Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Vikings vs Rams Prediction & NFL Odds For The Wild Card round

ByUSA Wager

ABC will broadcast the Vikings vs. Rams wild card round game on Monday, January 13th at 8:00 ET. The game, being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, has the Vikings favored on the road with a -2.5 point spread and a -134 money line. The Rams’ money line odds are +113, and the over/under line is set at 47 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Rams vs Vikings

  • We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 21 to 20
  • Even though we like the Vikings to win, our ATS pick is to take the Rams at +2.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Vikings -2.5 | Rams +2.5
  • Total: 47
  • MoneyLine: Vikings -134 | Rams +113

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Vikings vs. Rams Prediction: MoneyLine

Sam Darnold has been impressive over his last three games, posting passer ratings of 119 in week 3, 109 in week 2, and 113 in week 1. In his most recent outing, he threw for 181 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception. Justin Jefferson led the team in receiving in week 3 with 6 catches for 81 yards and a touchdown, following his 133-yard performance in week 2. Aaron Jones rushed for 102 yards on 19 carries in week 3.

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Vikings rank 9th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.4. They are 12th in passing attempts and 14th in rushing attempts, with Darnold’s passing attack averaging 237.8 yards per game, which ranks 6th in the league. Minnesota is 12th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 40% of their attempts.

Our NFL.com power rankings have the Rams’ offense sitting 15th in the league heading into the Wild Card round. They are 19th in scoring, averaging 21.6 points per game, and rank 15th in total yards with 331.4 per game. Matthew Stafford has been solid, posting a passer rating of 105 in his 221-yard performance in Week 3. After struggling in Week 2, the Rams converted 41.7% of their third downs and went 3/5 in the red zone against the 49ers.

Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 89 yards and 2 touchdowns on 24 carries in Week 3, while Tutu Atwell had 4 catches for 93 yards. The Rams have focused on the passing game, ranking 12th in attempts and 10th in passing yards per game. However, they have struggled on 3rd down, ranking 20th in the league, and are 24th in 1st quarter scoring.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Vikings -134 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Rams Prediction: Total

In their 31-9 loss to the Lions, the Vikings’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 178 yards on the ground across 31 attempts. They did manage two interceptions and two sacks, but Detroit still had a lot of success moving the ball, finishing with 394 total yards. Against the pass, Minnesota allowed 216 yards and an 81.8% completion rate to the Lions, who also converted on 41.7% of their third down attempts.

Minnesota’s run defense was a significant issue in this game, as the Lions averaged 5.7 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite their two interceptions, the Vikings were unable to keep Detroit out of the end zone, as they gave up four touchdowns in the game. Minnesota also struggled to get off the field, allowing the Lions to hold the ball for 34:21 and finish with 24 first downs.

In their 30-25 loss to the Seahawks, the Rams’ defense allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 210 yards through the air. Seattle’s passing game was efficient, completing 74.1% of their passes and converting 54.5% of their third down attempts. The Rams’ defense struggled to generate pressure, finishing with just two sacks and losing the QB hit battle by a margin of -6.

Despite their struggles defending the pass, the Rams did limit the Seahawks’ ground game to 126 yards on 24 attempts, which included a 5.2 yards per attempt average.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 47 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Rams Prediction: Spread

With a 14-3 record, the Vikings finished 2nd in the NFC North and 5th in the conference standings. After entering the season 8th in our power rankings, Minnesota ended the year with three straight wins, including a 28-6 victory over the Giants in week 1. They also picked up wins over the 49ers and Texans in weeks 2 and 3, respectively.

Against the spread, the Vikings went 11-5-1, with a +5.9 average scoring margin. They were 7-4-1 as favorites and 4-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record was 7-10, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to a 45.4-point line.

  • Minnesota has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Vikings have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.

Despite finishing the regular season with three straight losses, the Rams still managed to secure the NFC West title with a 10-7 record. This included a 4-2 mark in division play, highlighted by a 27-24 win over the 49ers in week 3. However, they couldn’t capitalize on this momentum, losing to the Bears and Packers in weeks 4 and 5 before bouncing back with wins over the Raiders and Vikings. In week 9, they beat the Seahawks 26-20, but followed that with a 23-15 loss to the Dolphins in week 10. They then won three in a row, including a 44-42 victory over the Bills, before losing to the 49ers in week 15. The Rams ended the season with wins over the Jets and Cardinals in weeks 16 and 17, but fell to the Seahawks in week 18.

Heading into the playoffs, the Rams rank 13th in our power rankings and have an average scoring margin of -1.1 points per game. They are 9-8 against the spread, including a 5-4 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-9, with their games averaging 44.3 points compared to an average line of 46.8.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Los Angeles have gone 2-1. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Across their last five home contests, Los Angeles has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 21 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Rams +2.5 (Bet Now)

Vikings vs. Rams Pick: Rams +2.5

For this week one postseason matchup between the Vikings and Rams, we like the Rams to not only cover the spread but pull off the upset. The point spread has the Rams as 2.5-point home underdogs, and our predicted score is 24-22 in favor of the Vikings. However, with the spread, our pick is to take the Rams to cover as home underdogs.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 47 points, we have a slight lean towards the under, with our projected combined score coming in at 46 points.

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