Braves vs Nationals Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
Reynaldo Lopez gets the start for the Braves on Tuesday, and he will be facing off against MacKenzie Gore and the Nationals. This NL East matchup has a first pitch time of 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. BSSO will be televising this one, and the Braves are the favorites on the money line (-160).
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Braves come in with a record of 78-66, which has them 3rd in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the division at 64-79.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (+105) | Nationals 1.5 (-127)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Braves -160 | Nationals +135
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction: Moneyline
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the heavy favorite at -157 at home. Offensively, the Braves only had two fewer hits than the Reds but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles, and they didn’t have a runner get past second base.
Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He pitched well, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and struck out seven. However, the Braves’s offense couldnjson’t score a run, and Morton took the loss.
Atlanta is on the road today, taking on the Nationals with an overall record of 78-66, which has them eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 3rd in the division and have gone 23-21 in divisional matchups this year. The Braves lost the series to the Reds, dropping two of three games.
At home, the Braves are 40-31 this year, and they are just above .500 at 38-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 66-50 this year, and they are 12-16 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-16-5, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games.
Washington closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 7-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +132 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored four times in the bottom of the first.
Patrick Corbin had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on 10 hits and issuing three walks. The Nationals also wasted a big game from CJ Abrams, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.
Washington is 64-79 overall and 21.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 19-21 in divisional games. The Nationals will host the Braves today, and they trail the Braves by 8.0 games in the division.
At home, the Nationals are 32-37 this year compared to 32-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 52-67 this year, and they are an even 12-12 when favored. Washington split their most recent series 2-2 vs. the Pirates and are 4-6 over their last ten games. The Nationals have dropped three straight at home.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction: Over/Under
The Braves are on the road today against the Nationals, and the O/U line is set at 8 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 52-87. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-15-1. Overall, 56.2% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current O/U streak is 2 games to the under.
Heading into today’s game, the Braves are 5th in the league in home runs and are batting a collective .240, which is 15th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. The Braves have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game.
Marcell Ozuna has been a big run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs are 5th in the league and the top mark on the team. He also leads the Braves with 37 homers and is batting .304. Ozuna has gone 5/18 in his last five games. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 79 RBIs and has 25 homers but is batting just .233 for the season.
The Washington Nationals will host the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 69-69. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 10-8-1. In 68.5% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and isolated power. The Nationals have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are batting a collective .245.
Over his last eight games, Andrés Chaparro has three home runs and 10 RBIs while batting .242. For the season, he is hitting .285. CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top home run hitters, with 19 and 15 homers, respectively.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction: Spread
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 39-34. They have a positive run differential of 0.9 runs per game on the road, which has helped them cover the run line in the majority of their road games. As the underdog, they have been even better, going 17-11 against the run line.
Right-hander Reynaldo López is starting for the Braves today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 2.04 ERA. Lopez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15, and opponents are batting .219 off him this season. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Lopez has made 13 quality starts this season and is averaging 9.59 strikeouts per nine innings.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 80-63 overall. They are 37-32 against the run line at home and 43-31 on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 69-50 against the run line in those games. They have a negative run differential on the season, but it is much better in games they win, where they average a margin of victory of 3.3 runs.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 8-11 with an ERA of 4.32. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.50. In his last outing, Gore finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on nine hits. He did have a good outing before that, picking up the win and giving up just two earned runs in six innings of work. Gore has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
Braves vs. Nationals Pick: Nationals ML +135
Our prediction for today’s Braves vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line, with the payout at +135. We actually have the Nationals winning this game 5-4, and with the payout, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have MacKenzie Gore finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the highest projection among all starters. As for Reynaldo López, we have him finishing with seven K’s, which is ninth among starters.