Lutz’s Locks For Week 4 Of The NFL

Colts vs Texans Prediction & NFL Odds For Week 8

ByUSA Wager

The Texans are favored at -257 on the money line as they face the Colts on Sunday, October 27th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Colts are +211 on the money line, and the Texans are -6 point favorites on the point spread. This week eight AFC South matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston, and the over/under line is set at 46 points.

Prediction at a Glance for Texans vs Colts

  • We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
  • Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -6
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

  • Spread: Colts +6 | Texans -6
  • Total: 46
  • MoneyLine: Colts +211 | Texans -257

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Colts vs. Texans Prediction: MoneyLine

Heading into week 8, the Colts rank 16th in the NFL in both points per game (22.1) and passing yards per game (206.3). They are 14th in rushing, averaging 123 yards per game on 27.1 attempts. On 3rd down, they convert 40.9% of the time, which ranks 11th in the league, and they are 17th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 7, Anthony Richardson struggled, posting a passer rating of 59, going 10/24 for 129 yards. Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 63 receiving yards on 3 catches, while Richardson also led the team in rushing with 56 yards on 14 carries.

Heading into week 8, the Texans rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are currently 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.6 points per game, and sit 11th in total yards with 349.7 per game. Houston has been strong early in games, ranking 3rd in the league in first-quarter scoring. They are 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40% success rate, and 17th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 7, C.J. Stroud struggled, throwing for just 86 yards on 10/21 passing and posting a passer rating of 58. Joe Mixon led the ground game with 115 yards on 25 carries, while Dalton Schultz had one catch for 28 yards. The Texans scored 16 points in the 2nd quarter against the Packers but were held to just 3 points in the 2nd half.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction Texans -257 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Texans Prediction: Total

In their 16-10 win over the Dolphins, the Colts’ defense gave up 188 rushing yards on 40 attempts, but they were tough to beat through the air. Miami finished with just 149 passing yards and a yards per attempt of 5.7. Indianapolis allowed just 15 completions on 26 attempts (57.7%) and gave up one passing touchdown.

The Colts’ defense also recorded two sacks and held Miami to a 40% third-down conversion rate. Despite struggling to stop the run, they made things difficult for the Dolphins in the passing game.

In their 24-22 loss to the Packers, the Texans’ defense gave up three passing touchdowns. Despite allowing just 195 passing yards, the Texans struggled to defend the big play through the air. They did come away with two interceptions. Green Bay’s ground game was limited to 82 yards on 20 attempts.

The Texans’ defense recorded three sacks and held the Packers to a 40% conversion rate on third down. However, they did allow Green Bay to complete 72.7% of their passes. Houston’s offense had a total of 277 yards against them.

  • Free MoneyLine Prediction UNDER 46 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Texans Prediction: Spread

With two straight wins, the Colts are now 4-3, putting them 2nd in the AFC South. After a week 5 loss to the Jaguars, Indianapolis bounced back with wins over the Titans (20-17) and Dolphins (16-10). They were favored by 3 points against Miami and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 6-1. The Colts have covered in five straight games, including a 4-0 record as underdogs.

Our projections give the Colts a 57.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20% chance of winning the division. They rank 24th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 8. Their O/U record is 3-4, with the under hitting in their last two games.

  • Indianapolis has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Colts have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.

At 5-2, the Texans sit atop the AFC South and rank 2nd in the conference standings. Our projections give them a 77.1% chance of winning the division and an 89.5% chance of making the playoffs. Houston is 3-0 at home and 2-2 on the road, including a 20-point win over the Patriots in week 6. However, they couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 7, falling 24-22 to the Packers. Despite the loss, they covered the spread, entering the game as 3-point underdogs.

Houston has an average scoring margin of +0.9 points per game and is 3-4 against the spread. They have covered in three straight games, including their week 7 loss to Green Bay. The O/U record in Texans games is 2-5, with an average of 46.3 points per game.

  • Over their last three games, the Texans have gone 3-0 straight up. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these matchups was 0-3.
  • Across the Texans last five home games, the team averaged 21 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Free Spread Prediction Texans -6 (Bet Now)

Colts vs. Texans Pick: Texans -6

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as home favorites in this week eight matchup against the Colts. Even though the Colts are the 6-point favorites, we have the Texans pulling off the upset by a score of 25-16.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 46 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 41 points.

Similar Posts