Steelers vs Commanders Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 10

The Commanders are favored at -154 on the money line as they host the Steelers at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The point spread is -3 in favor of the Commanders, and this non-conference matchup is on CBS at 1:00 ET. The over/under line is set at 46 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Commanders vs Steelers

• We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 25 to 19
• Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Steelers +3 | Commanders -3
• Total: 46
• MoneyLine: Steelers +132 | Commanders -154

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Steelers vs. Commanders Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 10, the Steelers rank 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.4, and sit 19th in passing yards per game with 328.1. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game. On 3rd downs, they are converting at a rate of 39.4%, which ranks 12th in the league.

Russell Wilson has posted back-to-back strong performances, with a passer rating of 114 in week 8, throwing for 278 yards and a touchdown. Najee Harris rushed for 114 yards on 19 carries in week 8, and George Pickens led the team in receiving with 74 yards on 4 catches.

Jayden Daniels has been solid under center for the Commanders, posting a passer rating of 128 in week 9 against the Giants, with 209 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15/22 passing. He followed up his 326-yard performance in week 8 with no interceptions and was not sacked in week 9. Terry McLaurin had led the team in receiving in weeks 7 and 8, but Noah Brown took the lead in week 9 with 5 catches for 60 yards.

Washington’s offense ranks 2nd in our power rankings, averaging 29.2 points per game, which is 3rd in the NFL. They also rank 3rd in passing yards per game (392) and 4th in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 45.9%.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction Steelers +132 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Commanders Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense gave up 394 yards but still played well, holding the Giants to 18 points in a 26-18 victory. The Steelers struggled against the run, allowing 157 yards on just 25 attempts, with New York averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. However, they were strong against the pass, giving up 237 yards on 24 completions, and not allowing any passing touchdowns.

Pittsburgh’s defense recorded four sacks, held the Giants to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down, and came up with one interception. They also won the QB hit differential by +4 and had one more tackle for loss than the Giants.

Washington’s defense gave up 164 rushing yards on just 31 attempts in their 27-22 win over the Giants. The Commanders’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and 162 passing yards on 20 completions. Despite their struggles against the run, they held the Giants to 22 points and limited them to 2-of-6 on red zone scoring chances.

Washington’s defense recorded two sacks and held the Giants to a 23.1% conversion rate on third down. They also won the QB hit differential and had one more tackle for loss than the Giants in the game.

• Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Commanders Prediction: Spread

The Steelers head into week 10 with a three-game winning streak, including a 26-18 victory over the Giants in week 8. This win improved Pittsburgh’s record to 6-2, putting them first in the AFC North and third in the conference standings. Our projections give the Steelers an 87.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 33.4% chance of winning the division. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings.

Pittsburgh has a +8.5 scoring margin and is 6-2 against the spread this season. They’ve covered in three straight games, including a 22-point win over the Jets in week 7 as 2.5-point underdogs. The over has hit in each of the Steelers’ last three games, with their matchups averaging 38.2 points per game.

• Over their last three games, the Steelers have gone 3-0 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 3-0 over-under mark.
• In their last five road games, Pittsburgh has averaged 20 points per game while allowing 17 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.

Washington heads into week 10 vs. the Steelers with a 7-2 record, putting them 1st in the NFC East. They’ve won three straight, including a 27-22 road win over the Giants in week 9. The Commanders were favored by 4 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-1-1 this season. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings and have a 90.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 50.6% chance of winning the division.

Washington has an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game and is 5-0 ATS as favorites. Their O/U record is 6-3, with their games averaging 50.2 points per game compared to an average line of 46.1. In week 9, the Commanders and Giants combined for 49 points, going over the 44-point line.

• Over their last three games, the Commanders have gone 3-0 straight up. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 3-0 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 1-2 in those same games.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.

• Free Spread Prediction Steelers +3 (Bet Now)

Steelers vs. Commanders Pick: Steelers Moneyline (+132)

Our pick against the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road underdogs in this week 10 matchup against Washington. Right now, the point spread lines have the Steelers at +3, and we have them winning by a score of 24-22.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 46 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, as our projections have these teams finishing with 46 combined points.