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Raiders vs Dolphins Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 11

ByUSA Wager

The Dolphins are heavily favored in their week 11 matchup against the Raiders, with a money line of -390. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, will be aired on CBS. The Raiders’ money line odds are +299, and they are +7.5 point underdogs on the road. The over/under line is 44.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Dolphins vs Raiders

  • We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 30 to 19
  • Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 44.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Raiders +7.5 | Dolphins -7.5
  • Total: 44.5
  • MoneyLine: Raiders +299 | Dolphins -390

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 11, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in yards per game (280.2) and 22nd in points per game, averaging 18.7. Las Vegas ranks 18th in passing yards per game (203.3) despite being 7th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are last in the league in rushing yards per game, with 76.9, on 22.1 attempts per game.

Gardner Minshew threw for 124 yards on 10/17 passing in week 9, after a 209-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 8. Jakobi Meyers led the team with 8 catches for 105 yards in week 9, and Alexander Mattison had 36 rushing yards on 9 carries. The Raiders scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Bengals after being shut out in the 3rd.

Heading into week 11, the Dolphins rank 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.3 points per game, which is 27th in the NFL. They sit 20th in passing yards per game (188.8) and 16th in passing attempts. On the ground, Miami ranks 9th in rushing yards per game (126.4) and 8th in rushing attempts. The Dolphins have been efficient on 3rd downs, converting 40.2% of their attempts, which is 10th in the league, and they rank 8th in red zone conversion percentage.

Tua Tagovailoa threw for 207 yards (20/28) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 10 against the Rams. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing with 37 yards on 12 carries, while Jaylen Waddle had 3 catches for 57 yards. Before Waddle’s performance, Tyreek Hill had led the team in receiving in weeks 8 and 9, with 72 and 80 yards, respectively.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Dolphins -390 (Bet Now)

Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction: Total

In their 41-24 loss to the Bengals, the Raiders’ defense gave up five passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field on third downs, allowing the Bengals to convert 53.3% of their third down attempts. They allowed 243 passing yards on 27 completions, and Cincinnati completed 69.2% of their passes. The Raiders’ lone interception came from a pass rush that managed just one sack and struggled to generate consistent pressure, losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

On the ground, the Raiders gave up 130 rushing yards on 31 attempts, with the Bengals averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. Despite these struggles, the Raiders’ defense did not get much help from their offense, as they allowed 373 total yards in the game.

In their 23-15 win over the Rams, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 327 yards, with the Rams rushing for 70 yards on 18 attempts. Miami’s secondary played well, allowing just 5.6 yards per attempt and holding the Rams to a 25% third-down conversion rate. They also didn’t allow a passing touchdown, recorded four sacks, and came away with one interception.

The Dolphins’ defensive front won the quarterback hit battle by two and forced the Rams’ offense into 4th and long situations, but they did lose the tackles for loss battle by -3. The Rams completed 69.6% of their passes against Miami.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 44.5 (Bet Now)

Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 11, the Raiders are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 41-24 loss to the Bengals in week 9. This dropped Las Vegas to 2-7, putting them 4th in the AFC West. Our power rankings have the Raiders 27th, and they have just a 1% chance of making the playoffs.

Las Vegas is 4-5 against the spread this season, with all four of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-3, with the over hitting in two straight games.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Las Vegas has a record of 0-3. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road games, Las Vegas has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 18 points per game.

Miami snapped a three-game losing streak in week 10, defeating the Rams 23-15 on the road. The Dolphins were 2-point underdogs in the game, but they came away with the win, bringing their record to 3-6. They are now 2nd in the AFC East, though our projections give them just an 8.1% chance of making the playoffs. Heading into week 11, Miami ranks 20th in our NFL power rankings.

Against the spread, the Dolphins are 3-6, but they have covered in two straight games. In week 9, they narrowly lost to the Bills but managed to cover the 6-point spread. Their O/U record stands at 3-6, with their games averaging 38.8 points (compared to an average line of 44.8).

  • The Dolphins have gone 0-3 over their last three regular season games. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 0-3 to go along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Dolphins -7.5 (Bet Now)

Raiders vs. Dolphins Pick: Dolphins -7.5

Our predicted score for this week 11 matchup between the Dolphins and Raiders is 29-18 in favor of the Dolphins. With the point spread sitting at -7.5 in favor of the Dolphins, we like them to not only win but also cover the spread.

For the over/under, we have the Dolphins coming out on top by a score of 29-18. As for the best bet on the over/under line, we are leaning towards the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line sitting at 44.5 points.

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