Angels vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 9th
At 7:40 PM ET, the Angels and Twins will face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Angels are the fifth in the AL West with an overall record of 59-84. The Twins are favored on the money line (-188), and they are third in the AL Central with a record of 76-67. David Festa will start for the Twins, while the Angels are sending Reid Detmers to the mound.
Monday’s forecast in Minneapolis calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSN will be televising this one. On the money line, the Twins are the heavy favorite at -188, while the Angels are sitting at +158.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Angels 1.5 (-136) | Twins -1.5 (+112)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Angels +158 | Twins -188
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline
The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 7-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the 4th to take the lead. Los Angeles was the +150 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Offensively, the Angels only had one fewer hit than the Rangers but scored just four runs. Their lone bright spot was Charles Leblanc, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Heading into their road matchup vs. the Twins, the Angels are 5th in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 18 games. Overall, the Angels are 59-84, putting them 18 games out of a Wild Card spot. The Angels lost the final two games of their series with the Rangers.
This season, the Angels are just 6-15 as the favorite, while going 29-37 as the underdog on the road. Los Angeles is 30-42 at home compared to 29-42 on the road. The Angels’ overall series record is 13-30-3 this season, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 2-0 loss. Minnesota was the +104 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Twins, as Simeon Woods Richardson didn’t give up a run in the first three innings. However, the Royals scored two runs in the 4th to hand the Twins the loss. Minnesota’s offense also wasted a big game from Christian Vazquez, who went 3/3 with a double.
Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits. The Twins also issued three walks in the loss.
Minnesota is 76-67 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central, five games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins head into today’s game having dropped three straight games, and they lost the final three games of their series vs. the Royals. In the AL Central, they are 5.0 games behind the Guardians.
So far, the Twins have gone 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. At home, they are 39-30 this year compared to 37-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 60-38 and 16-29 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 25-17-4, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under
The Angels are on the road against the Twins today, and the O/U line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Angels games this season is 8.7 runs, and their O/U record is 68-70. Their average O/U line for the season is 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-8-1. Overall, 72.7% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, and they have hit the over in their last two games.
Over his last 10 games, Taylor Ward has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/38 with five homers and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in homers, while he is 2nd on the team in RBIs. Zach Neto and Jo Adell are also near the top of the Angels’ home run leaderboard, but Adell is batting just .207 this season.
Overall, the Angels are 27th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game. This is also where they rank in terms of team OPS (.671). As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the league’s 20th ranked on-base percentage.
The Twins have played to a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-67. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-18-4. The over has hit in 56 of their games this season, which is 39.2% of their games. They have gone under in 53 games, which is 37.1% of their games. Their current under streak is at 3 games.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are both tied for the team lead with 20 homers, but both players are looking to get back on track, as Santana has gone just 4/20 in his last six games, while Jeffers is batting just .233 for the season. Willi Castro is also a threat to go deep, as he has 11 homers and is batting .246 for the year.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been a better offense at home, where they are averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the 10th best team batting average in the league. Currently, they are 6th in isolated power.
Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Spread
When it comes to the run line, the Angels have been a better bet as the underdog, going 69-53 on the run line. They have a losing record on the run line overall, but have been a better bet on the road, going 37-34. They have lost their last two games against the run line on the road.
Left-hander Reid Detmers is on the mound for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.87 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .246 off Detmers this year. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Detmers’ last outing came against the Dodgers, where he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The most runs he has allowed in a start this year is six.
When betting the run line on the Twins this season, they have been a much better play on the road than at home, as they are 37-37 ATS on the road compared to 29-40 ATS at home. Overall, they are 66-77 ATS on the run line this season. Their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and they have been a better run line bet in games they win than in games they lose.
Right-hander David Festa gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Angels at home. Festa has made 10 appearances this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 4.75 ERA. In his nine starts, he has a batting average allowed of .226 and has only turned in one quality start. Festa’s ERA at home is 5.55, and he has yet to win a game at home, going 0-3. Festa’s ERA on the road is 3.96, and he is 2-2 away from home. His last outing came on September 3rd, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Angels vs. Twins Pick: Over 8 Runs -108
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Twins, which means there is some value on them on the money line at -188. However, we see this being a close game, and if you’re looking to get some more value out of this one, we would recommend taking the over at 8 runs.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Reid Detmers is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while David Festa is projected to finish with five. If you’re looking at some starting pitcher props, these could be some options.