Browns vs Ravens Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 18
ABC will televise the week 18 AFC North matchup between the Browns and Ravens, which is set to kick off at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 4th at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens are heavily favored, with money line odds of -1951 compared to the Browns at +971. The point spread is at -17.5 in favor of the Ravens, with the over/under line set at 41.5 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Ravens vs Browns
- We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 36 to 13
- Not only do we have the Ravens winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -17.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Browns +17.5 | Ravens -17.5
- Total: 41.5
- MoneyLine: Browns +971 | Ravens -1951
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Browns vs. Ravens Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 18, the Browns rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 15.5 points per game (29th in the NFL) and 305.2 yards per game (27th). Despite leading the league in passing attempts, they are 20th in passing yards per game with 208.2. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 23rd in rushing attempts and 28th in rushing yards, averaging 97 per game. They have struggled on third down, converting just 29.3% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the NFL.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been under center for the Browns, throwing for 170 yards on 24/47 passing in week 17, with one interception. He posted a passer rating of 50 after ratings of 45 in week 16 and 40 in week 15. Jerry Jeudy led the receiving corps in week 17 with 12 catches for 94 yards, while D’Onta Foreman had 49 rushing yards on 13 carries.
Heading into week 18, the Ravens sit atop our offensive power rankings and lead the NFL in yards per game with 424.2. They rank 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.2, and are 2nd in 3rd-down conversions, converting 48% of their attempts. Despite ranking 30th in passing attempts, Baltimore is 6th in passing yards per game, with Lamar Jackson posting a passer rating of 143 in week 17. He threw for 168 yards and 2 touchdowns on 10/15 passing against the Texans.
The Ravens have leaned heavily on Derrick Henry, who rushed for 147 yards on 27 carries in week 17. Before that, he had 162 yards in week 16 and 67 yards in week 15. Baltimore ranks 2nd in rushing attempts and rushing yards per game. Mark Andrews led the team in receiving in week 17, with 2 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Ravens -1951 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Ravens Prediction: Total
In their 20-3 loss to the Dolphins, the Browns’ defense allowed Miami to convert 84.6% of their passes. The Browns’ defense did a good job against the run, allowing just 74 yards on 27 attempts. Despite this, they still gave up 206 yards through the air and allowed Miami to score one passing touchdown.
The Browns’ defense recorded four sacks and held Miami to an 18.2% third-down conversion rate. Offensively, the Browns managed just 3 points and 280 total yards, struggling to capitalize on their defensive effort against the run.
In their most recent game, the Ravens’ defense was dominant, allowing just 2 points to the Texans. They held Houston to 58 rushing yards on 17 attempts and limited them to 153 passing yards. The Ravens’ defense also came away with five sacks and held the Texans to a 26.7% conversion rate on third downs. Baltimore’s defense didn’t allow a touchdown, and they picked off one pass while holding Houston to a 56.2% completion percentage.
Baltimore’s defense also won the quarterback hit differential, finishing with four more hits on the quarterback than the Texans. The Ravens’ defense was a key factor in their 31-2 victory, as they allowed just 211 total yards in the game.
- Free Total Prediction OVER 41.5 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Ravens Prediction: Spread
Heading into week 18, the Browns are on a five-game losing streak, including a 20-3 home loss to the Dolphins in week 17. This dropped Cleveland to 3-13, leaving them 31st in our power rankings and with no playoff chances. They are 4-12 against the spread, with their ATS losing streak also at five games.
In O/U betting, the under has hit in four straight Browns games. Their O/U record this season is 6-10, with their games averaging 40.5 points compared to an average line of 41.
- Cleveland has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 0-3, in addition to an over-under mark of 0-3.
- In their last five games away from home, the Browns have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 16 points per game in these contests.
Heading into week 18, the Ravens sit atop the AFC North with an 11-5 record, including three straight wins. After a week 13 loss to the Eagles, Baltimore has bounced back with victories over the Giants, Steelers, and Texans. In week 17, they easily handled Houston, winning 31-2 and covering the 6.5-point spread.
Our power rankings have the Ravens 2nd heading into week 18, and they have a 94.2% chance of winning the division. Baltimore is 9-6-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 12-4, with their games averaging 52.1 points.
- Over their last three games, the Ravens have gone 2-1 straight up. Against the spread, they have gone 1-2 and logged an over-under record of 2-1 in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Baltimore has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Free Spread Prediction Ravens -17.5 (Bet Now)
Browns vs. Ravens Pick: Ravens -17.5
Our projected score for this week 18 matchup between the Ravens and Browns is 35-12 in favor of the Ravens. Even though the Browns are heavy 17.5-point favorites, we actually have the Ravens covering the spread at home in this one.
For this game, we also like the over as a strong play. The current O/U line is 41.5 points, and we have these teams combining for 47 points, making the over our top pick for this matchup.
