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49ers vs Dolphins Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 16

ByUSA Wager

The 49ers and Dolphins are set for a 4:25 ET kickoff on Sunday, December 22nd at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The Dolphins are the favorite with a money line of -123 and are -1.5 point favorites. The over/under line is set at 46 points. This week 16 non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS.

Prediction at a Glance for Dolphins vs 49ers

  • We have the 49ers winning this one by a score of 25 to 21
  • Not only do we have the 49ers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 46 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: 49ers +1.5 | Dolphins -1.5
  • Total: 46
  • MoneyLine: 49ers +103 | Dolphins -123

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

49ers vs. Dolphins Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 16, the 49ers rank 14th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 22.4 points per game, which is 13th in the NFL. They are 8th in the league in yards per game (365.1) and 10th in passing yards per game (231.6), despite ranking 25th in passing attempts. San Francisco relies on the run game, ranking 7th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (133.5). They are 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 42.3% success rate, but have struggled in the red zone, ranking 20th with a 17.6% conversion rate.

Brock Purdy had a rough outing in week 15, completing 14 of 31 passes for 142 yards, with one interception and no touchdowns. The 49ers scored just 6 points in the loss to the Rams, with 3 coming in the 1st quarter and 3 in the 3rd. Isaac Guerendo led the team in rushing with 57 yards on 16 carries, while George Kittle had 4 catches for 61 yards.

After two strong performances, Tua Tagovailoa struggled in week 15 against the Texans, throwing 3 interceptions and finishing with a passer rating of 60. He completed 29 of 40 passes for 196 yards and 1 touchdown. Miami’s offense failed to score in the 1st and 4th quarters, with only 12 points in the game. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing with 41 yards on 12 carries, and Malik Washington had 5 catches for 52 yards.

Heading into week 16, Miami ranks 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.7, and 19th in total yards per game with 324.1. The Dolphins are 14th in passing yards per game, with 222.6, and 24th in rushing, averaging 101.4 yards per game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction 49ers +103 (Bet Now)

49ers vs. Dolphins Prediction: Total

In their 12-6 loss to the Rams, the 49ers’ defense gave up 142 rushing yards on 38 attempts. Despite this, they held the Rams to just 160 passing yards and a 59.3% completion rate. San Francisco’s defense also did well on third downs, allowing only a 26.7% conversion rate.

The 49ers’ defense didn’t record any sacks in the game, but they did manage to hit the quarterback two more times than the Rams. Overall, the 49ers gave up 302 total yards in the game.

In their 20-12 loss to the Texans, the Dolphins’ defense allowed just 104 passing yards but gave up two passing touchdowns. Houston finished with 181 total yards, with Miami limiting them to 77 yards on 20 rushing attempts. The Dolphins’ defense recorded four sacks and held the Texans to a 38.5% conversion rate on third down. Despite this, the Dolphins still gave up two passing touchdowns.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 46 (Bet Now)

49ers vs. Dolphins Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 16, the 49ers sit 7th in our NFL power rankings despite their 6-8 record. Their playoff chances are down to 0.1% after a week 15 loss to the Rams. San Francisco was a 3-point favorite at home but couldn’t get the win, losing 12-6. The O/U line was 48.5 points, but the teams combined for just 18.

San Francisco is 5-9 against the spread this season, with a -0.4 average scoring margin. They are 5-7 ATS as favorites and 0-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-7, with their games averaging 45.3 points compared to an average line of 46.5.

  • Across San Francisco’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 1-2.
  • In their last five games away from home, the 49ers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 20 points per game in this stretch.

Heading into week 16, the Dolphins sit 15th in our NFL power rankings and have a 4.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6-8, which puts them 2nd in the AFC East. Miami is 3-2 in division games and 5-5 in conference play. At home, the Dolphins are 4-3, while they have a 2-5 record on the road.

Miami has an average scoring margin of -2.6 points per game and is 5-9 against the spread. They have failed to cover in three straight games, including their week 15 loss to the Texans. In week 14, they beat the Jets but didn’t cover the 6.5-point spread. Their O/U record is 6-8, with their games averaging 42 points compared to a line of 45.1.

  • Miami will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 3-0.
  • Through their last five home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction 49ers +1.5 (Bet Now)

49ers vs. Dolphins Pick: 49ers Moneyline (+103)

We have the 49ers coming out on top by a score of 25-22 in their week 16 matchup against the Dolphins. With the point spread sitting at +1.5 in favor of the 49ers, we like them to cover as road underdogs.

For this game, we also have a pick on the over/under line, with a projected combined score of 47 points. With the O/U line at 46 points, our recommendation is to take the over.

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