Dolphins vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 15
The Texans are favored at -2.5 as they host the Dolphins at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Texans are favored on the money line at -153, and the over/under line is set at 47 points. This week 15 AFC matchup is scheduled for 1:00 ET, with CBS handling the television coverage.
Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Dolphins
- We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 24 to 22
- Even though we like the Texans to win, our ATS pick is to take the Dolphins at +2.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dolphins +2.5 | Texans -2.5
- Total: 47
- MoneyLine: Dolphins +130 | Texans -153
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dolphins vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine
Our NFL.com offensive power rankings have the Dolphins at 17th heading into week 15. They are 21st in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.3 points per game, and rank 19th in total yards with 331.8 per game. Miami has been pass-heavy, ranking 9th in pass attempts and 14th in passing yards, with 226.5 per game. On the ground, they are 24th in the league, with 105.2 rushing yards per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has been on fire, throwing for 331 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 14, following a 365-yard performance in week 13 and a 317-yard, 4-touchdown game in week 12. Tyreek Hill led the team in week 14 with 10 catches for 115 yards, while De’Von Achane had 24 rushing yards on 14 carries.
Heading into week 15, the Texans sit 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.7 points per game, and rank 18th in yards per game with 335.2. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 4th in the league in points scored. They are 10th in passing attempts, averaging 34.2 per game, and 17th in passing yards, with 221.2 per game. On the ground, they rank 14th in rushing attempts and 16th in rushing yards, averaging 114.1 per game. Houston ranks 19th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 18th in red zone conversions, despite being 8th in red zone attempts.
C.J. Stroud threw for 242 yards and a touchdown in week 14, completing 22 of 34 passes without an interception. Joe Mixon rushed for 101 yards on 20 carries, while Nico Collins led the team with 8 catches for 119 yards. Houston scored 7 points in the 4th quarter after being shut out in the 1st. They converted 5 of 13 3rd downs and went 1 for 3 in the red zone.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Texans -153 (Bet Now)
Dolphins vs. Texans Prediction: Total
In their 32-26 overtime win over the Jets, the Dolphins’ defense gave up 319 passing yards on 27 completions. Miami allowed 402 total yards and 83 rushing yards on 21 attempts. The Dolphins’ defense did manage to get to the quarterback, finishing with three sacks and hitting the quarterback six more times than the Jets.
Miami’s defense held the Jets to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up some big plays in the passing game, the Dolphins were able to limit the Jets to just one touchdown.
In their 23-20 win over the Jaguars, the Texans’ defense allowed 373 total yards. Jacksonville had 25 rushing attempts and finished with 97 yards on the ground. Houston’s defense defended 33.3% of third down attempts and came up with one interception.
The Texans’ defense gave up 276 passing yards, with the Jaguars completing 24 passes. They allowed two passing touchdowns and were unable to record a sack in the game. Houston also lost the tackles for loss battle, finishing with -2 compared to the Jaguars.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 47 (Bet Now)
Dolphins vs. Texans Prediction: Spread
After a week 13 loss to the Packers, the Dolphins bounced back with a 32-26 win over the Jets in week 14, bringing their record to 6-7. Miami was unable to cover the 6.5-point spread, but the 58 points scored in the game were enough to hit the over (45.5). The Dolphins rank 16th in our power rankings and have a 14.7% chance of making the playoffs heading into week 15.
Miami is 5-8 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -2.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-7, with an average of 42.8 points per game in their matchups. The over/under line has averaged 45 points in their games.
- The Dolphins have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 2-1.
- Across their last five road contests, Miami has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 18 points per game.
Heading into week 15, the Texans hold a 95.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 94.1% chance of winning the AFC South. They currently sit 12th in our power rankings and lead the division with an 8-5 record. Houston is 4-1 in division games and 6-2 in conference play. They are 4-2 at home and 4-3 on the road.
After a week 12 loss to the Titans, the Texans bounced back with a 23-20 win over the Jaguars in week 13. The spread was -3, so the result was a push. The O/U line was 45, and the teams combined for 43 points. Houston’s O/U record is 4-8-1 this season, and they have a +1.5 scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 5-7-1.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Houston has a record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread sits at 1-2 in these matchups, while posting a 1-1-1 over-under mark.
- In their last five home games, Houston has averaged 26 points per game while allowing 19. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- Free Spread Prediction Dolphins +2.5 (Bet Now)
Dolphins vs. Texans Pick: Dolphins +2.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Dolphins to cover as road underdogs in this week 15 matchup between the Dolphins and Texans. The point spread lines have the Dolphins at +2.5, and we have the Texans winning 24-22, making the Dolphins vs. the spread pick the best way to bet this one.
For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points and the O/U line sitting at 47 points.
