Astros vs Angels Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th
Yusei Kikuchi will start for the Astros on Friday, and they are facing off against the Angels, who will have Samuel Aldegheri on the mound. This AL West matchup has a first pitch time of 9:38 PM ET from Angel Stadium in Anaheim. The forecast for Friday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.
The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -205 compared to the Angels at +171. Houston is 1st in the AL West with a record of 78-68, while the Angels are 5th in the division at 60-86. Los Angeles has lost two straight. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 games.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Astros -1.5 (-122) | Angels 1.5 (+100)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Astros -205 | Angels +171
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Moneyline
The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing one run to the Athletics in the top of the first, the Astros responded with two runs of their own. Houston went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Jason Heyward went only 1/3, but his one hit was a home run, and the Astros scored four runs in the 2nd. Jon Singleton also had a good day at the plate, going 3/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and an RBI.
Houston is 78-68 overall and leads the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. The Astros lost two of three games in their series vs. the Athletics. So far, they are 22-20 in division games and have an even 36-36 record on the road.
As the road favorite, the Astros are 21-22 this year, and they are 60-49 as the favorite overall. Houston has dropped three straight games on the road, and they are 42-32 at home. So far, they have gone 18-19 as the underdog.
The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Los Angeles was the +180 underdog going into this road game.
Offensively, the Angels only had four fewer hits than the Twins but scored just four runs. Three of their runs came in the 1st inning, and they added another run in the 3rd. However, they didn’t score again after the 3rd.
Los Angeles is 60-86 overall and trail the Astros by 18 games in the AL West. The Angels are also 5th in the division, 3.5 games behind the Athletics for 4th place in the division. The Angels lost the first two games of their series vs. the Twins but took the final game to win the series.
At home, the Angels are 30-42 this season, and they are 30-44 on the road. As the underdog, the Angels are 54-71 this season and just 6-15 when favored. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-30-3, and they have lost two straight series.
Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Over/Under
When the Houston Astros are on the road, they have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 60-81, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs. However, when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-27. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit in two straight games.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ best hitter this season, as he is batting .311 and has a league-leading 32 home runs. He is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 80. Catcher Yainer Diaz is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .301 with 16 homers and a team-leading 81 RBIs. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team in homers, but he is batting just .256 for the season.
Jose Altuve has been hot of late, going 11/22 in his last five games with a homer and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .302 and is 3rd on the team with 62 RBIs. The Astros come into the game averaging 4.6 runs per game and are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .262.
Los Angeles is playing at home against the Houston Astros, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Angels have had an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-70. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 30 of their games, which is a 54.5% rate. The over has hit in two straight games for the Angels.
Los Angeles comes into today’s game as one of the league’s worst offensive teams, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most of the other major offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. The Angels have also been one of the worst home run-hitting teams in the league this season.
Taylor Ward has been swinging a hot bat for the Angels of late, going 8/22 in his last six games with two homers and five runs scored. For the season, he is batting .248 with 23 homers and 67 RBIs. Zach Neto is also having a good season at the plate, with a team-high 70 RBIs to go along with 21 homers and a batting average of .256.
Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Spread
When the Astros are on the road, they have a run line record of 39-33. Their average run margin in road games is +0.2 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. As the favorite, they are 49-60 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 25-12.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Angels on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 4.31. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work but still came away with the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Kikuchi has a total of nine quality starts this year and is averaging 10.51 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 23 home runs.
When the Angels win, they tend to win big, as their average run margin in victories is +3.1. However, when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7. Their run line record is 75-71, and they have been a better bet as an underdog (70-55) than as a favorite (5-16).
Samuel Aldegheri is getting the start for the Angels at home against the Astros. In his first start of the season, he went 6 innings and picked up the win vs. the Rangers. He struck out 7 and only allowed 3 hits. His first start was a loss vs. the Mariners, where he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs.
Astros vs. Angels Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -114
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Astros, which would make the over a good bet. At 8.5 runs, there is some room for this line to move, but we like the value on the over at -114.
Looking at some potential player props, Yusei Kikuchi is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for seventh among starters. As for Samuel Aldegheri, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is ninth worst among starters.
