Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 7th
The Blue Jays and Braves will face off in an interleague matchup at 7:20 PM ET on Saturday. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line (-178). The Blue Jays have lost four straight and are 5th in the AL East with a record of 67-75.
Jose Berrios is starting for the Blue Jays, and he will be facing off against Spencer Schwellenbach. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this one can be seen on BSSE.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Blue Jays 1.5 (-150) | Braves -1.5 (+123)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Blue Jays +148 | Braves -178
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline
The most recent game o of this Braves vs. Blue Jays series came right down to the end, as the Blue Jays rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -171 on the money line.
Toronto wasted a good outing from Kevin Gausman, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work for the Blue Jays. Max Fried was excellent for the Braves, picking up a win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.
Atlanta got on the board with three runs in the 2nd inning and didn’t score another run until the 9th. On the other side, the Blue Jays got on the board with one run in the 3rd and didn’t score another run until the 9th.
Toronto is 67-75 overall and is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 15 games. The Blue Jays have lost four straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Braves, dropping their record to 16-23-6 in series this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-35 this year and 33-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 26-47 this year, and they are 41-28 when favored. Toronto’s overall record has come with a division mark of 20-26.
With an overall record of 77-64, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and are 23-21 in games against other NL East teams. The Braves picked up a game on the Mets in the division, and they currently share the same record as New York, with the Mets in 2nd place.
At home, the Braves are 39-29 this year, and they are just above .500 at 38-35 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 113 of their games, and they are 65-48 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Braves are 12-16 this year.
Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under
The Blue Jays are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Toronto’s games this season is 8.8 runs per game. The Blue Jays have gone over the total in 74 of their 139 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, Toronto has gone over the total in 23 of 42 games. The under has hit in two straight Blue Jays games.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting .241, and their team on-base percentage is .313. Toronto’s offense is led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .327 for the season and has gone 9/22 in his last five games, including one home run. He is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Over his last four games, Addison Barger has gone 4/15 with two homers, while Daulton Varsho has also hit two homers in his last five games, but he is just 4/20 in that stretch. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 for the season.
The Atlanta Braves are at home today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.0. The Braves have an over/under record of 51-85 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Braves have gone over 13 times and under 23 times. Overall, 31.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 6 games.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 13/39 in his last 10 games and hitting .309 for the season. He also leads the team with 37 homers and 98 RBIs, which is 5th best in the MLB. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .230 for the season and has gone 9/39 in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 5th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Overall, the Braves are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.
Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction: Spread
On the road, the Blue Jays have gone 46-27 against the run line, with an average scoring margin of -0.1 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 40-33 against the run line, compared to 31-38 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while in losses, it’s -3.7.
José Berríos gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 14-9 to go along with a 3.59 ERA. Berríos has pitched well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last four outings. In his most recent start, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has a WHIP of 1.15 and has issued just 2.48 walks per nine innings. This year, he has one complete game and 18 quality starts.
When the Braves win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of +3.6. As a result, their run line record is 68-73. They are 29-39 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is 0.0. On the road, they are 39-34 against the run line, where their average run margin is +0.9. As the favorite, they are 51-62 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 17-11.
Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Phillies on September 1st and gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Against the Twins on August 27th, he didn’t give up a run in 4 2/3 innings but finished with a no-decision. Schwellenbach has a record of 5-6 this season and an ERA of 3.69. Opponents are batting .226 off the right-hander this year. Schwellenbach has made eight quality starts and is averaging 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
Blue Jays vs. Braves Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -103
Our predictions for this Blue Jays vs. Braves matchup are that the Braves will come out on top by a score of 6-5. However, with the payout for a Braves win being just -178, we actually like the over in this one, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with six strikeouts compared to José Berríos with just four. Schwellenbach is also projected to give up more earned runs than Berríos.
Offensively, we have the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves with nine. However, the Blue Jays are projected to hit more home runs than the Braves.
For some potential payouts, we have the Blue Jays’ payout at +148 and the over/under sitting at -103.
