Angels vs Astros Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 22nd
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Angels and Astros facing off in an AL West matchup. The Astros are currently on a three-game winning streak, and their record of 85-70 has them first in the AL West. The Angels are +228 on the money line, and they are 62-93 overall and 5th in the AL West.
Spencer Arrighetti will start for the Astros, while the Angels are starting Griffin Canning. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSW.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Angels 1.5 (+105) | Astros -1.5 (-128)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Angels +228 | Astros -275
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Angels vs. Astros Prediction: Moneyline
Houston cruised to a 10-4 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Angels, they scored their first run in the 4th and added their final three runs in the 9th.
Ronel Blanco started for the Astros and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Reid Detmers got the start for the Angels and took the loss, going just two innings and giving up seven earned runs.
Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez each homered for the Astros, while Victor Caratini went 2/4 with three RBIs. Mauricio Dubon also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Houston’s offense.
With an overall record of 62-93, the Angels are 5th in the AL West and trail the Astros by 23 games. Currently, they are 5 games behind the Athletics for the 4th spot in the division. The Angels have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak comes after dropping five of their last six games.
At home, the Angels are just 32-46 this season, and they are only slightly worse on the road at 30-47. This year, the Angels are just 8-16 as the favorite, and they are 54-77 when listed as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-32-3, and they are losing their current series vs. the Astros 0-3.
Houston is currently 85-70 overall and leads the AL West by five games over the Mariners. The Astros have won three straight games, and this comes after taking two of three from the Rays. So far, they have gone 28-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros are 45-32 this season and have gone 40-38 on the road. Houston has been favored in 115 of their games, and they are 66-49 in those games. Their overall record as the underdog is 19-21. Looking at their series record, the Astros are 26-20-2 this year.
Angels vs. Astros Prediction: Over/Under
The Los Angeles Angels are on the road today against the Houston Astros with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Angels’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-75 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-28. The over has hit in two straight games for the Angels.
Heading into today’s game, the Angels offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. Their team batting average of .229 is also towards the bottom of the league, and they are also in the bottom half of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. As a team, they are averaging 8 strikeouts per game (18th) and are 19th in walks.
Taylor Ward and Zach Neto are the Angels’ top two home run hitters this season, and both players are near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards. Ward has gone deep 25 times this season and is batting .249, while Neto has 21 homers and is batting .245. Ward is currently on a five-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last 10 games. Nolan Schanuel has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/39 in his last 10 games.
When the Houston Astros play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 63-87. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 19-29. Overall, 43 of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 27.7% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 35 home runs are the best mark on the team and 8th in the league. Alvarez is also batting .305 for the season and has driven in a team-high 86 runs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .205 over his last 10 games. Kyle Tucker is one of the Astros’ hottest hitters, going 15/31 in his last nine games, including three homers.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in team batting average at .263 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Astros are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best slugging percentage.
Angels vs. Astros Prediction: Spread
The Angels have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 76-79 against the run line. They have been especially bad as the favorite, going just 6-18 against the run line in those games. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 70-61 against the run line in those games.
Griffin Canning will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the White Sox, he went six innings and gave up just three hits. Looking back further, Canning has been a bit up and down. He has given up at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. Canning’s record for the season is 6-13, and his ERA is 5.16. Opponents are batting .259 off the right-hander this season. For the year, he has given up 28 homers and is averaging 6.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
When playing at home, the Astros have a run line record of 38-39, and their average run margin is +1.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in four straight home games and in seven straight games overall. As the favorite, they are 55-60 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 26-14.
Spencer Arrighetti gets the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 7-13 and an ERA of 4.68. Looking back at his last outing, Arrighetti took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on three walks and eight hits. He has made 27 starts this season and has turned in nine quality starts. Per nine innings, Arrighetti is averaging 10.6 strikeouts and 4.08 walks. At home, his ERA is 6.98 compared to 8.19 on the road.
Angels vs. Astros Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -112
Our pick for this Angels vs. Astros matchup is to take the over at 8.5 runs. We see this game ending with a score of 5-4 in favor of the Astros, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for an Astros win is -275, and we do see them coming out on top. Looking at the starting pitchers, Spencer Arrighetti is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today.
