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Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 8

ByUSA Wager

FOX will broadcast the week eight matchup between the Falcons and Buccaneers, with the game kicking off at 1:00 ET. The Buccaneers are the underdog at +118 on the money line and +2.5 on the point spread. The Falcons are favored with money line odds of -140. The over/under line is set at 46 points for this NFC South matchup at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL.

Prediction at a Glance for Buccaneers vs Falcons

  • We have the Falcons winning this one by a score of 22 to 21
  • Even though we like the Falcons to win, our ATS pick is to take the Buccaneers at +2.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Falcons -2.5 | Buccaneers +2.5
  • Total: 46
  • MoneyLine: Falcons -140 | Buccaneers +118

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 8, the Falcons are 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.3 points per game, and rank 7th in passing attempts, with 34.9 per game. Kirk Cousins threw for 232 yards (24/35) in week 7, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Before that, he had a 225-yard game in week 6 and a 509-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 5.

On the ground, Atlanta ranks 16th in rushing yards per game (119.6) and 22nd in rushing attempts. Bijan Robinson had 21 carries for 103 yards and a touchdown in week 7. Tyler Allgeier led the team in week 6 with 105 yards, and Robinson had 61 yards in week 5.

Heading into week 8, the Buccaneers rank 5th in our offensive power rankings. They are 3rd in the NFL in points per game (29.9) and 5th in yards per game (383.4). Tampa Bay leads the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 50.6% success rate, and ranks 4th in red zone attempts. However, they are just 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 10.7% of their trips inside the 20.

Baker Mayfield threw for 370 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 7, although he did have 2 interceptions. The Bucs scored 21 points in the 4th quarter against the Ravens after being shut out in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Cade Otton led the team with 8 catches for 100 yards, while Rachaad White had 40 rushing yards on 10 carries.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Falcons -140 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Total

In their 34-14 loss to the Seahawks, the Falcons’ defense allowed 236 passing yards on 19 completions. Seattle found success through the air, averaging 8.1 yards per attempt and scoring two passing touchdowns. Atlanta’s defense struggled to generate pressure, managing only one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

On the ground, the Falcons gave up 103 rushing yards on 26 attempts, with Seattle finishing with 339 total yards. Atlanta’s defense also allowed the Seahawks to convert 36.4% of their third down attempts.

In their 41-31 loss to the Ravens, the Buccaneers’ defense struggled to defend the pass, giving up five passing touchdowns and allowing Baltimore to complete 77.3% of their passes for 264 yards. The Bucs’ defense also had a tough time stopping the run, as the Ravens rushed for 244 yards and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt. Despite this, Tampa Bay’s defense did force Baltimore to convert on just 37.5% of their third down attempts. The Bucs’ defense managed two sacks in the game.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Spread

Despite a week 7 loss to the Seahawks, the Falcons remain atop the NFC South with a 4-3 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. Atlanta ranks 16th in our power rankings and has a 56.4% chance of making the playoffs, with a 44.7% chance of winning the division. They are 2-0 on the road this season but just 2-3 at home.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 3-4, with an average scoring margin of -0.9 points per game. Their O/U record is also 3-4, with their games averaging 47.4 combined points compared to an average line of 45.6.

  • Atlanta has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 20 points per game in this stretch.

Heading into week 8, the Buccaneers hold a 4-3 record, which includes a 4-1 mark in conference play and a 1-1 record in the NFC South. After a 24-point win over the Saints in week 6, Tampa Bay couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 41-31 to the Ravens at home in week 7. The Bucs were 4.5-point underdogs in that game and couldn’t cover the spread, but the 72 combined points easily hit the over, which has now hit in four straight Tampa Bay games.

According to our projections, the Buccaneers have a 65.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 51.4% chance of winning the NFC South. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings. Tampa Bay has a +3.9 scoring margin this season and is 4-3 against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-2, with their games averaging 55.9 points compared to an average line of 44.9.

  • Through their last three regular season contests, Tampa Bay has a record of 1-2. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Tampa Bay has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 26 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Free Spread Prediction Buccaneers +2.5 (Bet Now)

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Pick: Buccaneers +2.5

For this week eight matchup between the Falcons and Buccaneers, we have the Buccaneers as 2.5-point favorites. Our pick against the spread is to take the Falcons to not only cover but win outright. Our projected final score is 20-19 in favor of Atlanta.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 46 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points.

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