Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 18

ByUSA Wager

FOX will broadcast the week 18 NFC East matchup between the Cowboys and Commanders at 1:00 ET. The Commanders are favored on the road with a money line of -227, while the Cowboys’ money line sits at +185. The Commanders are -4.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is 44 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Cowboys vs Commanders

  • We have the Cowboys winning this one by a score of 25 to 22
  • Not only do we have the Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 44 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders -4.5 | Cowboys +4.5
  • Total: 44
  • MoneyLine: Commanders -227 | Cowboys +185

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 18, the Commanders rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 5th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 28.9 points per game, and 4th in total yards with 375.9 per game. Washington has relied heavily on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game (156.6). They rank 16th in passing yards, despite being 23rd in pass attempts.

Jayden Daniels threw for 227 yards (24/36) and 3 touchdowns in week 17, with one interception. He was sacked 5 times. Olamide Zaccheaus led the team with 8 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown, while Daniels added 127 rushing yards on 16 carries.

Heading into week 18, the Cowboys rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.7 points per game, and rank 19th in total yards with 324.3 per game. Dallas has been pass-heavy, ranking 3rd in passing attempts, resulting in 227.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 11th. On the ground, they rank 27th in rushing yards per game, with 97.2, on 24.4 attempts per game.

Cooper Rush struggled in week 17, throwing for 147 yards and 2 interceptions, after posting passer ratings of 108 in week 16 and 119 in week 15. Rico Dowdle rushed for 104 yards on 23 carries, while Brandin Cooks led the team with 52 receiving yards. Dallas scored 7 points in the 1st quarter but were shut out the rest of the way in their 41-7 loss to the Eagles.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Cowboys +185 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense held the Falcons to just a 20% conversion rate on third down. They also came up with a key interception and limited Atlanta to 54.3% completions. Washington’s defense allowed 126 rushing yards on 23 attempts and 211 passing yards. They gave up one touchdown in the 30-24 overtime win, and the Falcons finished with 337 total yards.

The Commanders’ defense recorded two sacks and held Atlanta to 2 of 10 on third down. However, they did have a negative tackles for loss differential in the game. Washington’s defense played a significant role in the win, helping the team improve their record.

In their 41-7 loss to the Eagles, the Cowboys’ defense struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and just two quarterback hits. The Eagles were able to move the ball effectively on the ground, rushing for 179 yards on 42 attempts. Despite this, Dallas did limit Philadelphia to 197 yards passing, but the Eagles made the most of their passing game, averaging 10.4 yards per attempt and throwing for three touchdowns.

Dallas had a tough time getting off the field on third down, as the Eagles converted 46.2% of their third-down opportunities. The Cowboys’ offense managed just seven points, and the defense was on the field for 376 total yards, including giving up 179 yards rushing.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 44 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction: Spread

Washington heads into week 18 on a four-game winning streak, including a 30-24 victory over the Falcons in week 17. This win brought their record to 11-5, and our projections give them a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They currently rank 9th in our NFL power rankings and 6th in the NFC standings.

Washington is 10-5-1 against the spread this season, with a +5.6 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 11-5, with the over hitting in their last two games. Washington’s games have averaged 52.1 points, compared to an average line of 46.1.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Washington have gone 3-0. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Commanders offense has averaged 26 points per game while allowing an average of 22. Washington posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 ATS.

Heading into week 18, the Cowboys sit 28th in our NFL power rankings and have a 7-9 record, which includes a 5-3 mark on the road and a 2-6 record at home. In division play, Dallas is 3-2, but they are 5-6 against NFC opponents. The Cowboys are 3rd in the NFC East and 10th in the conference, and they have been eliminated from playoff contention.

Dallas has an average scoring margin of -7.1 points per game and is 6-10 against the spread. They are 1-2 ATS as favorites and 5-8 as underdogs. The over has hit in each of their last three games, and their O/U record is 11-5 this season. Their games average 48.5 points, while the over/under line has averaged 45.2 points.

  • Dallas will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • In their last five games at home, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
  • Free Spread Prediction Cowboys +4.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Cowboys Pick: Cowboys Moneyline (+185)

Our point spread pick for this week 18 matchup between Washington and Dallas is to take the Cowboys to cover as home underdogs. Right now, the line has the Cowboys at +4.5, and we have them winning 27-23. This would make them a great pick vs. the spread.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 44 points, we have a prediction of 50 combined points, making the over a great pick in this one.

Similar Posts