Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 17th
From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have the Blue Jays and Rangers facing off in an AL matchup. The money line odds have the Rangers at -143 compared to the Blue Jays at +122. Tonight’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-80s.
First pitch for this one is set for 8:05 PM ET, and SNET will be televising this game. Chris Bassitt is starting for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Nathan Eovaldi. Toronto is 72-78, and the Rangers are 71-79, and the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Blue Jays 1.5 (-189) | Rangers -1.5 (+154)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Blue Jays +122 | Rangers -143
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: Moneyline
The Blue Jays’s offense was carried by Davis Schneider in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals. Schneider went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Blue Jays really needed his big game, as they only scored three runs in the 3-2 win. Toronto was the slight favorite at -126 at home going into the game.
Yariel Rodriguez got the start for the Blue Jays, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the no-decision. Zach Pop picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Chad Green got the save.
Toronto is on the road today to take on the Rangers with an overall record of 72-78. They are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 15 games. The Blue Jays head into today’s game having won three straight, and they closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with three straight wins.
So far, the Blue Jays are 20-26 against other teams in the AL East. At home, they are 38-37 compared to 34-41 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-28 and 28-50 as the underdog. They have struggled as the road underdog, going 21-34 this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 17-25-6.
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 7-0 loss. Texas was the +137 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Rangers in the 1st inning, as the Mariners scored three runs in the inning. Texas’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 8th.
Andrew Heaney got the start for the Rangers and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits. The Rangers didnjson’t have any timely hitting, as their only run came in the 8th inning when they were already down 7-0.
Texas will open their series vs. the Blue Jays having lost three straight games, and they are 10 games below .500 at 71-79. The Rangers are in 3rd place in the AL West, and they trail the Astros by 10 games. So far, they are 20-23 in AL West matchups this season.
At home, the Rangers are 41-34 compared to 30-45 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 47-34 this season and 24-45 as the underdog. The Rangers have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 20-27-1. Texas dropped three of four in their series vs. the Mariners.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: Over/Under
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Texas Rangers. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Blue Jays’ O/U record for the season is 77-69, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 17-15. Overall, 75.3% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.
Over the past 10 games, Spencer Horwitz has been on fire for the Blue Jays, hitting .423 with three homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him put up six runs during that stretch. For the season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .319 and is 11th in the MLB with 96 RBIs. His 28 homers are also 13th in the league. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but has a batting average of just .221.
As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also the 22nd ranked home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are batting a collective .242, which is 13th in the league. Currently, Toronto is 11th in on-base percentage and 15th in slugging.
The Texas Rangers are playing at home against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. The Rangers have gone over the total in 70 of their 145 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 6-7, and their games have had an average of 8.7 runs per game this season. The over has hit in each of their last five games.
Over his last seven games, Marcus Semien has gone 7/29 with four home runs and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .237. Adolis Garcia has also struggled with his batting average, hitting just .216, but he does lead the team with 75 RBIs and is tied with Semien for the 2nd most home runs in the league (22). Corey Seager has also been a big power threat for the Rangers, as his 30 homers is the best mark on the team and 11th in the MLB.
As a team, the Rangers are just 23rd in the league in runs scored and are batting a combined .237, which is 17th in the MLB. Their team on-base percentage and slugging percentage numbers are also below average. Overall, they are 18th in home runs.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: Spread
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have a run line record of 48-27, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games. Their average run differential on the road is -0.1, and their overall run line record is 76-74. They have been a better run line bet on the road than at home, where their run line record is 28-47.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Rangers on the road. So far this season, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 10-13. Bassitt’s ERA for the season is 4.20, along with a WHIP of 1.41. In his 29 starts, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 9.06 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander’s most recent outing came on September 10th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
When betting the run line, the Rangers have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 36-33. They have also been a better bet at home, going 31-44. Overall, they are 63-87 on the run line this season. In their last two games, they have covered the run line at home.
Texas is sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing his last time out. Against the Diamondbacks on September 10th, Eovaldi took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Eovaldi’s record for the season is 11-8, and his ERA is 3.67. Out of his 26 starts, Eovaldi has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 8.88 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 22 homers.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Pick: Rangers ML -143
Our prediction for today’s Blue Jays vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line, with the payout sitting at -143. We actually have the Rangers winning this one 5-4, which means there is also some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nathan Eovaldi finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Chris Bassitt, who we have finishing with just three. Eovaldi also has a better chance of picking up the win, and his projections are better in terms of allowing runs than Bassitt.
Offensively, we have the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits compared to the Rangers, who we have finishing with eight. However, the Rangers have a better chance of hitting a home run, as we have them finishing with just one compared to the Blue Jays, who are projected to hit 1.5.
