Buccaneers vs Giants Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 12

The Giants are +195 on the money line as they host the Buccaneers at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Buccaneers are favored by -5 on the road, and the over/under line is set at 41.5 points. This week 12 matchup is set for 1:00 ET and will be televised on CBS. The Giants are the +195 money line underdogs, and the Buccaneers are -237 on the money line.

Prediction at a Glance for Giants vs Buccaneers

• We have the Buccaneers winning this one by a score of 28 to 21
• Not only do we have the Buccaneers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Buccaneers -5 | Giants +5
• Total: 41.5
• MoneyLine: Buccaneers -237 | Giants +195

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 12, the Buccaneers are 8th in our offensive power rankings and 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.9. They rank 8th in passing attempts per game and 9th in passing yards, with 236.2 per contest. On the ground, they are 22nd in rushing attempts but 10th in rushing yards, averaging 125.3 per game. Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 50% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league, but they are 25th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 10, Baker Mayfield threw for 116 yards and a touchdown on 18/29 passing, with no interceptions. Bucky Irving led the team in rushing with 73 yards on 13 carries, while Rachaad White had 6 catches for 39 yards and a touchdown. The Bucs scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the 49ers, following 7 in the 3rd and 3 in the 2nd after being shut out in the 1st quarter.

Daniel Jones has had an up-and-down stretch over his last three games. In week 10, he posted a passer rating of 50, throwing for 190 yards on 22/37 passing, with no touchdowns and two interceptions. This followed a 174-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 9, where he had a passer rating of 119. Before that, he threw for 264 yards and an interception in week 8. The Giants have struggled to score early, ranking 27th in first-quarter points.

New York ranks 30th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.6. They are 24th in passing yards per game (189.8) and 14th in rushing yards per game (119.9). Despite being 18th in 3rd-down conversion percentage, they are 6th in red zone conversion rate.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Buccaneers -237 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 338 passing yards to the 49ers, allowing them to complete 69.4% of their passes. Despite recording three sacks and holding the 49ers to 75 rushing yards on 22 attempts, the Buccaneers lost 23-20. San Francisco was successful on 45.5% of their third down attempts and averaged 9.4 yards per pass attempt.

Tampa Bay’s defense also forced three sacks and held the 49ers to 3.4 yards per attempt. However, they struggled on third downs, allowing the 49ers to convert 45.5% of their third down attempts. The Buccaneers’ offense allowed 413 yards in the game.

In the Giants’ 20-17 overtime loss to the Panthers, their defense allowed 188 rushing yards on just 32 attempts, giving up 5.9 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, they held the Panthers to 118 passing yards. New York’s defense allowed one rushing touchdown and a 40% third-down conversion rate to the Panthers.

The Giants’ defense managed only one sack in the game and lost the tackles for loss and quarterback hit differentials. The Giants’ offense had 306 total yards in the game.

• Free Total Prediction OVER 41.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Giants Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 12, the Buccaneers are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 23-20 loss to the 49ers in week 10. Despite the defeat, Tampa Bay managed to cover the spread as 6.5-point underdogs, bringing their ATS record to 6-4. They rank 11th in our power rankings and have a +1.3 scoring margin this season.

With a 4-6 record, the Bucs have a 32.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 26.6% chance of winning the NFC South. They are 2-2 on the road and 2-4 at home, and they are 1-2 in division games. Their O/U record is 7-3, with their games averaging 54.5 points per game.

• Tampa Bay has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Against the spread, they have a strong mark of 2-1 along with an over-under record of 2-1.
• In their last five road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 29 points per game while allowing 28. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.

Heading into week 12, the Giants are on a five-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-8 this season. New York ranks 31st in our NFL power rankings and has a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-5 at home but have gone 2-3 on the road, including a 29-20 win over the Seahawks in week 5. However, they haven’t won since, including a 20-17 loss to the Panthers in week 10, where they were 6.5-point favorites.

Against the spread, the Giants are 3-7, with all three of their wins coming as underdogs. They have an average scoring margin of -6.6 points per game and have failed to cover in five straight games. Their O/U record stands at 3-7, with their games averaging 37.8 points per game.

• New York has put together a record of 0-3 in their last three games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 0-3 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
• In their last five games at home, the Giants have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.

• Free Spread Prediction Buccaneers -5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Giants Pick: Buccaneers -5

Our projected score for this week 12 matchup between the Buccaneers and Giants is 28-21 in favor of Tampa Bay. With the Giants coming in as 5-point favorites, we see a lot of value in taking the Buccaneers to not only cover but win this game.

For this game, we are locking in the Buccaneers to cover as road favorites. As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we have these teams combining for 49 points, making the over our top pick.