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Buccaneers vs Chiefs Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 9

ByUSA Wager

The Buccaneers and Chiefs will face off on Monday, November 4th at 8:15 ET, with ESPN covering the week nine non-conference matchup. The game, being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, has the Chiefs heavily favored at -438 on the money line and -8.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 45.5 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Chiefs vs Buccaneers

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 29 to 23
  • Even though we like the Chiefs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Buccaneers at +8.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 45.5 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Buccaneers +8.5 | Chiefs -8.5
  • Total: 45.5
  • MoneyLine: Buccaneers +339 | Chiefs -438

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 9, the Buccaneers are 6th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 4th in the NFL in both points per game (29.4) and yards per game (389.5). Tampa Bay is 2nd in passing yards per game (258.5) on 35.5 attempts per game, which ranks 7th. On the ground, they are 18th in rushing attempts and 10th in rushing yards per game, averaging 131 yards. The Bucs lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 52.5% success rate, but rank 27th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 4th in red zone attempts.

Baker Mayfield threw for 330 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 8, completing 37 of 50 passes without an interception. Cade Otton led the team with 9 receptions for 81 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Bucky Irving had 44 rushing yards on 9 carries. Tampa Bay scored 9 points in the 4th quarter after being shut out in the 3rd. They converted 9 of 14 3rd-down attempts and scored on all 3 red zone trips.

Patrick Mahomes bounced back in week 8, posting a passer rating of 96 with 262 yards and two touchdowns against the Raiders, after struggling in week 7 with a 44 rating and two interceptions. He completed 27 of 38 passes in week 8, finding Travis Kelce 10 times for 90 yards and a touchdown. Kareem Hunt led the rushing attack with 59 yards on 21 carries.

Heading into week 9, the Chiefs rank 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.7 points per game. They are 10th in total yards, with 348 per game, and have been strong on 3rd down, converting 50.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Chiefs -438 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Prediction: Total

In their 31-26 loss to the Falcons, the Buccaneers’ defense struggled to defend the big play in the passing game, as Atlanta averaged 9.1 yards per attempt and completed 79.3% of their passes. Tampa Bay allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 265 yards through the air. The defense also allowed Atlanta to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.

Despite giving up 129 yards on the ground, the Buccaneers did manage two sacks and had a positive differential in both QB hits and tackles for loss.

In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense gave up two passing touchdowns but limited the Raiders to just 33 rushing yards on 21 attempts. The Chiefs’ defense also recorded five sacks and held the Raiders to 195 passing yards. Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, the Chiefs came out on top, beating the Raiders 27-20. The Chiefs’ defense also forced the Raiders into a tough 3rd down situation, allowing just 33% of their 3rd down attempts.

  • Free Total Prediction OVER 45.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Prediction: Spread

After a week 6 win over the Saints, the Buccaneers have now dropped two straight, including a 31-26 loss to the Falcons in week 8. This leaves them at 4-4 on the season, putting them 12th in our NFL power rankings and giving them a 48% chance of making the playoffs. Tampa Bay is 2-1 on the road this year and 2-3 at home.

So far, the over has hit in five straight Bucs games, including week 8, when they and the Falcons combined for 57 points. Their O/U record is 6-2 this season, while they are 4-4 against the spread. They have failed to cover in two straight games.

  • Across Tampa Bay’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. In these contests, the team went just 1-2 against the spread, while going 3-0 on the over-under.
  • The Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.

The Chiefs enter week 9 with a perfect 7-0 record, giving them a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 96.4% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 4th in our NFL power rankings. Kansas City is 4-2-1 against the spread this season, including a win as 2.5-point underdogs against the 49ers in week 7. In week 8, they beat the Raiders 27-20 but didn’t cover the 8.5-point spread. The combined 47 points in that game went over the 43-point line.

So far, the Chiefs’ games have averaged 42.3 points, with their O/U record sitting at 3-4. Their average scoring margin is +7.1 points per game. Against the Saints in week 5, they won by 13 points, covering the 5-point spread. In week 4, they beat the Chargers 17-10, resulting in a push with a 7-point line.

  • Kansas City has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
  • Free Spread Prediction Buccaneers +8.5 (Bet Now)

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Pick: Buccaneers +8.5

With the point spread sitting at 26-21 in favor of the Chiefs, we are going to take the Buccaneers to cover as our best bet vs. the spread. The Buccaneers are 8.5-point underdogs in this week nine matchup, and with our projected final score, the Chiefs will come out on top.

For this one, we are taking the Buccaneers to cover as our best bet vs. the spread. As for the over/under, we have the over as our top pick, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line at 45.5 points.

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