Athletics vs Astros Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
Wednesday’s matchup between the Athletics and Astros is set to get started at 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -238, while the Athletics are +196 on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
NSPCA will be televising this AL West matchup, and Joey Estes is starting for the Athletics, while the Astros are going with Hunter Brown. Houston is currently 1st in the AL West, while the Athletics are 4th. The Astros are 77-67 overall, while the Athletics are 63-82.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Athletics 1.5 (-108) | Astros -1.5 (-115)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Athletics +196 | Astros -238
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Athletics vs. Astros Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this A’s vs Astros series. Oakland went into the matchup as +171 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The A’s had to rally late, scoring two runs in the 9th and another two in the 12th. As for the Astros, they scored two runs in the 7th and added their final run in the 12th.
Spencer Arrighetti got the start for the Astros and went just 6 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out seven. He left the game with a 2-0 lead but didn’t factor into the decision. Hector Neris took the loss.
JP Sears put together a good outing for the A’s, getting the win after going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just one strikeout but induced 14 ground balls.
The Athletics are 63-82 overall, and they are 14.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. So far, they have gone 20-24 in divisional matchups. Oakland is on the road today, leading the Astros 1-0 in the series.
At home, the Athletics are 36-39 this year, and they are 27-43 on the road. As the underdog, Oakland is 52-77 this year, and they are 11-5 when favored. Their overall series record is 17-23-5 heading into today’s game two vs. the Astros.
The Astros are 77-67 overall and lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. Houston will take on the Athletics at home today, and they are 2nd in the AL Wild Card race. The Astros have dropped two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Astros are 41-31 this season and have gone 36-36 on the road. So far, they have gone 21-19 against other teams in the AL West. As the favorite, the Astros are 59-48 this year and 18-19 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 24-19-2 this year.
Athletics vs. Astros Prediction: Over/Under
When the Oakland Athletics are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs for their matchup against the Houston Astros. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 67-76. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 17-16-1. Overall, 72 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, accounting for 49.7% of their games.
For the season, the Athletics are batting just .234, which is 17th in the league. However, they do have the 5th most home runs in the league and are averaging 4.1 runs per game. Oakland’s offense has been even better of late, as Brent Rooker and Lawrence Butler have both hit over .400 in their last 10 games, with Rooker going 17/42 with two homers and nine RBIs.
As a team, the Athletics are 26th in the league in strikeouts and have a collective on-base percentage of just .303. Oakland has been led offensively by Brent Rooker, who is batting .298 for the season and has a team-high 35 homers and 99 RBIs.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is a bit lower than the Astros’ average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Houston has played in 87 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 60.4% of their games this season. Their over/under record for the season is 58-81, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 12-13-2.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top hitter this season, batting .312 with 32 home runs and 80 RBIs. He is also on a 4-game hitting streak. Jose Altuve has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 13/29 in his last seven games, including one home run and five RBIs. For the season, Altuve is batting .304 with 19 homers.
As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 3rd in the league with a team batting average of .261. Their team on-base percentage of .321 is also 7th in the MLB. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have been good at avoiding strikeouts.
Athletics vs. Astros Prediction: Spread
When the A’s win, they win by an average of 3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. They are 80-65 on the run line this season, including 41-34 at home and 39-31 on the road. They are 74-55 as an underdog on the run line, compared to 6-10 as a favorite. Their current run line win streak as an underdog is at three games.
Right-hander Joey Estes gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.46. Estes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Estes has alternated between a win and a loss. His ERA on the road is 9.67 compared to 3.13 at home.
When the Astros are the underdog, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 25-12. They are 34-38 on the run line at home, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.8.
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today and comes into the game with a record of 11-7 and ERA of 3.41. He has made 27 starts this season and has pitched well, turning in 17 quality starts. Brown’s ERA at home is 3.28, and he has a record of 5-3 at home. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a BB/9 figure of 3.24 compared to 9.47 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Brown went six innings and didn’t give up a run, finishing with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss since August 7th.
Athletics vs. Astros Pick: Over 8 Runs -116
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Astros, which would have them winning but not covering the -238 on the money line. Instead, we like the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. We have the Astros hitting the over on their own with a predicted run total of 6.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have Hunter Brown finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Joey Estes with five. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Brown’s strikeout line is a good option.
