actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4, meaning you could also look to take the Diamondbacks on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Freddy Peralta with eight. Rodriguez also has a better chance of picking up the win, ranking sixth compared to Peralta at third.
