Dolphins vs Rams Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 10
ESPN will broadcast the week 10 non-conference matchup between the Dolphins and Rams from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The Rams are favored at -140 on the money line and -2.5 on the point spread. The game, which kicks off at 8:15 ET, has an over/under line set at 50.5 points.
Prediction at a Glance for Rams vs Dolphins
- We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 27 to 23
- Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Dolphins +2.5 | Rams -2.5
- Total: 50.5
- MoneyLine: Dolphins +118 | Rams -140
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Dolphins vs. Rams Prediction: MoneyLine
Heading into week 10, the Dolphins are 26th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 15.5 points per game, which ranks 30th in the NFL. They are 20th in yards per game (324.9) and 24th in passing yards per game (191) on 31.6 attempts per game. On the ground, Miami ranks 8th in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game (133.9). They are 12th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 39.4%, and 4th in red zone conversion percentage at 54.5%.
Tua Tagovailoa posted a passer rating of 124 in week 9, completing 25 of 28 passes for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns. Miami scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Bills, with De’Von Achane rushing for 63 yards on 12 carries and Tyreek Hill catching 4 passes for 80 yards.
Heading into week 10, the Rams sit 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game (21.2) and 18th in yards per game (328.9). Los Angeles ranks 9th in passing yards per game (231.8) and 8th in pass attempts, with 34.6 per game. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing yards per game, averaging 97.1 yards on 25.9 attempts.
Matthew Stafford threw for 298 yards (25/44) and 2 touchdowns in week 9, with Cooper Kupp catching 11 passes for 104 yards. Kyren Williams rushed 22 times for 69 yards. The Rams scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter and 7 in the 4th, before winning in overtime against Seattle.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction Dolphins +118 (Bet Now)
Dolphins vs. Rams Prediction: Total
In their 30-27 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field on third down, as Buffalo converted 50% of their third down attempts. Miami allowed 231 passing yards and one of their few bright spots was forcing one interception. The Dolphins’ defense struggled to generate pressure, managing only one sack and one tackle for loss.
On the ground, the Dolphins gave up 94 rushing yards to Buffalo on just 19 attempts. Despite their struggles against the pass, Miami did hold Buffalo to a 4.9 yards per attempt average on the ground.
The Rams’ defense came up with seven sacks and three interceptions in their 26-20 overtime win over the Seahawks, despite giving up 317 passing yards. Seattle finished with 424 total yards, but the Rams’ defense tightened up on third downs, allowing just a 26.7% conversion rate.
Even though they gave up 317 passing yards, the Rams allowed just 21 completions on 33 attempts. The Seahawks averaged 9.3 yards per attempt. However, the Rams defended the run well, allowing just 107 yards on 33 attempts.
- Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 50.5 (Bet Now)
Dolphins vs. Rams Prediction: Spread
Miami enters week 10 with a 2-6 record, putting them 3rd in the AFC East. They’ve lost three straight, including a 30-27 road loss to the Bills in week 9. The Dolphins were +6 in that game, so they covered the spread, and the 57 points scored went over the 49-point line.
According to our power rankings, Miami is 22nd in the NFL, and they have a 6.6% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin is -7.9 points per game, and they are 2-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 3-5, with the over hitting in two straight games.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Miami has a record of 0-3. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 2-1 on the over-under.
- Across their five previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 12 points per game.
After three straight wins, the Rams are now 4-4, putting them 2nd in the NFC West. They followed up home victories over the Raiders and Vikings with a 26-20 win over the Seahawks in week 9. LA was a 2-point favorite in that game and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 3-5 this season.
Heading into week 10, the Rams have a 23.8% chance of making the playoffs and an 18.8% chance of winning the division. They currently rank 18th in our NFL power rankings. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 45.5 points compared to an average line of 46.8.
- Through their last three games, the Rams have a record of 2-1. However, they have only gone 1-2 vs. the spread over this stretch. Their over-under record in these three games was 1-2.
- In their last five games at home, the Rams have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
- Free Spread Prediction Dolphins +2.5 (Bet Now)
Dolphins vs. Rams Pick: Dolphins Moneyline (+118)
Our projected final score for this week 10 matchup between the Dolphins and Rams is 27-22 in favor of the Dolphins. With the point spread sitting at +2.5 in favor of the Dolphins, we like them to not only win but cover as road underdogs.
For this matchup, we also have a good feel on the over/under, with our projections pointing to a combined 49 points, just under the O/U line of 50.5. We’d recommend taking the under with some added confidence.