Astros vs Angels Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
Justin Verlander and the Astros will face off against Tyler Anderson and the Angels. The forecast for Saturday’s matchup in Anaheim calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. The Astros are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 79-68, while the Angels have lost three straight and are 60-87 overall.
Houston is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -176 compared to the Angels at +148. First pitch is set for 9:38 PM ET from Angel Stadium of Anaheim. BSW is carrying this one on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Astros -1.5 (-107) | Angels 1.5 (-115)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Astros -176 | Angels +148
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Moneyline
Houston picked up a 5-3 road win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and added three more runs in the 3rd. As for the Angels, they scored their first run in the 4th and added two more in the 5th.
Yusei Kikuchi got the win for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up three runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Josh Hader got the save. Samuel Aldegheri had a rough outing for the Angels, taking the loss after going just two innings and giving up four runs.
Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros, while Victor Caratini went 2/4 with an RBI. Mauricio Dubon and Jeremy Pena each had two hits and scored a run for Houston’s offense.
The Astros are 79-68 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. Houston is on a two-game winning streak, and they took the first game of their series vs. the Angels. So far, they have gone 23-20 in AL West matchups.
At home, the Astros are 42-32 this year, and they are above .500 at 37-36 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 61-49 this season, and they are 22-22 as the favorite on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 24-20-2 this year. Over their last ten games, the Astros are 4-6.
With an overall record of 60-87, the Angels trail the Astros by 19 games in the AL West. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and trail the Athletics by 4.5 games for 4th place in the division. The Angels have lost three straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Angels are 30-43 this season, and they are just one game above .500 at 30-44 on the road. As the underdog, the Angels are 54-72 this season compared to just 6-15 when favored. So far this year, their series record is 13-30-3, and they have dropped two straight series.
Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Over/Under
When the Astros are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-82 overall. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 19-28. This season, 42 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.6% of their games.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top hitter this season, batting .310 with a league-leading 33 home runs and 82 RBIs. Jose Altuve has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 13/29 in his last seven games with six runs scored. For the season, Altuve is batting .302 with 19 homers and 63 RBIs.
As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a combined batting average of .262. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have a good team on-base percentage of .322. Houston comes into the game with the 7th best OPS in the league.
The Angels are home against the Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Angels games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 70-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-26. This season, 50 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 34.0% of their games.
So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Angels are batting just .229 and have the 20th ranked home run total in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .300 is also near the bottom of the league.
Heading into today’s game, Taylor Ward has gone 8/29 in his last eight games, including two homers. For the season, he is batting .246 with 23 homers and 67 RBIs. Zach Neto is batting .254 and is the Angels’ leader in RBIs with 71. Neto has also gone deep 21 times this season.
Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Spread
When the Astros are the favorite, they have a run line record of 50-60, but when they are the underdog, they are 25-12. Overall, their run line record is 75-72. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it is -3.1 in losing games. Their average run margin this season is +0.6. They are 40-33 vs. the run line on the road and have covered in two straight games.
Justin Verlander is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, where he took the loss and gave up eight earned runs in just three innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Verlander has taken the loss in each of his last three outings and has an overall record of 3-6 and ERA of 5.30. Looking at his home/road splits, he is 0-3 with a 9.02 ERA at home compared to 3-3 with a 4.71 ERA on the road. Opponents are batting .263 off Verlander this season.
When betting on the Angels’ run line, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 75-72 overall, but they have been a better bet on the road (38-36) than at home (37-36). They have failed to cover the run line in their last three games, and they are just 5-16 against the run line as the favorite this season. However, they are 70-56 against the run line as the underdog.
Left-hander Tyler Anderson gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 10-12 with a 3.50 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .219 off Anderson this season, and his WHIP is 1.23. Anderson finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings, most recently facing the Rangers. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up one earned run on two hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings. His ERA at home is 5.0 compared to 2.45 on the road.
Astros vs. Angels Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -117
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Astros. However, we are actually recommending taking the over, as we have the Astros and Angels combining for 10 runs, giving us some nice cushion with the line being set at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, Justin Verlander is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fifth-best among starters today. As for Tyler Anderson, we have him finishing with just four K’s, which is the third worst among starters.
Looking at some potential player props, Justin Verlander is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fifth-best among starters today. As for Tyler Anderson, we have him finishing with just four K’s, which is the third worst among starters.
