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Commanders vs Saints Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 15

ByUSA Wager

Washington is the heavy favorite on the money line at -361 as they head into their week 15 matchup against the Saints. The Saints are +282 on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 43 points. The Commanders and Saints will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, and you can catch this one on FOX. Washington is -7.5 on the point spread.

Prediction at a Glance for Saints vs Commanders

  • We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 27 to 16
  • Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 43 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Commanders -7.5 | Saints +7.5
  • Total: 43
  • MoneyLine: Commanders -361 | Saints +282

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Commanders vs. Saints Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 15, the Commanders are 4th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 4th in the NFL in points per game (28.9) and 5th in yards per game (377.6). Despite being 24th in passing attempts, they are 18th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 206 yards (25/30) and 3 touchdowns in week 13. Washington leans on the run game, ranking 3rd in rushing yards per game (156.9) on 31.8 attempts per contest.

Washington leads the NFL in red zone attempts but ranks 26th in conversion percentage. They are 6th in 3rd-down conversions, converting 64.3% in week 13. The Commanders scored 21 points in the 1st quarter against the Titans, with Brian Robinson Jr. rushing for 103 yards on 16 carries and Terry McLaurin catching 8 passes for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Heading into week 15, the Saints rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in points per game (22.3) and 14th in yards per game (341.5). New Orleans ranks 19th in passing yards per game, with 212.8, on 31.6 attempts per game. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing yards per game (128.7) and 7th in rushing attempts.

In week 14, Derek Carr threw for 219 yards (20/31), with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Alvin Kamara had 44 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 51 receiving yards on 4 catches. The Saints converted 5 of 15 third-down attempts and scored on both of their red zone trips.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Commanders -361 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Saints Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense allowed just 35 rushing yards on 11 attempts and 210 passing yards on 18 completions against the Titans. They won the game 42-19 and held Tennessee to just 19% on third down conversions. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, Washington limited the Titans to a 48.6% completion percentage.

Washington’s defense also came away with two sacks and outperformed the Titans in the quarterback hit differential, finishing with a +7 advantage. The Commanders’ offense put up 245 yards in the game.

The Saints’ defense played well on third downs in their 14-11 win over the Giants, allowing just a 26.3% conversion rate. They also limited the Giants to a 42.9% completion rate and only 213 yards passing. New Orleans’ defense came up with a key interception and held the Giants to just 11 points.

Despite giving up 112 yards on the ground, the Saints held the Giants to 4.9 yards per attempt rushing. New Orleans also had two sacks and pressured the quarterback, finishing with a +9 advantage in the QB hit differential.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 43 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Saints Prediction: Spread

After three straight losses, the Commanders bounced back in week 13 with a 42-19 win over the Titans, improving their record to 8-5. Washington was a 6-point favorite and covered the spread with ease. The 61 combined points in the game went over the 45.5-point line, marking the Commanders’ second straight over.

Heading into week 15, Washington is 11th in our power rankings and has an 84.8% chance of making the playoffs. They are 8-4-1 against the spread and have a +6.2 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 9-4, with their games averaging 51.7 points per game.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Washington has a record of 1-2. Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Washington has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 29 points per game while allowing 25. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-1-1.

After snapping a two-game losing streak with a win over the Giants in week 14, the Saints now sit at 5-8. This puts them 3rd in the NFC South with a 2-3 division record. New Orleans ranks 29th in our power rankings and has just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Saints are 5-8, with an average scoring margin of -0.2 points per game. They have failed to cover in their last two games, including their win over the Giants, where they were 5.5-point favorites. Their O/U record is 7-6, with the under hitting in two straight games.

  • Over their last three games, the Saints have gone 2-1 straight up. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
  • Through their last five home games, New Orleans has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • Free Spread Prediction Commanders -7.5 (Bet Now)

Commanders vs. Saints Pick: Commanders -7.5

Our model has the Commanders pulling off the upset over the Saints, with a final score prediction of 31-20 in favor of Washington. With the Saints sitting as 7.5-point favorites, there is a lot of value in taking the Commanders to cover the spread.

For this week 15 matchup, we are also leaning towards taking the over, as the current O/U line is just 43 points, and our projections have these teams finishing with 51 combined points.

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