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Patriots vs Bears Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 10

ByUSA Wager

The Patriots and Bears will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Bears are favored by -6 on the point spread, with FOX handling the TV coverage. The Bears’ money line odds are -278, while the Patriots’ odds are +226. The over/under line is set at 39 points for this non-conference matchup.

Prediction at a Glance for Bears vs Patriots

  • We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 16 to 15
  • Even though we like the Bears to win, our ATS pick is to take the Patriots at +6
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 39 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Patriots +6 | Bears -6
  • Total: 39
  • MoneyLine: Patriots +226 | Bears -278

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Patriots vs. Bears Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 10, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 15.7 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They are 31st in passing yards per game (153.8) despite being 16th in attempts, and they rank 24th in rushing yards per game (111) on 25 attempts per game. On third down, New England is 23rd in the league, converting 34.4% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 6th with a 50% conversion rate.

In week 9, Drake Maye threw for 206 yards (29/41) with one touchdown and two interceptions, posting a passer rating of 69. He also led the team in rushing with 95 yards on 8 carries. Hunter Henry had 7 receptions for 56 yards. The Patriots scored 7 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters, but struggled on 3rd down, converting only 3 of 11 attempts.

Heading into week 10, the Bears’ offense ranks 24th in our power rankings, averaging 21.5 points per game, which places them 18th in the NFL. They rank 27th in total yards per game (294.6) and 29th in passing yards, with 182.1 per game, despite being 12th in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 112.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 23rd, on 28 attempts per game. Chicago has struggled on third down, converting just 31.5% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 50% of their opportunities, ranking 6th in the NFL.

In week 9, Chicago scored just 9 points, all in the 2nd quarter, in a 29-9 loss to the Cardinals. Caleb Williams threw for 217 yards on 22/41 passing but was sacked 6 times. D’Andre Swift had 51 rushing yards on 16 carries, and Rome Odunze led the team with 5 catches for 104 yards. Before this, the Bears scored 15 points in week 8 and 35 points in week 7.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Bears -278 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Bears Prediction: Total

In their most recent game, the Patriots’ defense allowed 167 rushing yards on 39 attempts to the Titans. Despite holding Tennessee to 233 passing yards on 20 completions (7.1 yards per attempt), the Patriots lost 20-17 in overtime. New England’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Titans to convert 43.8% of their chances. They also allowed two passing touchdowns and managed just one sack in the game.

The Patriots’ defense did come up with one interception and limited the Titans to a 60.6% completion percentage. Offensively, the Patriots had 400 total yards in the game, but the defense couldn’t keep the Titans out of the end zone when needed, resulting in the overtime defeat.

In their 29-9 loss to the Cardinals, the Bears’ defense gave up 213 rushing yards on just 34 attempts, including a 67-yard touchdown run by James Conner. Despite this, Chicago’s defense was tough against the pass, allowing only 137 passing yards on 13 completions. They also managed three sacks and held Arizona to a 38.5% conversion rate on third down.

Chicago’s defense was tough to move the ball against through the air, as the Cardinals averaged just 6.8 yards per attempt. However, the Bears struggled to stop the run, with Arizona finishing with 350 total yards and averaging 6.3 yards per attempt on the ground. Conner’s long touchdown was a big reason for this, as he finished with 116 yards on just 13 carries.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 39 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Bears Prediction: Spread

Heading into week 10, the Patriots sit at 2-7, putting them last in our NFL power rankings and giving them just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. New England was unable to build on their week 8 win over the Jets, falling to the Titans 20-17 in week 9. Despite the loss, they did manage to cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs.

So far, the Patriots are 3-5-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -8.4 points per game. They have been the underdog in all of their games this season. Their O/U record stands at 5-4, with their games averaging 39.8 points per contest.

  • Over their last three regular season games, the Patriots have gone 1-2 straight up. This also includes going 2-1 ATS, and posting an over-under record of 2-1.
  • Through their last five road contests, the Patriots offense has averaged 13 points per game while allowing an average of 23. New England posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.

After a three-game winning streak, the Bears have now dropped two in a row, including a 29-9 loss to the Cardinals in week 9. This leaves them at 4-4 on the season, with a 2-2 record in conference play. Chicago is currently 8th in the NFC and 4th in the NFC North. According to our projections, they have a 13.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 1% chance of winning the division.

Chicago is 5-3 against the spread this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two games. They were 1.5-point underdogs against the Cardinals and lost by 20. The O/U line for that game was 44.5, and the teams combined for 38 points. The under has hit in the Bears’ last two games.

  • Spanning across their last three games, Chicago have gone 3-0. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 3-0 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 3-0 in those same games.
  • Across the Bears last five home games, the team averaged 12 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 0-5 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Patriots +6 (Bet Now)

Patriots vs. Bears Pick: Patriots +6

Our pick against the spread is to take the Patriots to cover as road underdogs in this week 10 matchup between the Patriots and Bears. Even though the Bears are 6-point favorites, we have the Patriots pulling off the upset by a score of 19-14.

For this game, we are leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 39 points. Our prediction is that these teams will combine for 33 points, making the under an appealing bet.

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