Braves vs Reds Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 17th
At 6:40 PM ET, the Braves and Reds square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are the slight money line underdog (+102). The money line odds have the Braves at -120, and they are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 81-69. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central at 73-78.
Tuesday’s forecast in Cincinnati calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves, and he is facing off against Brandon Williamson. The over/under line is currently 9 runs, and the game can be seen on BSSO.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (+135) | Reds 1.5 (-164)
- Total: 9
- MoneyLine: Braves -120 | Reds +102
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Braves vs. Reds Prediction: Moneyline
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 9-0 loss. Atlanta was the +116 underdog at home going into the game. Things really got away from the Braves in the 7th inning, as the Dodgers scored six runs in the inning. Atlanta’s offense was held to just four hits and didn’t score a run.
Max Fried was on the mound for the Braves and took the loss. He went six innings, giving up three earned runs on just two hits. Fried also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Braves’ bullpen didnjson’t fare any better, as they gave up another three earned runs in the 8th.
With an overall record of 81-69, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by nine games. The Braves lost the final two games of their series vs. the Dodgers and are 5-5 across their last ten games. At home, the Braves are 42-33 this season and 39-36 on the road.
Atlanta’s overall division record is 24-22 this season, and they have gone 68-51 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Braves are 13-18 this season, and they have a series record of 26-17-7 heading into today’s game. The Braves will be on the road today, where they are the favorite.
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 9-2 loss. This was especially tough, as the Reds held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the 4th to take the lead. Minnesota added another five runs in the 6th to put things out of reach. Cincinnati was the +150 underdog going into this road game.
Rhett Lowder got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Offensively, the Reds scored their only two runs in thejson 4th inning. Tyler Stephenson went 2/3 with a run scored.
Cincinnati is 73-78 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Cardinals by 2.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division and are 14.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds are on a four-game winning streak at home, and they are 36-39 at home this year.
As the underdog, the Reds have gone 40-45 this year compared to a mark of 33-33 as the favorite. Today’s game vs. the Braves will be the first of the series, and the Reds are 19-27-3 in series this year. Their overall record includes going 21-25 in division games.
Braves vs. Reds Prediction: Over/Under
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Braves have an over/under record of 56-89 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 10-14-3. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season. Recently, the over has hit in three straight games for the Braves.
Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs are 9th best in the league and tops on the team. He has also been a big power threat, with his 37 homers leading the team and ranking 6th in the MLB. Ozuna has also been strong in terms of batting average, hitting .302 for the season. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 87, but is batting just .238.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 6th in home runs. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Over their last six games, Jorge Soler is batting .450, with a homer and six runs scored. Soler also has a six-game hitting streak coming into the game.
The Cincinnati Reds have a combined run average of 8.7 this season, and their over/under record is 70-74. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Reds are 6-20-5. The over has hit in three straight games for Cincinnati.
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as his 69 RBIs are the 2nd most in the lineup. He also leads the team with 24 home runs and is batting .257. Spencer Steer has the most home runs in the Reds lineup, but he is batting just .232 for the season. However, he has gone 11/31 in his last nine games, with two homers and seven RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a very consistent offense, as they are also 15th in home runs and 14th in home runs at home and on the road. Overall, they are batting just .233, which is 19th in the league.
Braves vs. Reds Prediction: Spread
The Braves have been a good bet against the run line on the road, going 40-35. They have a run line record of 71-79 overall and have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game. They’ve been favored in 119 games, going 53-66 against the run line, while they’ve been underdogs in 31 games, going 18-13.
Grant Holmes will be making the start for the Braves today, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-1 and ERA of 3.79. So far, he has made just one quality start this year. In his 22 appearances, he has pitched a total of 54 2/3 innings. Looking back at his last outing, Holmes came out of the bullpen and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he pitched one inning and didn’t give up a run. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .259 off Holmes this season. Per nine innings, he has 8.89 strikeouts and just 1.81 walks.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 82-69 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 47-29 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is just +0.1 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in six straight games at home.
Brandon Williamson will be making his 4th appearance of the season for the Reds, and his 2nd start. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first 2 appearances and has yet to pick up a win. Williamson’s last start came on the road against the Cardinals, where he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run.
Braves vs. Reds Pick: Braves ML -120
The best way to play this Braves vs. Reds matchup is to take the Braves on the money line, with the payout sitting at -120. We actually have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Grant Holmes finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as a solid option in DFS, but we have Brandon Williamson finishing with just four K’s. Offensively, the Braves lineup is projected to have a big day, with them finishing with 12 hits and the Reds with nine.