Angels vs Astros Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 19th
Thursday’s Angels vs. Astros game has an 8:10 PM ET start time and is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -278, while the Angels are +230. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Los Angeles will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 62-90 and in 5th place in the AL West. Houston leads the AL West with an overall record of 82-70. Yusei Kikuchi is starting for the Astros, while the Angels are going with Jose Suarez.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Angels 1.5 (+105) | Astros -1.5 (-126)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Angels +230 | Astros -278
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Angels vs. Astros Prediction: Moneyline
The Angels’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the White Sox in the top of the 4th, the Angels responded with three runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another run in the 8th inning, closing things out. Heading into the game, the Angels were the heavy favorite at -145.
Jack Kochanowicz put together a good start for the Angels, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Los Angeles’s offense was carried by Gustavo Campero, who went 2/5 with a run scored.
Los Angeles is on the road to take on the Astros with an overall record of 62-90, which has them 5th in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Astros by 20 games and are 15.5 games out of 4th place, held by the Athletics. The Angels have won two straight games, closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a win.
At home, the Angels are just 32-46 this year compared to 30-44 on the road. As the underdog, Los Angeles is 54-74 this season, and they are 8-16 when favored. So far, their overall series record is 13-32-3.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Padres with a 4-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -107 on the money line. Things really got away from the Astros in the 8th inning, as the Padres scored three runs in the inning. Houston’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.
Framber Valdez was excellent for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Astros couldnjson’t close things out, and Valdez took the loss. Houston’s offense was also quiet after the 2nd inning, and they only had two hits the rest of the game.
Houston is 82-70 overall and leads the AL West by five games over the Mariners. The Astros lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Padres. So far, they have gone 25-20 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Astros are 42-32 this season and have gone 40-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 63-49 this year and 19-21 as the underdog. Houston’s four-game winning streak as the favorite was snapped in their most recent game.
Angels vs. Astros Prediction: Over/Under
When the Angels are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 72-74, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 17 times, under 9 times, and pushed twice. Overall, 71.7% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Over the past nine games, Taylor Ward has gone 10/32 with two home runs, and Nolan Schanuel has been even better, batting .394 with seven RBIs. Schanuel is also on a nine-game hitting streak. Zach Neto and Taylor Ward come into the game with 21 and 24 home runs, respectively. Neto is batting .248, which is the same as Ward. Both players have been solid in terms of on-base percentage.
As a team, the Angels are 27th in the league in scoring at 3.9 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Overall, they are 19th in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .228.
When the Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is below their season average of 8.6 runs per game. Overall, Houston’s games have gone over the total 61 times and under 86 times this season. The under has hit in three straight games for the Astros.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .305 with 34 home runs and 85 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/27 in his last seven games. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team with 23 homers but is batting just .254 for the season. Bregman has also gone deep twice in his last six games.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are 13th in runs scored at 4.6 per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 11th in home runs and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Angels vs. Astros Prediction: Spread
Los Angeles is 38-36 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 70-58 against the run line as the underdog, but just 6-18 when favored. Their average run differential on the road is -0.8 runs per game.
Left-hander José Suarez gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 20 appearances this season and just one start. Suarez’s record for the season is 1-2, and he has an ERA of 6.80. Looking at his WHIP, it currently sits at 1.70. In his 42 1/3 innings of work, Suarez has a BB/9 figure of 4.89 compared to 9.78 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Suarez went four innings out of the bullpen, giving up five hits and no earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
When the Astros are favored, they are just 52-60 against the run line, but they are 26-14 as underdogs. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1. Their run line record is 78-74, and they are currently on a four-game run line win streak.
Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Angels. In that September 13th start, he went seven innings, picking up the win and giving up three earned runs. Looking back further, Kikuchi has picked up the win in three straight outings. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with an ERA of 4.29. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and opponents are batting .245 vs. the left-hander this year. Kikuchi has a total of 10 quality starts this season and is averaging 10.39 strikeouts per nine innings.
Angels vs. Astros Pick: Angels ML +230
Our prediction for this Angels and Astros matchup is to take the Angels on the money line at +230. We actually have the Angels winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a potential home run, we have the Angels finishing with five, which is fifth-best in the league.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Suarez finishing with five strikeouts, and for the Astros, Yusei Kikuchi is projected to finish with six. If you’re looking for a final score, we have the Astros losing 6-5, and they are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Angels with 11.
