Braves vs Reds Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 18th
At 6:40 PM ET, the Braves and Reds square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are the slight underdog on the money line (+125). The money line odds have the Braves at -147, and they are looking to avoid a four-game losing streak.
Wednesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecast for the game calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (+113) | Reds 1.5 (-136)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Braves -147 | Reds +125
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Braves vs. Reds Prediction: Moneyline
Cincinnati picked up a 6-5 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 6th inning, scoring two runs in the 1st and then adding four more in the 6th. As for the Braves, they scored three runs in the 1st and then added two more in the 7th.
Brandon Williamson only went 1 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Grant Holmes struggled on the mound for the Braves, going just four innings and giving up five hits and two earned runs.
Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson each homered for the Reds, while Noelvi Marte scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Ty France also had a two-hit game at the plate.
With an overall record of 81-70, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 10 games. Atlanta has dropped three straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Reds. Heading into today’s game, the Braves are 24-22 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Braves have gone 42-33 this season, and they are just above .500 at 39-37 on the road. As the favorite, Atlanta is 68-52 this season, and they are 13-18 as the underdog. The Braves have an overall series record of 26-17-7 this season.
Cincinnati is 74-78 overall and 13.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division and have gone 21-25 in divisional matchups this year. The Reds took the first game of this series vs. the Braves and have gone 6-4 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Reds are 37-39 this year while going 37-39 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 41-45 this year compared to 33-33 as the favorite. Cincinnati has won five straight games at home, and their overall series record is 19-27-3 this year.
Braves vs. Reds Prediction: Over/Under
The Atlanta Braves are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have had an over/under record of 57-89 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-25. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 29.8% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs. Their current over streak is at four games.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .303 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 26 homers but is batting just .239 this season. Ozuna and Olson are on a seven and four game hitting streak, respectively. Over his last nine games, Michael Harris II has three homers and is batting .250.
As a team, the Braves are 16th in the league in scoring at 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .240.
The Cincinnati Reds are back home today to face the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Reds have had a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-74. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, their record is 19-15. The over has hit in four straight games for the Reds.
Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds offense this season, as he is batting .257 and has a team-high 24 home runs. His 69 RBIs are also 2nd on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers, but Steer is batting just .232 and Candelario is hitting .225. However, Steer does come into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense this season, as they are 13th in home runs and 17th in batting average. Over their last five games, TJ Friedl has gone 9/20 with two homers and five RBIs.
Braves vs. Reds Prediction: Spread
The Braves have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 40-36, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, compared to -0.1 at home. As the favorite, they are just 53-67 vs. the run line, but they have been profitable as the underdog, going 18-13.
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.73 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and opponents are batting .234 off him this year. In his last outing, Schwellenbach picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Schwellenbach has a total of nine quality starts this year.
The Reds have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 83-69 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 47-29 on the run line. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, but they have been even better on the run line in their wins, with an average run differential of +3.8 runs per game.
Jakob Junis gets the start for the Reds today and is coming off a short outing out of the bullpen. In that outing, he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up one earned run on one hit. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back at his last three starts, Junis has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 22 appearances this season and has a record of 4-0 with a 2.73 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .207 this season off Junis, and his WHIP for the season is .89. Per nine innings, Junis is averaging 6.75 strikeouts and just 1.12 walks.
Braves vs. Reds Pick: Reds ML +125
Getting the Reds at +125 on the money line is a great value pick in this one. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Reds, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
If you’re looking at the starting pitchers, Jakob Junis is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Spencer Schwellenbach, who is predicted to finish with nine. However, we still have Junis finishing with a better ERA than Schwellenbach.
