Angels vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
At 7:10 PM ET, the Angels and Twins face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Angels are 5th in the AL West, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central.
Jack Kochanowicz is starting for the Angels, and he is facing off against Zebby Matthews. The Angels have a money line payout of +171, while the Twins are the heavy favorite at -203. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and BSW is carrying this game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Angels 1.5 (-122) | Twins -1.5 (+100)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Angels +171 | Twins -203
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Angels by a score of 10-5. The Twins offense only had three more hits than the Angels and struck out five times as much, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -269 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Griffin Canning for the Angels and Pablo Lopez for the Twins. Canning went just 5 2/3 innings while giving up nine hits and four earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed three home runs. On the other side, Lopez put together a good outing, going seven innings and striking out 10 without giving up a run.
Minnesota’s two-through-four hitters did the most damage in this game, as Kyle Farmer, Matt Wallner, and Carlos Santana each had three RBIs. Farmer and Wallner each homered for the Twins. For the Angels, Zach Neto went 2/3 with a home run and three RBIs.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins, the Angels are 60-85 overall, putting them 5th in the AL West. They trail the Astros by 17.5 games in the division and are 17.5 games out of the second Wild Card spot. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional games.
The Angels have struggled as the favorite this year, going just 6-15 in those games. As for their time as the underdog, they are 54-70. On the road, the Angels are 30-43 this year compared to 30-42 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-30-3, and they are currently tied in this series vs. the Twins.
Minnesota will host the Angels today with an overall record of 77-68, which has them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are six games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are even at 37-37 on the road but have been much better at home, going 40-31.
The Twins have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 61-39 this year. As the underdog, they are just 16-29. So far, they have an overall series record of 25-17-4. Minnesota is coming off a loss to the Angels in their most recent game and are just 4-6 in their last 10.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under
The Angels are on the road against the Twins today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Angels have played in games with an average of 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 69-70. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-25. Overall, 33.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Over his last 10 games, Taylor Ward has been on fire for the Angels, going 14/37 with four homers and 10 runs scored. For the season, he is batting .248 with 22 homers and 66 RBIs. Zach Neto is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .258 with 21 homers and 70 RBIs. Neto is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Angels are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. Their team batting average of .229 is also one of the worst marks in the league. Overall, they are 19th in home runs and have the 20th on-base percentage in the league.
The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Los Angeles Angels today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 72-67 on the season, and the combined run average in their games is 9.1 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-22. So far this season, only 9.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Carlos Santana has been a solid run producer for the Twins this season, leading the team with 63 RBIs and is also first on the team with 21 homers. However, he has just a .238 batting average for the season. Over his last nine games, he has three homers but is hitting just .233. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with 20 homers, but has a batting average of just .232.
Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .246 and has gone deep 11 times this season. He is 7th on the team in RBIs, with 52. Jose Miranda has hit .268 over his last 10 games but has yet to homer in that stretch. Kyle Farmer has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/16 in his last nine games, with three homers.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Spread
When the Angels win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game, which is a big reason why they are 75-70 on the run line this season. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 70-54 on the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 5-16.
Right-hander Jack Kochanowicz is starting for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.89. Opponents have hit .307 off Kochanowicz this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.42. Kochanowicz has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 5.42. At home, his ERA is 7.5. Kochanowicz’s last outing came on September 5th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Minnesota has been a solid run line team this season, going 67-78 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 37-37 compared to 30-41 at home. They have been a favorite in most games, going 44-56 on the run line, compared to 23-22 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it is -3.6 in losses.
Zebby Matthews is set to make his 4th start of the season for the Twins, and it will be his 2nd start at home. Matthews has taken the loss in each of his first 3 starts, and in his last outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs on 9 hits. He has 4 strikeouts in each of his first 2 starts.
Angels vs. Twins Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -121
Our prediction for this Angels vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins to pick up the win at home, with a final score of 5-4. However, with the Twins being at -203 on the money line, we actually prefer to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zebby Matthews finishing with more strikeouts than Jack Kochanowicz. However, with Matthews’ strikeout total sitting at five, we don’t see him as a great option in the strikeout markets.
As for Kochanowicz, his projected strikeout total is five, and he is actually projected to finish with more than Matthews. However, we still have him finishing with the seventh most strikeouts among starters.
