Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Panthers vs Falcons Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 18

ByUSA Wager

The Panthers and Falcons will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. This week 18 NFC South matchup is being televised on CBS. The Falcons are the heavy favorite with a money line of -433 and are favored by -8 points on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 48 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Falcons vs Panthers

  • We have the Falcons winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
  • Even though we like the Falcons to win, our ATS pick is to take the Panthers at +8
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 48 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Panthers +8 | Falcons -8
  • Total: 48
  • MoneyLine: Panthers +326 | Falcons -433

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Panthers vs. Falcons Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 18, the Panthers rank 24th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 18.6 points per game, which is 24th in the NFL. They are 31st in passing yards per game (182.4) and 20th in rushing yards per game (107.7). Carolina ranks 27th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 34.7% success rate, but they are 11th in red zone conversion percentage.

Bryce Young threw for 203 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 17, completing 15 of 28 passes. He posted a passer rating of 100 but was sacked 5 times. Adam Thielen led the team with 5 catches for 110 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Raheem Blackshear had 8 carries for 20 yards. Carolina scored 14 points in the first half but was shut out in the 2nd half of their 48-14 loss to the Buccaneers.

Heading into week 18, the Falcons sit 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game (21.9) and 10th in total yards, averaging 359.4 per game. Atlanta ranks 8th in passing yards with 234.9 per game on 32.6 attempts (14th) and is 12th in rushing, averaging 124.5 yards on 28.6 attempts per game. The Falcons are 18th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.4% success rate, and 12th in red zone conversions, scoring on 29.2% of their trips.

Michael Penix Jr. threw for 223 yards (19/35) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 17. Bijan Robinson had 90 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Drake London led the team with 7 receptions for 106 yards. Atlanta scored 17 points in the first half against Washington but failed to score in the 3rd quarter. They converted 3/3 red zone opportunities but struggled on 3rd down, going 2/10.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Falcons -433 (Bet Now)

Panthers vs. Falcons Prediction: Total

In their 48-14 loss to the Buccaneers, the Panthers’ defense gave up 551 yards and allowed 84.4% of passes to be completed. Tampa Bay’s offense had a lot of success down the field, averaging 10.9 yards per passing attempt and throwing for 349 yards. Carolina struggled to get off the field, as the Buccaneers converted on 71.4% of their third down attempts and scored five passing touchdowns.

On the ground, the Panthers gave up 202 rushing yards on 40 attempts, with the Buccaneers averaging 5.0 yards per attempt. Carolina managed just two sacks and lost the tackles for loss battle to Tampa Bay.

Despite their 30-24 overtime loss to the Commanders, the Falcons’ defense put together a strong performance in their most recent game. They allowed just 196 passing yards on 24 completions, but did give up three passing touchdowns. Additionally, they came away with five sacks and one interception. The Falcons’ run defense struggled, allowing 216 yards on the ground and 412 total yards.

Opposing offenses converted on 46.2% of their third down attempts against Atlanta. Even though they gave up 30 points, the Falcons’ defense was put in some tough spots, as the Commanders were able to convert on several key third downs.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 48 (Bet Now)

Panthers vs. Falcons Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 18, the Panthers sit at 4-12 and rank 32nd in our NFL power rankings. Carolina is 1-6 on the road and 3-6 at home, and they are 4th in the NFC South with a 1-4 division record. After their week 16 win over the Cardinals, the Panthers couldn’t keep up with the Bucs in week 17, losing 48-14. This loss officially eliminated them from playoff contention.

Carolina is 7-9 against the spread this season, with all of their wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 12-4, and the over has hit in three straight games. On average, their games have had 49.6 points, while the O/U line has been 43.6.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Carolina has a record of 1-2. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 3-0.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Panthers have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 12 points per game in these contests.

Heading into week 18, the Falcons sit at 8-8 and have a 13.9% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 19th in our NFL power rankings and are 2nd in the NFC South with a 4-1 division record. Atlanta is 4-4 both at home and on the road.

After losing four straight games, the Falcons bounced back with wins over the Raiders and Giants in weeks 15 and 16. However, they couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 17, falling 30-24 to the Commanders. Atlanta was a 3.5-point underdog in that game and failed to cover the spread. They are 6-9-1 against the spread this season, with a -1.8 scoring margin.

  • The Falcons have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 0-3.
  • Across the Falcons last five home games, the team averaged 16 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-4-1, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Panthers +8 (Bet Now)

Panthers vs. Falcons Pick: Panthers +8

Our pick vs. the spread in this week 18 matchup between the Panthers and Falcons is to take the Panthers to cover as road underdogs. Even though the point spread has the Panthers at +8, we have the Falcons winning 23-19. However, with the Panthers at +8, our pick to cover is the Panthers.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 48 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 42 points.

Similar Posts