Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 19th
Kevin Gausman is starting for the Blue Jays on Thursday, as they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 72-80. The over/under line for today’s game is at 7.5 runs, and the Rangers are the slight money line favorite at -112.
Today’s AL matchup between the Blue Jays and Rangers is set for 2:35 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. Kumar Rocker will be on the mound for the Rangers, who are 73-79 and 3rd in the AL West.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+161) | Rangers 1.5 (-206)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Blue Jays -106 | Rangers -112
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: Moneyline
Thanks to a two-run homer from Adolis Garcia and a great outing from Cody Bradford, the Rangers picked up a 2-0 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rangers were favored at -112 on the money line.
Bradford went seven innings for the Rangers, giving up just five hits and striking out six without issuing a walk. He picked up a win in the game, while Kirby Yates closed things out. Bowden Francis had a good outing for the Blue Jays in the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits.
Texas got on the board in the first inning with Garcia’s two-run shot, and that was all the offense they needed. Both teams finished the game with five hits, and the Blue Jays actually had more doubles and scored more runs in the game’s final two innings.
Toronto is 72-80 overall, and they are 17 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and trail the Rays by two games for the 4th spot in the AL East. The Blue Jays have struggled vs. the AL East, going 20-26 this year.
At home, the Blue Jays have gone 38-37, and they are 34-43 on the road. Toronto has dropped two straight games and are 5-5 over their last 10. As the road favorite, the Blue Jays are 13-7 this year, and they are 44-28 when favored overall. As for their record as the underdog, it is 28-52 this year. The Blue Jays have an overall series record of 17-25-6.
Texas is 73-79 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West, nine games behind the Astros for the division lead. They have gone 20-23 in divisional games this year. The Rangers have won two straight games, and their home record is 43-34 this year.
As the home underdog, the Rangers are 7-12 this season, and they are 24-45 as the underdog overall. Texas has won four straight games at home, and their overall series record is 20-27-1, including having lost two straight series.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: Over/Under
The Blue Jays are on the road against the Rangers today. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Toronto’s over/under record this season is 78-70, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 18-15. The over has hit in 75.0% of their games this season when the line is set at 7.5 runs.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also their home and road splits. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the MLB. Toronto’s offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .319 with 28 homers and 97 RBIs. His 97 RBIs are 10th in the league.
George Springer is on a 3-game hitting streak but is batting just .223 for the season. However, he does have 19 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Davis Schneider has been hot of late, going 7/19 with three homers in his last five games.
When the Texas Rangers are playing at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Rangers and their opponents have combined to average 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-76 overall. The average over/under line for Rangers games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 7-7. In 83.6% of Rangers games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.
Adolis Garcia comes into the game as the Rangers’ top home run hitter this season, but he is batting just .218 for the year. Garcia’s 80 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is 2nd in homers. Marcus Semien and Corey Seager are also near the top of the Rangers’ home run leaderboard, with 22 and 30 homers, respectively. Seager is batting .278 for the season, while Semien is hitting just .235.
Over his last eight games, Marcus Semien has gone just 6/32 at the plate, but he does have three homers in that stretch. Wyatt Langford has been swinging a hot bat of late, batting .379 with two homers in his last eight games. Langford also comes into the game on a hitting streak.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: Spread
The Blue Jays are 48-29 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 76-76 overall against the run line, with an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 44-36 against the run line in those games.
The Blue Jays are sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today vs. the Rangers. Gausman has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 12-11 with a 4.02 ERA. This season, he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 4.59. Gausman’s ERA at home is 6.31. In total, he has two complete games and one shutout. Gausman most recently faced the Cardinals, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
When the Rangers win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, with an average run differential of +3.4 runs per game. This season, Texas has been a good bet to cover the run line when they are the underdog, going 36-33. They have been even better at home, going 33-44 ATS, and they are currently on a four-game run line win streak at home.
Kumar Rocker and the Rangers are taking on the Blue Jays at home today. Rocker started his season with a no-decision against the Mariners, going 4 innings and giving up 1 earned run on 3 hits. He did strike out 7 batters in that outing.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Pick: Blue Jays ML -106
Our pick for today’s Blue Jays vs. Rangers game is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout sitting at -106. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kevin Gausman finishing with six strikeouts, and on the other side, Kumar Rocker with five. If you’re looking at the starting pitcher market, Rocker does have the second-best odds to pick up a win, but we still like the payout on the Blue Jays.
